Komori
Japan Airlines (9201) · RiskWorsened

Impact of Crude Oil Price and Exchange-Rate Fluctuations on Earnings

First written in FY2017-Q2. 16 of 27 entries say "Worsened", first in FY2017-Q3. Latest entry: 2026-11-02.

27entries
11years
2from disclosures
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseOtherFY2020-Q3 – FY2021WorsenedFY2022 – FY2024-Q2WorsenedFY2025-H1 – 2026-11-022016: 12017: 320172018: 320182019: 320192020: 220202021: 120212022: 320222023: 320232024: 220242025: 120252026: 52026
Same theme, other companies
Impact of oil price fluctuations on jet fuel costs and fuel surchargesA theme 6 companies write about · 6 as a headwind · 1 as a tailwind

Japan Airlines moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2022, 1 year after the typical company in this theme (2021).

3 other companies' latest entry also says "Worsened".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. FY2026WorsenedAnnual report

    「On the cost side, fuel costs increased by ¥15.4 billion due to higher consumption and other factors, while personnel expenses increased by ¥35.0 billion due to increased investment in human capital and other factors.」

    Fuel costs increased by ¥15.4 billion from the previous year amid continued yen depreciation. The disclosure also states that cost reductions contained the increase.
  2. FY2025WorsenedAnnual report

    「On the cost side, fuel costs increased by ¥23.2 billion due to higher consumption resulting from the resumption of flights and other factors, while personnel expenses increased by ¥29.3 billion due to increased investment in human capital and other factors.」

    Fuel costs increased by ¥23.2 billion from the previous year, and pressure from the cost environment, including the yen's depreciation and inflation, continued.
  3. FY2025-H1WorsenedAnnual report

    「Aviation fuel costs (¥100 million) 1,700 1,923 113.1%」

    Aviation fuel costs increased from ¥170.0 billion in the same period of the previous year to ¥192.3 billion, quantifying the earnings pressure related to fuel prices, foreign exchange and other factors.
  4. FY2024-Q3MitigatedAnnual report

    「On the cost side, the exchange rate was more favorable than assumed, with the yen stronger than expected, and fuel prices also remained below assumptions. As a result, costs, particularly fuel costs, declined.」

    The risk of earnings pressure from high fuel prices and the yen's depreciation was partly alleviated in the quarter by the yen's appreciation and lower fuel prices.
  5. FY2024-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, the environment surrounding society as a whole is becoming more challenging due to the yen's depreciation, higher fuel prices, inflation, labor shortages, disruptions in the supply chain for aircraft parts and other items, and an unstable global situation. The Group will address higher fuel prices and inflation by improving unit prices through stronger revenue management and by further reducing costs.」

    Risks related to crude oil prices and foreign exchange are described as part of a challenging external environment that includes inflation, labor shortages, supply chain disruptions and an unstable global situation.
  6. FY2024-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「Aviation fuel costs (¥100 million) 698 794 113.7%」

    Aviation fuel costs for the first quarter increased from ¥69.8 billion in the same period of the previous year to ¥79.4 billion, representing 113.7% of the prior-year level.
  7. FY2023-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「Aviation fuel costs (¥100 million) 1,018 2,416 237.3%」

    Aviation fuel costs increased from ¥101.8 billion in the same period of the previous year to ¥241.6 billion, representing 237.3% of the prior-year level. The deterioration in the earnings environment due to higher fuel prices and the yen's depreciation continued.
  8. FY2023-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「Aviation fuel costs (¥100 million) 589 1,548 262.5%」

    Aviation fuel costs increased from ¥58.9 billion in the same period of the previous year to ¥154.8 billion, representing 262.5% of the prior-year level. The deterioration in the earnings environment due to the yen's depreciation and higher fuel prices has been quantified.
  9. FY2023-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「Aviation fuel costs (¥100 million) 265 698 262.6%」

