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CVS Bay Area (2687) · RiskRestated

Rising Construction Costs and Declining Condominium Supply and Sales Volumes

First written in FY2017-Q1. 7 of 15 entries say "Worsened", first in FY2017-Q2. Latest entry: FY2026.

15entries
11years
0from disclosures
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseWorsenedFY2017-Q2 – FY2018-Q3SoftenedFY20202016: 220162017: 320172018: 320182019: 320192020: 220202021: 020212022: 020222023: 020232024: 020242025: 120252026: 12026
Same theme, other companies
Sluggish condominium supply and stagnant sales conditionsA theme 6 companies write about · 6 as a headwind · 0 as a tailwind

CVS Bay Area moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2016, 9 years before the typical company in this theme (2025).

0 other companies' latest entry also says "Restated".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. FY2026RestatedAnnual report

    「The nationwide condominium sales environment remains challenging, with new unit volumes continuing to trend downward, construction costs remaining elevated, and a shortage of land suitable for construction.」

    Continued to identify declining new condominium unit volumes, elevated construction costs, and a shortage of land as market risks.
  2. FY2025RestatedAnnual report

    「The nationwide condominium sales environment remains challenging, with new unit volumes continuing to trend downward, construction costs remaining elevated, and a shortage of land suitable for construction.」

    Continued to identify declining new condominium unit volumes, elevated construction costs, and a shortage of land as market risks.
  3. FY2020SoftenedAnnual report

    「Real estate companies have taken a cautious approach to supply volumes, and total condominium sales volumes in the Tokyo metropolitan area in 2019 were expected to decline for the first time in 3 years, raising concern over weaker market conditions going forward.」

    The annual disclosure changed the wording from the previous quarter's “expected to reach their lowest level in 27 years” to “decline for the first time in 3 years.” Concern over elevated construction costs and weaker sales volumes, however, continued.
  4. FY2020-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「In the condominium market, selling prices in central Tokyo, which had previously driven the market, have continued to trend upward because construction costs remain elevated. As a result, the number of households able to purchase, including affluent and high-income households, is becoming limited. With demand from ordinary households shrinking, total condominium sales volumes in the Tokyo metropolitan area in 2019 are expected to reach their lowest level in 27 years. In addition, the shortage of land suitable for condominium construction is contributing to a trend toward more properties with fewer units per building, raising concern over weaker market conditions going forward.」

    Against a backdrop of shrinking demand from ordinary households, sales volumes in the Tokyo metropolitan area in 2019 were expected to reach their lowest level in 27 years, providing a more specific and quantitative indication of weaker market conditions.
  5. FY2020-Q1RestatedAnnual report

    「Sales have shown signs of weakening due to elevated construction costs. In addition, the shortage of land suitable for condominium construction is contributing to a trend toward more properties with fewer units per building, raising concern over weaker market conditions going forward.」

    Continued to note weaker market conditions against a backdrop of elevated construction costs, weakening sales, a shortage of land, and the increasing prevalence of smaller properties with fewer units per building.
  6. FY2019RestatedAnnual report

    「Sales of condominiums in the Tokyo metropolitan area have shown signs of weakening due to elevated construction costs. In addition, the shortage of land suitable for condominium construction is contributing to a trend toward more properties with fewer units per building, raising concern over weaker market conditions going forward.」

    Continued to note weaker market conditions against a backdrop of elevated construction costs, weakening sales, a shortage of land, and the increasing prevalence of smaller properties with fewer units per building.
  7. FY2019-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「Elevated construction costs have affected large condominiums in the Tokyo metropolitan area, causing sales to show signs of weakening. Although advance sales of condominiums using the Tokyo Olympics athletes' village are scheduled to begin around early summer this year and a certain level of supply is expected to continue, the shortage of land suitable for condominium construction is contributing to a trend toward more properties with fewer units per building, making it difficult to expect a substantial increase in new sales volumes.」

    Continued to note the difficulty of substantially increasing new sales volumes amid elevated construction costs, weakening sales, a shortage of land, and the increasing prevalence of smaller properties with fewer units per building.
  8. FY2019-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「Sales of tower condominiums in central Tokyo had previously driven the market, but sales have shown signs of slowing as elevated construction costs, reflecting higher land and material prices and labor costs, have affected selling prices. Although a certain level of supply is expected to continue, including large-scale redevelopment projects planned on the former site of the Tokyo Olympics athletes' village, the shortage of land suitable for condominium construction is contributing to a trend toward more properties with fewer units per building, making it increasingly difficult to expect a substantial increase in new sales volumes.」

