Risk of declining travel demand due to economic fluctuations
First written in FY2019-Q3. 5 of 24 entries say "Mitigated", first in FY2024-Q2. Latest entry: 2026-09-14.
Value Golf moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2019, 1 year before the typical company in this theme (2020).
The whole theme swung hardest in 2020: 11 of 16 companies on the "Worse" side.
1 other company's latest entry also says "Other".
- 2026-09-14OtherEarnings
「Outbound travel was adversely affected by the weak yen and rising prices overseas. Meanwhile, strong inbound demand continues, supported by Japan's popularity as a travel destination.」
The recovery in outbound travel remains constrained, while inbound demand continues. - FY2027-H1Resilient inbound demand and delayed outbound recoveryAnnual report
「In the operating environment surrounding the travel business, the number of international visitors to Japan was 3,560,000 in May, down 3.6% year on year, 3,148,000 in June, down 6.8%, and 3,442,000 in July, up 0.1%. For the second consecutive year, the cumulative total through the first half exceeded 21 million (Japan National Tourism Organization, JNTO). Meanwhile, the number of Japanese departing the country was 1,127,000 in May, up 4.7% year on year, 1,090,000 in June, up 3.4%, and 1,191,000 in July, down 1.2%. Although passport application fees were reduced from July and measures were introduced to boost the number of Japanese departing the country, recovery continues to take time due to higher airfares, the weaker yen, and high prices overseas (Japan National Tourism Organization, JNTO).」
Inbound demand remained strong, with the cumulative number of international visitors to Japan exceeding 21 million in the first half, while Japanese overseas travel is taking time to recover due to higher airfares, the weaker yen, and high prices overseas. - FY2026MitigatedAnnual report
「The cumulative number of international visitors to Japan exceeded 40 million in 2025 and remained on track.」
Regarding the risk of declining travel demand, the cumulative number of international visitors to Japan exceeded 40 million in 2025, indicating further progress in the recovery. - FY2026-H1MitigatedAnnual report
「In the operating environment surrounding the travel business, the number of international visitors to Japan was 3,693,000 in May, up 21.5% year on year, 3,377,000 in June, up 7.6%, and 3,437,000 in July, up 4.4%. Cumulatively, the total exceeded 20 million by the end of June, the fastest pace on record, and remained on track.」
The recovery in inbound demand progressed, with the number of international visitors to Japan exceeding the same-month levels of the previous year and cumulatively surpassing 20 million by the end of June, the fastest pace on record. - FY2025-H1MitigatedAnnual report
「In the operating environment surrounding the travel business, the number of international visitors to Japan continued to recover, reaching 3,040,000 in May, up 60.1% year on year, 3,135,000 in June, up 51.2%, and 3,292,000 in July, up 41.9%. In particular, June and July each set a new monthly record, with the record being updated for 2 consecutive months.」
The recovery in travel demand progressed, and the number of international visitors to Japan reached new monthly records in June and July. The risk of declining demand was easing, but exchange-rate fluctuations and price competition remained. - FY2025-Q1MitigatedAnnual report
「The number of international visitors to Japan increased as demand was driven by relatively low prices in Japan and the weaker yen, reaching 3,081,000 in March, up 69.5% year on year, and 3,042,000 in April, up 56.1%, exceeding 3 million for the second consecutive month. The number of Japanese departing the country also continued to increase, reaching 1,219,000 in March, up 75.7% year on year, and 888,000 in April, up 58.7% (Japan National Tourism Organization, JNTO).」
Both international visitors to Japan and Japanese outbound travelers were well above the previous year, indicating that the risk of declining travel demand was easing. However, higher prices due to insufficient flight capacity remained. - FY2024Recovery in inbound demand and delayed recovery in outbound demandAnnual report
「Meanwhile, the number of Japanese departing the country was 1,027,000 in November, down 37.5% from the same month in 2019, 947,000 in December, down 44.6%, and 838,000 in January, down 42.3%. The recovery has taken time due to higher airfares and inflation caused by the weaker yen.」
Although the number of international visitors to Japan recovered to pre-pandemic levels, Japanese outbound travel demand remained down 37.5% to 44.6% from 2019 levels, indicating a delayed recovery. - FY2024-Q3Recovery in inbound demand and delayed recovery in outbound demandAnnual report
「Meanwhile, the number of Japanese departing the country was 1,200,000 in August, down 43.1% from the same month in 2019, 1,004,000 in September, down 42.6%, and 937,000 in October, down 43.6%, indicating that the recovery in outbound travel would take additional time.」
