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Cox (9876) · RiskMaterialised

Weak Seasonal Demand and the Impact of Weather on Merchandising Cycles

First written in FY2017-Q1. 17 of 27 entries say "Materialised", first in FY2018-Q1. Latest entry: FY2027-H1.

27entries
11years
8from disclosures
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseMaterialisedFY2019-Q1 – FY2020-Q1RestatedFY2020ReframedFY20222016: 220162017: 420172018: 420182019: 220192020: 120202021: 020212022: 120222023: 020232024: 320242025: 120252026: 92026
Same theme, other companies
Sales volatility in fashion products due to seasonality and climateA theme 40 companies write about · 44 as a headwind · 0 as a tailwind

Cox moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2016, 2 years before the typical company in this theme (2018).

The whole theme swung hardest in 2024: 22 of 30 companies on the "Worse" side.

21 other companies' latest entry also says "Materialised".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Showing 14 of the 40 companies compared. The sentences above are computed from all 40.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. FY2027-H1MaterialisedAnnual report

    「The apparel industry also remained in a difficult business environment due to demand fluctuations caused by weather conditions and the continued consumer tendency to economize.」

    Demand fluctuations caused by weather conditions are identified as an actual business-environment factor and are explained in connection with the struggles in store sales and full-price sales.
  2. FY2025MaterialisedAnnual report

    「In the second half, the prolonged late-summer heat, which lasted longer than the previous year, caused a slow start for autumn and winter products, making October difficult. From November onward, however, sales continued to exceed the previous year as temperatures fell.」

    Prolonged late-summer heat slowed the launch of autumn and winter products, and the resulting difficult sales in October demonstrated the seasonal demand and weather risk.
  3. FY2025-H1RestatedAnnual report

    「Purchasing behavior also remained cautious amid unsettled weather and a growing tendency to economize in response to higher prices.」

    The company again confirmed an external environment in which cautious purchasing behavior continues due to unsettled weather and higher prices.
  4. FY2024MaterialisedAnnual report

    「The apparel and fashion industry faced a challenging operating environment. Customer traffic recovered following the easing of restrictions, but the industry was affected by high raw material costs, a weaker yen, prolonged late-summer heat and a mild winter, while concerns about weaker consumer sentiment due to inflation remained.」

    The company stated that it was actually affected by prolonged late-summer heat and a mild winter, demonstrating that seasonal and weather risks materialized in the fiscal year's operating environment.
  5. FY2024-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「In the apparel and fashion industry as well, customer traffic has recovered following the easing of restrictions, but the outlook remains uncertain due to soaring raw material prices, concerns about inflation caused by sharp exchange-rate fluctuations and other factors, and the effects of climate change.」

    The company again confirmed the uncertainty of the external environment, including the impact of climate and weather on demand.
  6. FY2022ReframedAnnual report

    「Many of the apparel and fashion goods handled by the group are highly seasonal, and their sales may be affected by weather conditions such as cool summers, prolonged rain and mild winters. In addition, if shopping centers or logistics functions in areas where the group operates stores suffer serious damage from large-scale natural disasters such as earthquakes, significantly constraining business activities, the group's results may be affected.」

    In addition to the existing risk of weather affecting seasonal products, the company now includes constraints on stores and logistics functions caused by natural disasters such as earthquakes.
  7. FY2020RestatedAnnual report

    「Many of the apparel and fashion goods handled by the group are highly seasonal, and their sales may be affected by weather conditions such as cool summers, prolonged rain and mild winters.」

    The annual report again confirms the risk that seasonal products are affected by weather conditions such as cool summers, prolonged rain and mild winters.
  8. FY2020-Q1MaterialisedAnnual report

    「In the first quarter, in addition to colors, the company introduced products with materials and sleeve lengths that anticipated the season. However, insufficient product variety to respond to temperature changes and insufficient quantities of products suitable for actual demand, among other factors, prevented it from increasing same-store sales. Same-store sales for the cumulative first quarter were 87.7% of the year-earlier period, significantly affecting overall sales.」

    The company was insufficiently prepared for temperature changes and lacked products suited to actual demand, resulting in same-store sales of 87.7% of the year-earlier period. Seasonal demand and weather-related risks materialized again in the quarter.
  9. FY2019-Q3MaterialisedAnnual report

    「By brand, sales at all 3 brands, ikka, LBC and VENCE EXCHANGE, were below the previous year. The company was unable to respond fully to the higher temperatures throughout the third quarter, and its inability to increase customer traffic, partly due to typhoons and the earthquake, also had an impact.」

    High temperatures throughout the third quarter, typhoons and the earthquake prevented the company from increasing customer traffic, and sales at all 3 brands fell below the previous year. Seasonal demand and weather risks materialized in operating results.
  10. FY2019-Q2MaterialisedAnnual report

