Uncertainty over the economic outlook due to emerging-market stagnation, the UK's withdrawal from the EU and yen appreciation
First written in FY2017-Q1. 10 of 33 entries say "Worsened", first in FY2019-Q3. Latest entry: FY2026.
Sakurajima Futo moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2019, the same year as the typical company in this theme.
The whole theme swung hardest in 2022: 140 of 172 companies on the "Worse" side.
25 other companies' latest entry also says "Other".
- FY2026Reference to uncertainty arising from labor shortages and the situation in the Middle EastAnnual report
「At the same time, the outlook for the domestic economy remains uncertain due to the entrenched labor shortage and geopolitical risks arising from the situation in the Middle East and elsewhere.」
In addition to the existing sources of uncertainty concerning overseas political and economic conditions and trade policy, the company identifies persistent labor shortages and geopolitical risks, including the situation in the Middle East, as concerns affecting the operating environment for the current fiscal year. - 2026-05-14OtherEarnings
「At the same time, the outlook for the domestic economy remains uncertain due to the entrenched labor shortage and geopolitical risks arising from the situation in the Middle East and elsewhere.」
The entrenched labor shortage and geopolitical risks, including the situation in the Middle East, are explicitly identified as sources of uncertainty in the business environment. - FY2026-H1Additional concerns over US trade policyAnnual report
「The outlook remains uncertain due to continued price increases, persistently high energy costs, and concerns over U.S. trade policy, among other factors.」
While noting a gradual recovery in the economy, the company identifies inflation, persistently high energy costs, and concerns about US trade policy as new sources of uncertainty. - FY2025-H1Additional concerns over monetary tightening and a downside in overseas economiesAnnual report
「The outlook remains uncertain due to recession risks, including persistently high raw material and energy costs against the backdrop of yen depreciation, continued global monetary tightening, and concerns about a downturn in overseas economies.」
Regarding the external economic environment, the company identifies continued global monetary tightening and concerns about a downturn in overseas economies, together with persistently high raw material and energy costs, as sources of uncertainty. - FY2024-Q3Additional risk from heightened tensions in the Middle EastAnnual report
「Meanwhile, unstable conditions continue, including the prolonged situation in Ukraine and escalating tensions in the Middle East. Against this backdrop, the outlook remains uncertain due to soaring raw material and energy prices, rising prices, and sharp fluctuations in financial and foreign exchange markets.」
The company notes the normalization of social and economic activity following COVID-19’s reclassification to Category 5, while explicitly identifying the heightened tensions in the Middle East, in addition to the prolonged situation in Ukraine, as a destabilizing external factor. - FY2024-Q2Recovery after the pandemic subsides alongside downside risk from stagnation in the Chinese economyAnnual report
「During the cumulative second quarter of the fiscal year, Japan's economy showed signs of a gradual recovery as social and economic activity continued to return to normal following the reclassification of COVID-19 as a Class 5 infectious disease. At the same time, downside risks to the global economy are becoming more apparent, including soaring raw material and energy prices against the backdrop of the situation in Ukraine, rising prices, sharp fluctuations in financial and foreign exchange markets, and stagnation in the Chinese economy. The outlook therefore remains uncertain.」
The company notes the normalization of social and economic activity following COVID-19’s reclassification to Category 5, while adding stagnation in the Chinese economy as a new downside risk and stating that uncertainty about the outlook continues. - FY2024-Q1Easing of restrictions on activity alongside higher resource prices and yen depreciation-driven inflationAnnual report
「During the cumulative first quarter of the fiscal year, Japan's economy has been gradually recovering, with corporate economic activity and personal consumption picking up moderately following the easing of restrictions on activities related to COVID-19. However, the outlook remains uncertain amid unstable international conditions, including the prolonged economic sanctions related to the conflict in Ukraine, rising resource and grain prices, and accelerating inflation driven by the yen's depreciation.」
The company notes a recovery in corporate activity and personal consumption following the easing of restrictions on activity, while stating that uncertainty about the outlook continues due to the prolonged economic sanctions, rising resource and grain prices, and yen depreciation-driven inflation. - FY2023-Q3Easing of restrictions on activity alongside resource price increases, yen depreciation and market volatility risksAnnual report
「During the first 3 quarters of the current consolidated fiscal year, Japan’s economy showed signs of recovery in corporate economic activity and personal consumption as restrictions on activity were eased, despite the prolonged impact of COVID-19. However, the outlook remained uncertain due to soaring raw material and energy prices resulting from the prolonged situation in Ukraine, rising prices caused by the yen’s rapid depreciation, and sharp fluctuations in financial and foreign exchange markets.」