Inbound travel to Japan recovered, while Japanese overseas travel demand remained down 42.6% to 43.6% from the same months in 2019, indicating a delayed recovery. - FY2024-Q2MitigatedAnnual report
「The number of Japanese departing the country also showed a gradual recovery, reaching 675,000 in May, down 53% from the same month in 2019, 703,000 in June, down 53.8%, and 891,000 in July, down 46.3% (Japan National Tourism Organization, JNTO).」
The number of Japanese departing the country increased from 675,000 in May to 891,000 in July, indicating progress in the recovery of travel demand. However, it remained down 46.3% from 2019 levels. - FY2024-Q1Recovery in travel demand and expectations for demand growth driven by tourism policyAnnual report
「Following the Cabinet's approval of a new Basic Plan for the Promotion of a Tourism-Oriented Nation on 31 March 2023, inbound tourism, regional tourism promotion, and measures to expand consumption are expected to be promoted as Japan works to revive tourism.」
In addition to the recovery trend in travel demand, the new Basic Plan for the Promotion of a Tourism-Oriented Nation is expected to promote inbound tourism, regional tourism promotion, and measures to expand consumption. - FY2023Progress in the recovery of overseas travel demand and concerns over rising costsAnnual report
「The number of international visitors to Japan was 934,000 in November, down 61.7% from the same month in 2019, 1,370,000 in December, down 45.8%, and 1,497,000 in January, down 44.3%, with the recovery trend continuing due to the effects of the Christmas holidays, the Lunar New Year, and increased flight capacity. However, rising prices and airfares and labor shortages affecting airlines and travel companies remained concerns for travel to Japan.」
Travel demand shifted to a recovery trend but remained below 2019 levels, while higher prices and labor shortages were identified as concerns for demand and earnings. - FY2023-Q3Easing of entry restrictions and progress in recovery despite weak overseas demandAnnual report
「The number of Japanese departing the country showed a marked upward trend, reaching 386,412 in August, down 81.7% from the same month in 2019, 319,165 in September, down 81.8%, and 349,600 in October, down 79.0%, providing clear signs of a recovery in demand (Japan National Tourism Organization, JNTO).」
Although the number of Japanese departing the country remained 79.0% to 81.8% below 2019 levels, clear signs of a recovery in demand were reported. - FY2023-Q2Recovery in cross-border travel demand despite weak overseas demandAnnual report
「The number of Japanese departing the country also gradually recovered, reaching 134,000 in May, up 344.9% year on year, and 171,000 in June, up 459.3% (Japan National Tourism Organization, JNTO). In June, Japan also resumed accepting escorted package tours for foreign tourists, raising expectations for a full-scale recovery in inbound tourism.」
Although travel demand remained affected by restrictions, signs of recovery emerged as the number of Japanese departing the country recovered and Japan resumed accepting escorted inbound package tours. - FY2023-Q1Easing of restrictions amid weak overseas travel demandAnnual report
「The number of Japanese departing the country also remained sharply depressed at 46,932 in February, down 96.9% from the same month in 2019, and 70,700 in March, down 96.3%, and stagnation in the travel industry continued compared with before the spread of COVID-19.」
The number of Japanese departing the country also remained substantially depressed, down 96.3% to 96.9% from the same months in 2019, and travel demand remained stagnant. - FY2022Continued weakness in overseas travel demand and a modest recovery in outbound travelersAnnual report
「Meanwhile, the annual number of Japanese departing the country showed a modest recovery compared with the number of international visitors to Japan, as more countries eased entry restrictions and restrictions on activities after entry following the spread of vaccinations. Although the situation remains uncertain due to the emergence of the Omicron variant, we have continued to operate the business efficiently by closely monitoring entry and exit restrictions and market trends in each country and responding quickly.」
While overseas travel demand remained weak, the number of Japanese departing the country showed a modest recovery against a backdrop of vaccinations and easing restrictions, while uncertainty related to the Omicron variant persisted. - FY2022-Q3Continued weakness in overseas travel demand and signs of a recovery in domestic demandAnnual report
