Global Economic Uncertainty Stemming from US-China Trade Tensions and Geopolitical Risks
First written in FY2019-Q3. 11 of 15 entries say "Worsened", first in FY2019. Latest entry: FY2026.
The whole theme swung hardest in 2022: 104 of 134 companies on the "Worse" side.
- FY2026WorsenedAnnual report
「During the current consolidated fiscal year, the Japanese economy remained on a path of gradual improvement, supported by improved income conditions, strong inbound consumption and AI-related activity, despite the impact of US trade policy and worsening Japan-China relations. Meanwhile, consumer sentiment deteriorated significantly due to concerns over uncertainty surrounding the situation in the Middle East and rising prices resulting from higher fuel costs. Although the impact on the real economy remains limited, geopolitical risks, including the situation in Ukraine, continue to require close attention.」
In addition to previously cited geopolitical risks, the Company identifies US trade policy, worsening Japan-China relations, the situation in the Middle East and deteriorating consumer sentiment due to higher fuel prices as sources of uncertainty. - FY2026-H1WorsenedAnnual report
「The impact of international developments, including US tariff policy and the situations in the Middle East and Ukraine, on the Japanese economy is difficult to predict, and the outlook remains uncertain.」
In addition to previously cited geopolitical risks and other factors, the Company explicitly identifies US tariff policy as a source of uncertainty. - FY2025-H1WorsenedAnnual report
「During the current interim consolidated accounting period, the Japanese economy showed a gradual improvement, supported by slower inflation due to the correction of yen depreciation and the resumption of subsidies for electricity and gas bills, as well as improving consumer sentiment due to wage growth reflecting the high spring wage increase rate. However, the outlook remained uncertain, partly due to a slowdown in inbound demand, primarily from China, and rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.」
While describing factors supporting economic improvement, the Company explicitly identifies slowing inbound demand from China and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as new sources of uncertainty. - FY2024-Q3WorsenedAnnual report
「Meanwhile, the global economy remains in a chaotic situation, characterized by a resilient US economy amid prolonged conflict in Ukraine and weakness in the European economy, as well as the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas war.」
In addition to the situation in Ukraine and other previously cited factors, the Company identifies the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas war and weakness in the European economy as sources of uncertainty in the global economy. - FY2024-Q2RestatedAnnual report
「Meanwhile, the outlook remains uncertain due to higher energy and raw material prices resulting from heightened global geopolitical risks and sharp exchange-rate fluctuations, among other factors.」
The Company continues to cite geopolitical risks, higher energy and raw material prices, and uncertainty over the outlook resulting from exchange-rate fluctuations. - FY2023-Q3WorsenedAnnual report
「During the cumulative first 3 quarters of the current consolidated fiscal year, the Japanese economy was gradually recovering from the impact of COVID-19 and generally continued to show signs of improvement. However, energy and commodity prices rose further due to the situation in Ukraine and other factors, and the yen depreciated further, accelerating inflation worldwide. Supply constraints caused by semiconductor shortages and supply chain disruptions also persisted, leaving the outlook uncertain.」
In addition to previously cited factors including the pandemic, geopolitical conditions, higher energy prices and inflation, the Company identifies supply constraints caused by semiconductor shortages and supply chain disruptions as factors contributing to an uncertain outlook. - FY2023-Q2RestatedAnnual report
「During the cumulative second quarter of the current consolidated fiscal year, the Japanese economy was gradually recovering from the impact of COVID-19 and generally continued to show signs of improvement. However, energy and commodity prices rose further following Russia's military invasion of Ukraine, accelerating inflation worldwide. As a result, the yen depreciated more than expected. The global economic growth rate also slowed rapidly, creating a situation requiring close attention to future developments.」
The Company continues to identify higher energy and commodity prices triggered by the situation in Ukraine, inflation, yen depreciation and slower global economic growth as sources of uncertainty. - FY2023-Q1WorsenedAnnual report
「During the cumulative first quarter of the current consolidated fiscal year, the Japanese economy was gradually recovering from the impact of COVID-19 and generally continued to show signs of improvement. However, energy and commodity prices rose further following Russia's military invasion of Ukraine, accelerating inflation worldwide. As a result, the yen depreciated more than expected. The global economic growth rate also slowed rapidly, creating a situation requiring close attention to future developments.」