    Aviation fuel costs for the first quarter increased 262.6% year on year. The text also describes rising raw material costs, including fuel prices, and uncertainty in the external environment, indicating that fuel-related earnings risks have materialized and expanded.
  10. FY2022WorsenedAnnual report

    「Crude oil prices affect fuel costs, passenger revenue and cargo revenue. They have surged due to geopolitical risks related to the situation involving Russia and Ukraine and the resulting economic sanctions imposed by Western countries, leaving the market outlook uncertain.」

    Crude oil prices surged against a backdrop of the situation involving Russia and Ukraine and economic sanctions, increasing uncertainty in market conditions.
  11. FY2021Crude oil prices began to rise after a sharp declineAnnual report

    「Crude oil prices fell sharply as the impact of the spread of COVID-19 on the global economy intensified, but shifted to an upward trend on expectations that economic activity would normalize as vaccines became more widely available.」

    Crude oil prices shifted from the sharp decline at the end of the previous fiscal year to an upward trend against a backdrop of vaccine uptake and expectations for economic normalization. The policy of hedging against fuel price fluctuations continued.
  12. FY2020Sharp decline in crude oil pricesAnnual report

    「Crude oil prices have fallen sharply since March 2020 due to the failure of negotiations on coordinated production cuts by OPEC+ and concerns over a slowdown in the global economy.」

    Crude oil prices shifted from remaining broadly within a certain range to falling sharply from March 2020. The policy of limiting volatility through fuel surcharges and hedging continued.
  13. FY2020-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「Crude oil prices remained broadly within a certain range despite the impact of changes in the international situation and other factors. The Group is working to limit fluctuations in results by collecting fuel surcharges and implementing appropriate hedging, while continuing to monitor the impact on economic conditions and the Group's results.」

    The policy of continuing to monitor fluctuations in crude oil prices and limit fluctuations in results through fuel surcharges and hedging remains in place.
  14. FY2020-Q2MitigatedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, crude oil prices, which affect fuel costs, international passenger revenue and international cargo revenue, remained broadly within a certain range despite the impact of changes in the international situation and other factors. The Group is working to limit fluctuations in results by collecting fuel surcharges and implementing appropriate hedging, while continuing to monitor the impact on economic conditions and the Group's results.」

    Crude oil prices remained broadly within a certain range despite the impact of the international situation, and measures to limit volatility through fuel surcharges and hedging continued.
  15. FY2020-Q1Crude oil prices rose again and became more uncertainAnnual report

    「Crude oil prices had continued to rise from the previous fiscal year, but began to fall from late May due to concerns over an economic slowdown resulting from US-China trade friction and increases in US crude oil and petroleum product inventories. However, from mid-June onward, they began to rise again due to factors including tensions between the United States and Iran, resulting in an uncertain situation.」

    Crude oil prices fluctuated, rising, falling and then rising again, and the situation remains uncertain.
  16. FY2019-Q3Crude oil prices fell and became unstable after rising sharplyAnnual report

    「Crude oil prices, which affect fuel costs, international passenger revenue and international cargo revenue, had risen sharply year on year in the first half due to the extension of OPEC's coordinated production cuts and heightened geopolitical risks resulting from escalating tensions in the Middle East, but fell from December onward and have since shown volatile movements.」

    Market conditions shifted from high crude oil prices in the first half to a decline from December onward, but the impact on results continues to require monitoring amid volatile market conditions.
  17. FY2019-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「Crude oil prices rose sharply year on year due to the extension of OPEC's coordinated production cuts and heightened geopolitical risks resulting from escalating tensions in the Middle East. The impact on economic conditions and the Group's results therefore requires continued monitoring.」

    Crude oil prices rose sharply year on year, and the impact on fuel costs and international revenue continued to require monitoring. Measures to mitigate the impact through fuel surcharges and hedging are described separately.
  18. FY2019-Q1Crude oil prices remained high, then fell, while the yen shifted to appreciationAnnual report