「The number of international visitors to Japan remained low at 25,900 in August, down 99.0% from the same month in 2019, and 17,700 in September, down 97.0%. The number of Japanese departing the country also plunged to 66,051 in August, down 96.9% from the same month in 2019, and 52,400 in September, down 97.0%, indicating that travel demand remained stagnant worldwide (Japan National Tourism Organization, JNTO). In Japan, the state of emergency and measures to prevent the spread of infection, which had continued in response to the summer wave of infections, were lifted nationwide at the end of September. From October onward, the transition to living with COVID-19, involving a phased return to normal life, progressed, and signs of a gradual recovery in travel demand began to emerge.」
While overseas travel demand remained stagnant, down 97.0% to 99.0% from 2019, signs of a recovery emerged in domestic travel. - FY2022-Q2RestatedAnnual report
「The number of international visitors to Japan remained low at 10,000 in May, down 99.6% from the same month in 2019, and 9,300 in June, down 99.7%. The number of Japanese departing the country also plunged to 30,123 in May, down 97.9% from the same month in 2019, and 30,700 in June, down 98.0% (Japan National Tourism Organization, JNTO), indicating that travel demand remained stagnant worldwide.」
International visitors to Japan were down 99.6% to 99.7% from the same months in 2019, while Japanese outbound travelers were down 97.9% to 98.0%, indicating that travel demand remained stagnant. - FY2022-Q1RestatedAnnual report
「The number of international visitors to Japan was 7,400 in February, down 99.7% from the same month in 2019, and 12,300 in March, down 99.6%. Both figures were substantially lower than in 2019. The number of Japanese departing the country also plunged to 24,800 in February, down 98.4% from the same month in 2019, and 28,900 in March, down 98.5% (Japan National Tourism Organization, JNTO), and travel demand remained stagnant.」
Travel demand remained stagnant, with declines of 98% to 99% from the reference year continuing in both international visitors to Japan and Japanese outbound travelers. - FY2021WorsenedAnnual report
「From April 2020 onward, conditions became extremely difficult, with both international visitors to Japan and Japanese outbound travelers down 99.9% year on year.」
The decline in travel demand worsened to a level at which both international visitors to Japan and Japanese outbound travelers were down 99.9% year on year. - FY2021-Q3RestatedAnnual report
「The number of inbound visitors to Japan was 8,700 in August, down 99.7% year on year, and 13,700 in September, down 99.4%, remaining well below the previous year's level for 12 consecutive months. The number of Japanese nationals departing the country also fell sharply, to 37,137 in August, down 98.2% year on year, and 31,600 in September, down 98.2%, according to the Japan National Tourism Organization (JNTO), indicating that travel demand was stagnant worldwide.」
Travel demand remained stagnant, with both international visitors to Japan and Japanese outbound travelers down approximately 98% to 99% year on year. - FY2021-Q2WorsenedAnnual report
「The number of inbound visitors to Japan was 1,700 in May, down 99.9% year on year, and 2,600 in June, also down 99.9%, remaining well below the previous year's level for 9 consecutive months. The number of Japanese nationals departing the country also fell sharply, to 5,539 in May, down 99.6% year on year, and 10,700 in June, down 99.3%, according to the Japan National Tourism Organization (JNTO), indicating that travel demand was stagnant worldwide.」
The decline in travel demand continued, with international visitors to Japan down 99.9% and Japanese outbound travelers down 99.3% to 99.6%. - FY2021-Q1WorsenedAnnual report
「The number of international visitors to Japan was 190,000 in March, down 93.0% year on year, and 2,900 in April, down 99.9%, the lowest levels recorded since statistics began in 1964. The number of Japanese departing the country also plunged to 270,000 in March, down 85.9% year on year, and 3,900 in April, down 99.8% (Japan National Tourism Organization, JNTO), indicating that travel demand was stagnant worldwide.」
The decline in travel demand became evident in the sharp decreases of 85.9% to 99.9% year on year in the numbers of international visitors to Japan and Japanese outbound travelers. - FY2020-Q2WorsenedAnnual report
「However, in Japan, consumer fatigue from spending during Golden Week, a long holiday period, was also evident, and consumers tended to curb spending thereafter.」
Domestic consumers tended to curb spending after the long holiday period, which has been cited as a factor weighing on travel demand. - FY2019-Q3First statedAnnual report
「Travel demand is largely driven by personal consumption, corporate employee benefits, and sales promotion activities, and is highly sensitive to changes in economic conditions. If significant economic fluctuations result in weaker personal consumption or a substantial deterioration in corporate performance, the Group's business and results could be affected.」
The risk that travel demand, which depends on personal consumption and corporate activity, will decline due to economic fluctuations has been newly described.