In addition to previously cited sources of uncertainty, the Company identifies higher energy and commodity prices triggered by Russia's military invasion of Ukraine, inflation, yen depreciation and slower global economic growth. - FY2022-Q2WorsenedAnnual report
「During the cumulative second quarter of the current consolidated fiscal year, the Japanese economy continued to face an uncertain outlook in the passenger transportation business. Although expectations for an economic recovery arose as COVID-19 vaccinations progressed in earnest and economic activity benefited from the holding of the Tokyo 2020 Olympic and Paralympic Games, the business was affected by intermittent restrictions on the movement of people due to repeated extensions of the state of emergency as infections from variant strains spread.」
In addition to the prolonged pandemic, the spread of variant strains and restrictions on the movement of people due to repeated extensions of the state of emergency continued to contribute to uncertainty over the outlook for the passenger transportation business. - FY2020WorsenedAnnual report
「During the current consolidated fiscal year, the Japanese economy remained on a path of gradual recovery in corporate earnings and employment conditions due to the government's economic and monetary policies. However, in addition to a slowdown in overseas economies resulting from trade issues centered on the US and China, consumer sentiment declined due to the impact of the consumption tax increase and other factors. From the fourth quarter onward, the economy deteriorated rapidly and was in an extremely severe condition due to declines in personal consumption and external demand caused by the global spread of COVID-19, the postponement of the Tokyo Olympic and Paralympic Games, and the government's requests for people to refrain from going out.」
In addition to previously cited trade issues and the consumption tax increase, factors contributing to the economic deterioration expanded to include declines in personal consumption and external demand resulting from the global spread of COVID-19. - FY2020-Q3RestatedAnnual report
「During the cumulative first 3 quarters of the current consolidated fiscal year, the Japanese economy remained on a path of gradual recovery in corporate earnings and employment conditions due to the government's economic and monetary policies. However, numerous issues remained, including the UK's withdrawal from the EU becoming increasingly realistic, US-China trade friction and developments in the Middle East. In Japan, concerns arose over a decline in consumer sentiment due to the impact of the consumption tax increase, among other factors, and the outlook remained uncertain.」
The Company states that the outlook remains uncertain against a backdrop of the UK's withdrawal from the EU, US-China trade friction, developments in the Middle East and the impact of the consumption tax increase, among other factors. - FY2020-Q2WorsenedAnnual report
「In addition to the impact of overseas economic developments, including tensions over trade issues, the outlook for the Chinese economy and the UK's withdrawal from the EU, and volatility in financial and capital markets, close attention must be paid to trends in consumer sentiment after the consumption tax rate increase and the economic impact of natural disasters such as typhoons.」
In addition to overseas economies and financial markets and consumer sentiment following the consumption tax rate increase, the Company cites the impact of natural disasters such as typhoons as a source of uncertainty. - FY2020-Q1WorsenedAnnual report
「Domestic production activity has remained sluggish and the outlook uncertain against a backdrop of the impact of the consumption tax increase scheduled for October this year, the prolonged US-China trade friction and concerns over a slowdown in the Chinese economy.」
In addition to the previously cited US-China trade friction, the Company identifies its prolongation, concerns over a slowdown in the Chinese economy and the consumption tax increase as factors behind sluggish domestic production activity and an uncertain outlook. - FY2019WorsenedAnnual report
「The outlook remains uncertain for the global economy due to the escalating US-China trade friction and uncertainty surrounding the UK's withdrawal from the EU, among other factors.」
In addition to the previously cited US-China trade friction and geopolitical risks, the Company identifies uncertainty surrounding the UK's withdrawal from the EU as a factor contributing to uncertainty in the global economy. - FY2019-Q3First statedAnnual report
「The outlook remains uncertain for the global economy due to the escalating US-China trade friction and rising geopolitical risks, among other factors.」
The Company has for the first time separately identified the escalation of US-China trade friction and rising geopolitical risks as factors contributing to uncertainty in the global economic outlook.