While noting a recovery in corporate activity and personal consumption following the easing of restrictions on activity, the company also identifies the prolonged pandemic, the situation in Ukraine, soaring resource prices, rapid yen depreciation, and volatility in financial and foreign exchange markets as external sources of uncertainty. - FY2023-Q2The coexistence of a pause in the spread of infections and external downside risksAnnual report
「During the current second-quarter cumulative consolidated period, the spread of the novel coronavirus disease appeared to have paused, and corporate economic activity and personal consumption showed signs of recovery. On the other hand, downside risks to the global economy, including soaring raw material and energy prices against the backdrop of the situation in Ukraine, rising prices and sharp fluctuations in financial and foreign exchange markets, were becoming evident, and uncertainty over the outlook continued.」
While recognizing a pause in the spread of the novel coronavirus disease and a recovery in economic activity, the risks of soaring raw material and energy prices against the backdrop of the situation in Ukraine, rising prices and sharp fluctuations in financial and foreign exchange markets continue to be disclosed. - FY2023-Q1RestatedAnnual report
「During the current first-quarter cumulative consolidated period, the difficult conditions caused by the novel coronavirus disease gradually eased, and corporate economic activity and personal consumption showed signs of recovery. On the other hand, downside risks to the global economy, including soaring raw material and energy prices resulting from the situation in Ukraine, rising prices and fluctuations in financial and foreign exchange markets, are becoming evident, leaving the company in a difficult environment requiring continued close attention.」
While recognizing the easing of conditions caused by the coronavirus disease and the recovery in economic activity, risks in the external environment arising from the situation in Ukraine, prices of goods and resources, and fluctuations in financial and foreign exchange markets continue to be disclosed. - FY2022WorsenedAnnual report
「These effects are also rapidly driving changes in Japan's overall industrial structure, testing the ability of each industry and company to respond.」
In addition to the coronavirus disease, disruptions to logistics networks, soaring resource and grain prices, fluctuations in foreign exchange and financial markets, and the impact of Russia's invasion of Ukraine on the resources and energy sectors are cited, heightening concerns about uncertainty in the economic environment and structural change. - FY2022-Q3The coexistence of a recovery in economic activity and concerns about new variantsAnnual report
「During the current third-quarter cumulative consolidated period, corporate activity and personal consumption showed signs of recovery as the impact of the novel coronavirus disease gradually eased and vaccinations progressed. However, the economy is expected to remain in a difficult situation with an unpredictable outlook, amid concerns about a resurgence of the disease caused by the emergence of new variants from the beginning of autumn onward. Meanwhile, the global economy showed signs of moving toward normalization, particularly in China and in the United States and Europe, where economic measures and the easing of restrictions on economic activity were progressing. However, concerns about the spread of new coronavirus variants cannot be dispelled, and close attention remains necessary regarding the effects of soaring raw material prices and semiconductor supply shortages.」
While recognizing the easing impact of the infectious disease and the recovery in corporate activity and personal consumption in Japan, new variants, soaring raw material prices and semiconductor shortages are cited as reasons why uncertainty over the outlook remains. - FY2022-Q2Addition of semiconductor shortages and soaring raw material prices as factors of uncertaintyAnnual report
「During the current second-quarter cumulative consolidated period, the Japanese economy remained in an extremely difficult situation. Although some manufacturing industries showed signs of recovery as the spread of the novel coronavirus disease led to the expansion of areas under a state of emergency, economic activity centered on personal consumption, including travel and dining out, was constrained by restrictions on going out, slowing the overall recovery. Meanwhile, expectations for normalization of economic activity increased in the global economy, particularly in China, where recovery was progressing, and in the United States and Europe, where economic measures and the easing of restrictions on economic activity were advancing. However, the outlook remained uncertain because containment of infections in Asia continued to lag, global semiconductor supply shortages persisted and raw material prices continued to rise.」
In Japan, the recovery was slow because of the resurgence of the novel coronavirus disease and restrained personal consumption. Globally, delays in containing infections in Asia, semiconductor shortages and soaring raw material prices are cited as new factors of uncertainty. - FY2022-Q1WorsenedAnnual report
「During the current first-quarter cumulative consolidated period, the Japanese economy remained in an extremely difficult situation as economic activity was restricted by the prolonged impact of the novel coronavirus disease, the application of priority preventive measures and the issuance of the third declaration of a state of emergency. Although some corporate earnings and investment activity showed signs of recovery amid expectations that the effects of economic measures implemented by various countries and the spread of vaccines would bring the pandemic under control, the emergence of highly transmissible variants has again increased uncertainty over the outlook for economic activity.」