    「Sales were affected by unstable weather in early spring and heavy rain and typhoons from July onward, which affected customer traffic.」

    Unstable weather in early spring, as well as heavy rain and typhoons from July onward, affected customer traffic.
  11. FY2019-Q1MaterialisedAnnual report

    「However, from April onward, the Company was unable to respond to unstable weather changes. Although it strengthened promotions for Golden Week and Mother's Day, customer traffic failed to grow and the Company struggled. In addition, early-summer and summer products fell substantially short of plan, disrupting the merchandising cycle. As a result, same-store sales for the nine-month consolidated period were 96.9% of the previous year's level.」

    The company was unable to respond to unstable weather changes, resulting in sluggish customer traffic and shortfalls against plan for early-summer and summer merchandise. Same-store sales were 96.9% of the year-earlier period.
  12. FY2018RestatedAnnual report

    「Many of the apparel and fashion goods handled by the group are highly seasonal, and their sales may be affected by weather conditions such as cool summers, prolonged rain and mild winters.」

    The annual report again confirms the risk that seasonal products are affected by weather conditions such as cool summers, prolonged rain and mild winters.
  13. FY2018-Q3MaterialisedAnnual report

    「However, the company was unable to respond fully when a temporary rise in temperatures in mid-October slowed sales of autumn merchandise and the subsequent decline in temperatures caused demand to shift rapidly to early-winter and winter products. In womenswear in particular, although bottoms performed well throughout the month, the delayed switch to winter outerwear was compounded by temporary production delays at subcontracted factories resulting from China's environmental policies and the resulting shipment delays.」

    The company was unable to respond to the seasonal shift in demand caused by a temporary rise in temperatures followed by a rapid decline, resulting in slower sales of autumn merchandise and a delayed switch to winter outerwear.
  14. FY2018-Q2MaterialisedAnnual report

    「In addition, lower temperatures caused by unsettled weather north of the Kanto region and a succession of rainy days reduced customer traffic. Sales were 83.0% of the year-earlier period, significantly affecting first-half results.」

    Lower temperatures and rainfall north of the Kanto region reduced customer traffic, resulting in sales of 83.0% of the year-earlier period.
  15. FY2018-Q1MaterialisedAnnual report

    「Sales of spring merchandise struggled in March, partly because temperatures remained low.」

    The company described an instance of struggling spring merchandise sales due to low temperatures, illustrating the risk that seasonal products are affected by weather.
  16. FY2017RestatedAnnual report

    「Many of the apparel and fashion goods handled by the group are highly seasonal, and their sales may be affected by weather conditions such as cool summers, prolonged rain and mild winters.」

    The annual report explicitly identifies weather-related effects, including cool summers, prolonged rain and mild winters, as business risks for seasonal products.
  17. FY2017-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「No new business or other risks arose during the nine months ended [the current third quarter]. There have also been no material changes to the business and other risks described in the annual securities report for the previous fiscal year.」

    The Company explains that there were no new business or other risks and no material changes to the risks described in the previous fiscal year.
  18. FY2017-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「After struggling to sell winter-season products, including cold-weather outerwear, from November last year onward, particularly as ikka fell substantially short of plan, the company undertook a fundamental review of its merchandising plan, including its product mix and purchasing controls.」

    In addition to weak demand for spring merchandise and the impact of the mild winter on the merchandising cycle, the company specifically cited poor sales of winter products and cold-weather outerwear, as well as ikka's shortfall against plan.
  19. FY2017-Q1First statedAnnual report

    「Demand for spring merchandise was weak in March, and the company shifted to its early-summer merchandise campaign in April.」

    The company specifically cited weak demand for spring merchandise and disruption to the merchandising cycle caused by the previous year's mild winter as external factors associated with lower sales and an operating loss in the quarter.
Moved together

"Improving Gross Profit Margins through Merchandising and Logistics Reform" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 8 of its 27 moves.

886444★123456
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Improving Gross Profit Margins through Merchandising and Logistics Reform8×
  3. 2Normalizing the MD Cycle and Adjusting Inventory8×
  4. 3Strengthening the foundation for sustainable growth and transitioning to a growth trajectory6×
  5. 4Recovery in Same-Store Sales and Customer Traffic4×
  6. 5Price increases driven by higher resource costs and uncertainty over consumer trends4×
  7. 6Missteps in late-summer product planning and lack of differentiation from competing products4×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

When this could move next
No upcoming earnings preview for Cox yet. It last moved in the Earnings of 2026-10-13: "Materialised".
News
No news is linked to this thread yet. When an article touches it, it will appear here by date.
Weak Seasonal Demand and the Impact of Weather on Merchandising Cycles | COX CO.,LTD. (9876) | Komori