    The report noted a pause in sales caused by elevated construction costs, a shortage of land, and the increasing prevalence of smaller properties with fewer units per building, clarifying why it is difficult to increase new sales volumes.
  9. FY2019-Q1RestatedAnnual report

    「The condominium market has been driven by strong sales of tower condominiums in central Tokyo. At the same time, construction costs driven by higher material and labor costs have remained elevated, and the number of newly supplied condominiums in suburban areas has been trending downward, indicating increasing market polarization. Although a certain level of supply is expected to continue in central Tokyo through redevelopment projects and other initiatives, land suitable for construction is also in strong demand from other industries, including hotels, making it increasingly difficult to expect a substantial increase in new sales volumes.」

    Continued to note elevated construction costs, declining suburban supply volumes, market polarization, and competition for land with hotels and other industries.
  10. FY2018-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「As construction costs driven by higher material and labor costs have remained elevated, the number of newly supplied condominiums in suburban areas has been trending downward, indicating increasing market polarization. Although a certain level of supply is expected to continue in central Tokyo, including condominium developments planned from 2020 onward on former Olympic-related sites, land suitable for construction is also in strong demand from other industries, including hotels, making it increasingly difficult to expect an increase in new sales volumes.」

    The decline in suburban supply volumes, market polarization, and competition for land in central Tokyo were noted, clarifying why it is difficult to increase new sales volumes.
  11. FY2018-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「However, selling prices have risen as construction costs, including construction costs that remain elevated, have stayed high, making the deterioration in the supply-demand balance increasingly apparent. Even in central Tokyo, where sales at higher price points are possible, land suitable for construction is also in strong demand from other industries, including hotels, making it increasingly difficult to expect new sales volumes to remain at previous levels.」

    In addition to rising construction costs and selling prices, competition for land in central Tokyo was noted, indicating that it is becoming difficult to expect new sales volumes to remain at previous levels.
  12. FY2017WorsenedAnnual report

    「As selling prices have risen, the deterioration in the supply-demand balance has become apparent. Newly sold condominium units in the Tokyo metropolitan area fell 11.6% year on year in 2016, and concern remains over weaker new sales volumes going forward.」

    The deterioration in the supply-demand balance became apparent, and newly sold condominium units in the Tokyo metropolitan area fell 11.6% year on year in 2016.
  13. FY2017-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「The condominium market had been driven mainly by central Tokyo, supported by factors such as lower mortgage rates. However, selling prices, pushed up by higher material and labor costs, have remained elevated, making the deterioration in the supply-demand balance increasingly apparent and raising concern over weaker sales volumes going forward.」

    The deterioration in the supply-demand balance has progressed from a concern to an evident condition amid persistently high selling prices, and weaker sales volumes going forward were noted.
  14. FY2017-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「Concern is growing over a deterioration in the supply-demand balance as selling prices continue to rise, and the downward trend in newly sold condominium units across the Tokyo metropolitan area is expected to continue for some time.」

    Rising selling prices driven by higher construction costs were cited as raising concern over a deterioration in the supply-demand balance, with the decline in units sold expected to continue.
  15. FY2017-Q1First statedAnnual report

    「New supply and development are constrained in areas where it is difficult to pass higher construction costs through to selling prices, and the number of newly marketed condominiums across the Tokyo metropolitan area continues to decline.」

    Identifies higher construction costs, difficulty passing costs through to prices and supply constraints as market risks.
Moved together

"Increasing Hotel Supply and Slowing Growth in Accommodation Demand" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 5 of its 15 moves.

533322★123456
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Increasing Hotel Supply and Slowing Growth in Accommodation Demand5×
  3. 2Growing Risk of Global Economic Disruption and Uncertainty Over the Economic Outlook3×
  4. 3Low awareness and insufficient appeal to foreign visitors, and delayed monetization of unit-style hotels3×
  5. 4Weak Existing-Store Customer Traffic and the Need to Expand the Customer Base3×
  6. 5Risk of Impairment of Fixed Assets and Held Securities2×
  7. 6Industry Consolidation, Increasing Concentration of Store Brands and Continued Competition2×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

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Rising Construction Costs and Declining Condominium Supply and Sales Volumes | CVS Bay Area Inc. (2687) | Komori