The prolonged infectious disease, the third declaration of a state of emergency and the emergence of variants are cited, with uncertainty over the outlook for economic activity having increased again. - FY2021WorsenedAnnual report
「During the current consolidated fiscal year, the Japanese economy remained in an extremely difficult situation due to the spread of the novel coronavirus disease and the impact of two declarations of a state of emergency.」
The spread of infections and declarations of a state of emergency, along with the spread of mutant viruses, intensifying US-China tensions and downside risks to economic activity, are cited, with uncertainty over the economy and demand having increased. - FY2021-Q3WorsenedAnnual report
「During the current third-quarter cumulative consolidated period, the Japanese economy remained in an extremely difficult situation due to the impact of the novel coronavirus disease. Although economic activity showed signs of a gradual recovery after the lifting of the state of emergency, personal consumption remained sluggish and companies continued to take a cautious approach to capital investment. With infections recently resurging in Japan and overseas, uncertainty over domestic and overseas demand has again been increasing.」
While the impact of the infectious disease continues, the resurgence of infections in Japan and overseas is cited as having increased uncertainty over the outlook for domestic and overseas demand again. - FY2021-Q2WorsenedAnnual report
「During the current second-quarter cumulative consolidated period, sentiment toward the Japanese economy deteriorated rapidly as economic activity across all industries stagnated due to the spread of the novel coronavirus disease and the resulting declarations of a state of emergency. More recently, some exports bottomed out as overseas economies began to recover, and production activity, particularly in the automotive industry, has begun to improve. However, personal consumption remains sluggish and capital investment is declining, so the difficult outlook is expected to continue.」
The stagnation of economic activity across all industries due to the spread of the novel coronavirus disease and declarations of a state of emergency, as well as the delayed recovery in personal consumption and capital investment, are cited, with the economic outlook remaining difficult. - FY2020WorsenedAnnual report
「In particular, declining demand due to China's economic downturn and supply chain disruptions rapidly became evident. Just as corporate earnings, which had remained strong, were being forced to undergo downward revisions, particularly in the manufacturing sector, an explosive outbreak of the novel coronavirus disease began at the end of the year. Corporate and individual activities came to a virtual standstill, bringing the industrial economy as a whole into an extremely difficult and unpredictable phase.」
In addition to the existing US-China trade friction and slowdown in China's economy, the stagnation of activity caused by the novel coronavirus disease is cited, with uncertainty over the economic outlook having increased further. - FY2020-Q3WorsenedAnnual report
「On the other hand, in addition to US-China trade friction and the UK's Brexit issue, concerns arose over the impact on the economy of uncertainty in political and economic developments, including the newly emerging tensions in the Middle East, making the outlook increasingly uncertain.」
In addition to the existing US-China trade friction and the UK's Brexit issue, tensions in the Middle East are cited as a new factor of uncertainty, with the economic outlook having become increasingly uncertain. - FY2020-Q2WorsenedAnnual report
「During the current second-quarter cumulative consolidated period, the Japanese economy maintained a gradual recovery trend, supported by solid capital investment and a favorable employment and income environment. However, amid growing uncertainty in overseas conditions arising from US-China trade friction and the UK's Brexit, the outlook for future economic conditions was becoming increasingly difficult to predict.」
While recognizing the strength of capital investment and the employment and income environment, the increasingly uncertain overseas environment resulting from US-China trade friction and the UK's Brexit is cited, with concerns about the outlook having intensified. - FY2020-Q1Concerns about a downturn in China's economy and supply chain disruptionsAnnual report
「During the current first-quarter cumulative consolidated period, capital investment continued to trend upward and corporate earnings remained firm, particularly in the non-manufacturing sector. However, concerns about the impact of US-China trade friction, a downturn in China's economy and resulting changes in global supply chains have made the outlook increasingly difficult to predict.」
While recognizing the economic recovery and firm corporate earnings, US-China trade friction, a downturn in China's economy and changes in global supply chains are cited as new factors of uncertainty. - FY2019WorsenedAnnual report
「In the latter half of the period, an economic slowdown became evident in China and the EU, attributable to intensifying US-China trade friction and protectionist moves, including the UK's Brexit issue, and the outlook rapidly became more uncertain.」
Intensifying US-China trade friction, the UK's Brexit issue and an economic slowdown in China and the EU resulting from protectionist moves are cited, with uncertainty over the outlook having increased. - FY2019-Q3WorsenedAnnual report
「During the current third-quarter cumulative consolidated period, the Japanese economy remained in a phase of gradual recovery, with corporate performance and the employment environment remaining favorable and capital investment increasing. However, global financial markets were unstable amid concerns about an economic downturn resulting from intensifying US-China trade friction, making the outlook increasingly uncertain.」