    「Crude oil prices, which affect the Group's fuel procurement costs, international passenger revenue and international cargo revenue, remained higher year on year due to the extension of OPEC's coordinated production cuts and heightened geopolitical risks resulting from escalating tensions in the Middle East. Meanwhile, the yen appreciated against the US dollar year on year from January onward against a backdrop that included concerns over the US political situation.」

    Crude oil prices remained high year on year, while the yen shifted to appreciation against the US dollar year on year. The combination of risk factors related to fuel costs and foreign-currency-denominated revenue changed.
  19. FY2018-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「Crude oil prices, which affect the Company's fuel procurement costs, international passenger revenue and international cargo revenue, remained relatively high year on year and rose particularly from July onward due to the extension of OPEC's coordinated production cuts and geopolitical risks, including political instability in Saudi Arabia. Meanwhile, the yen depreciated against the US dollar year on year due to FOMC rate hikes from mid-June onward and expectations for progress on US tax reform legislation toward the end of November.」

    Elevated and rising crude oil prices and the yen's depreciation continued, and market risks related to fuel procurement costs and foreign-currency-denominated revenue continued to be disclosed.
  20. FY2018-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「Crude oil prices, which affect the Company's fuel procurement costs, international passenger revenue and international cargo revenue, remained higher year on year and rose particularly from July onward following upward revisions to crude oil demand forecasts by the International Energy Agency (IEA) and OPEC. Meanwhile, although the US dollar exchange rate remained broadly at the same level as in the previous year, the yen depreciated from mid-June onward alongside FOMC rate hikes.」

    Crude oil prices were higher year on year and rose from July onward, while the yen depreciated against the US dollar from mid-June onward, worsening market conditions related to fuel costs and foreign-currency revenue compared with the previous quarter.
  21. FY2018-Q1MitigatedAnnual report

    「Although crude oil prices, which affect the Company's fuel procurement costs, international passenger revenue and international cargo revenue, remained higher than in the previous year, they fell in June due in part to divisions within OPEC over coordinated production cuts. Meanwhile, the US dollar exchange rate remained broadly at the same level as in the previous year.」

    Crude oil prices were higher than in the previous year but fell in June, while the US dollar exchange rate was broadly at the same level as in the previous year. Some of the market deterioration described in the previous quarter, including the sharp rise in crude oil prices and the yen's depreciation, eased.
  22. FY2017-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「Crude oil prices, which affect our fuel procurement costs, international passenger revenue and international cargo revenue, remained lower than in the previous year but rose sharply from December onward due to factors including the agreement to cut oil production at an OPEC meeting. The US dollar exchange rate continued to trend toward a stronger yen compared with the previous year, but the yen weakened from December onward after the US Federal Open Market Committee raised its policy interest rate target range.」

    The disclosure states that crude oil prices rose sharply and the yen weakened from December onward, changing the market risk environment related to fuel costs and foreign-currency-denominated revenue.
  23. FY2017-Q2First statedAnnual report

    「Crude oil prices, which affect our fuel procurement costs, international passenger revenue and international cargo revenue, remained lower than in the previous year, while the US dollar exchange rate continued to trend toward a stronger yen.」

    This indicates exposure to fluctuations in crude oil prices and the US dollar exchange rate, which affect fuel procurement costs and international revenue.
Moved together

"Occurrence of Serious Incidents and Aviation Accidents and Safety Risks" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 6 of its 27 moves.

643333★123456
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Occurrence of Serious Incidents and Aviation Accidents and Safety Risks6×
  3. 2Achievement of Targets under the FY2012–FY2016 Medium-Term Management Plan4×
  4. 3Capturing Demand for International Cargo and International Mail3×
  5. 4Aircraft Renewal and Optimization of Fleet Specifications3×
  6. 5Operational and Fuel Market Risks Arising from the Russia-Ukraine Situation3×
  7. 6Enhancement of International In-Flight Products and Cabin Services3×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

When this could move next
Japan Airlines's next results are scheduled for 2026-11-02. Read the earnings preview It last moved in the Earnings of 2026-11-02: "Worsened".