While recognizing the economic recovery, concerns about an economic downturn resulting from intensifying US-China trade friction and the resulting instability in financial markets are cited, with uncertainty over the outlook having increased. - FY2019-Q2Reference to US-China trade friction and US rate hikesAnnual report
「During the current second-quarter cumulative consolidated period, the Japanese economy remained in a phase of gradual recovery, with corporate performance and the employment environment remaining favorable and capital investment trending upward. However, the outlook remained uncertain because of concerns about the impact of US-China trade friction and US interest rate hikes.」
While recognizing the economic recovery, US-China trade friction and US interest rate hikes are cited as external-environment factors of uncertainty. - FY2019-Q1Reference to US-originated trade frictionAnnual report
「Concerns over higher raw material costs due to rising crude oil prices and trade friction originating in the United States persist, and the outlook remains uncertain.」
Trade friction originating in the United States is specifically cited as a factor of uncertainty affecting the global economy and overseas political and economic conditions. - FY2018Reference to the risk of a trade warAnnual report
「However, the outlook for Japan's economy remains difficult to predict because of the risk of a trade war stemming from US protectionism and uncertainty surrounding international politics.」
In addition to the previous uncertainty surrounding overseas political and economic developments, the risk of a trade war stemming from US protectionism is cited as a specific factor of concern. - FY2018-Q3Reference to geopolitical riskAnnual report
「During the current third-quarter cumulative consolidated period, the Japanese economy expanded moderately on the back of strong global economic conditions. Although concerns about overseas political developments and rising geopolitical risks remained, the outlook was beginning to appear somewhat more optimistic.」
While recognizing strong global economic conditions and a somewhat more optimistic outlook, concerns about overseas political developments and rising geopolitical risks are cited as new factors of uncertainty. - FY2018-Q2Change in factors of concernAnnual report
「During the current second-quarter cumulative consolidated period, the Japanese economy was gradually expanding due to the recovery of the global economy and the resulting improvement in corporate earnings. However, the outlook remained uncertain because of concerns about the policies of the US administration and the situation on the Korean Peninsula.」
While recognizing the recovery of the global economy, the policies of the US administration and the situation on the Korean Peninsula are cited as new factors of concern, and uncertainty over the outlook continues. - FY2018-Q1RestatedAnnual report
「During the current first-quarter cumulative consolidated period, the Japanese economy was gradually recovering due to the recovery of the global economy and increased corporate activity. However, the outlook remained uncertain because of concerns about political and economic developments in developed economies such as the United States and the EU, as well as in Asian countries such as China.」
While recognizing the recovery of the global economy, political and economic developments in the United States, the EU and China continue to be cited as concerns regarding the economic outlook. - FY2017RestatedAnnual report
「The economic outlook remained uncertain amid concerns about the outlook for emerging market economies, including China, and political developments in Europe and the United States.」
Uncertainty about emerging market economies and the economic outlook arising from overseas political developments continues to be cited as a business-environment risk for the fiscal year. - FY2017-Q3RestatedAnnual report
「During the current third-quarter cumulative consolidated period, the Japanese economy was on a gradual recovery trend due to improvements in corporate earnings and the employment environment. However, the economic environment remained unstable and the outlook continued to be uncertain because of concerns about slower economic growth in emerging markets and the growing impact of overseas political and economic developments on foreign exchange rates and stock markets.」
Concerns about slower growth in emerging markets, the impact of overseas political and economic developments on foreign exchange and stock markets, and uncertainty over the economic outlook continue to be cited as external-environment concerns. - FY2017-Q2RestatedAnnual report
「Global trade volumes, including trade in resources and raw materials, our company's main products, remained sluggish due to the UK's Brexit issue, China's overproduction and slower growth in emerging markets. The real economy was also affected, with the yen exchange rate remaining at around levels just above ¥100, and the economic outlook remained increasingly uncertain.」
Brexit, China's overproduction, slower growth in emerging markets, sluggish global trade volumes and the yen exchange rate continue to be cited as external-environment concerns. - FY2017-Q1First statedAnnual report
「The outlook for the economy became increasingly uncertain due to growing domestic and international concerns, including the increasing slowdown in the global economy resulting from stagnation in emerging markets, led by China, and the UK's decision to leave the EU, as well as the rapid appreciation of the yen.」
Stagnation in emerging market economies, the UK's decision to leave the EU and rapid yen appreciation are cited as external-environment concerns.