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Nichirin (5184) · RiskRestated

China’s Economic Slowdown, Excess Capacity and Excessive Debt

First written in FY2016-Q2. 18 of 33 entries say "Worsened", first in FY2016. Latest entry: 2026-05-13.

33entries
11years
1from disclosures
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseWorsenedFY2018-Q3 – FY2020-Q1WorsenedFY2021-Q3 – FY2022WorsenedFY2023-Q2 – FY2024-H12016: 220162017: 420172018: 320182019: 320192020: 420202021: 420212022: 320222023: 420232024: 320242025: 120252026: 2
Same theme, other companies
Demand volatility due to uncertainty in overseas economies and financial marketsA theme 397 companies write about · 408 as a headwind · 0 as a tailwind

Nichirin moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2018, 1 year before the typical company in this theme (2019).

The whole theme swung hardest in 2022: 124 of 167 companies on the "Worse" side.

66 other companies' latest entry also says "Restated".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Showing 14 of the 196 companies compared. The sentences above are computed from all 196.Comparing 200 of the theme's 408 threads.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. 2026-05-13RestatedEarnings

    「In China, exports to the United States declined because of the sluggish property market and US tariff measures. Exports to countries other than the United States remained firm, while government-led economic stimulus measures drove increased investment in high-tech industries and supported economic activity. Although US-China relations remain in a period of easing tensions, uncertainty about the outlook persists.」

    The company continued to cite the sluggish property market, declining exports to the United States and persistent uncertainty, while also noting support from government economic stimulus measures and investment in high-tech industries.
  2. FY2025RestatedAnnual report

    「In China, exports to the United States declined because of the weak real-estate market and U.S. tariff measures, while exports to countries other than the United States remained firm. Government-led economic stimulus expanded investment in high-tech industries and supported the economy. At the October China–United States summit, an interim agreement was reached, including cuts to some tariffs and a temporary suspension of export controls on rare earths. However, the outlook remains uncertain, with the risk of renewed trade friction still present.」

    It explains that government economic stimulus, high-tech investment and exports to countries other than the United States supported the economy, while weakness in the real-estate market, declining exports to the United States and the risk of renewed China–United States trade friction persist.
  3. FY2025-H1RestatedAnnual report

    「In China, exports to the United States declined because of the weak real-estate market and the United States’ hostile tariff policy. However, government-led economic stimulus expanded investment in high-tech industries, while exports to countries other than the United States remained firm and supported the economy. The outlook remains uncertain because resolving the trade issue between China and the United States has political implications.」

    It explains that government economic stimulus, high-tech investment and exports to countries other than the United States are supporting the economy, while weakness in the real-estate market, declining exports to the United States and uncertainty over China–United States trade relations persist.
  4. FY2024-H1WorsenedAnnual report

    「In China, the economy slowed as prolonged weakness in the real-estate market and difficult employment conditions depressed personal consumption. On the external-demand side, exports increased, mainly to emerging markets, but concerns remain over a further economic decline due to moves in Western countries to restrict imports through supply-chain reviews and additional tariffs.」

    It describes weak personal consumption caused by the prolonged real-estate downturn and difficult employment conditions, and expresses concern over further economic deterioration due to supply-chain reviews and additional tariffs in Western countries.
  5. FY2024-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「In China, the economy remained sluggish as personal consumption declined against the backdrop of the prolonged real-estate downturn that began last year. In addition, concerns are mounting over a further economic decline due to supply-chain reviews and additional tariffs resulting from deteriorating relations with Western countries.」

    In addition to the existing deterioration in the real-estate market and economic slowdown, it explicitly identifies declining personal consumption, deteriorating relations with Western countries, supply-chain reviews and additional tariffs, making concerns over a slowdown in the Chinese economy more concrete.
  6. FY2023WorsenedAnnual report

    「In China, an economic recovery was expected as economic activity normalized following the lifting of the zero-COVID policy, but the economy slowed because of worsening conditions in the real-estate market and uncertainty over the outlook resulting from Western countries’ review of their economic ties. Attention is currently focused on government measures to stimulate domestic demand and support the economy, including monetary easing.」

    It explains that China’s economy slowed despite expectations for a recovery after the lifting of the zero-COVID policy, as worsening conditions in the real-estate market and Western countries’ review of their economic ties clouded the outlook.
  7. FY2023-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「In China, an economic recovery was expected as economic activity normalized following the lifting of the zero-COVID policy, but the economy slowed because of worsening conditions in the real-estate market and uncertainty over the outlook resulting from Western countries’ review of their economic ties. Attention is currently focused on government measures to stimulate domestic demand and support the economy, including monetary easing.」

    It states that China’s economy slowed despite expectations for a recovery after the lifting of the zero-COVID policy, as worsening conditions in the real-estate market and Western countries’ review of their economic ties made the concerns more concrete.
  8. FY2023-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「In China, an economic recovery was expected as economic activity normalized following the lifting of the zero-COVID policy, but the recovery slowed because of weak demand for durable consumer goods, including real estate, and uncertainty over the outlook resulting from Western countries’ review of their economic ties. Attention is currently focused on government measures to stimulate domestic demand and support the economy, including monetary easing.」

    While describing expectations for normalization after the lifting of the zero-COVID policy, it explains that China’s economic recovery slowed because of weak demand for durable consumer goods, including real estate, and Western countries’ review of their economic ties.
  9. FY2023-Q1ReframedAnnual report

    「In China, economic activity is moving toward normalization as population movement recovers following the lifting of the zero-COVID policy. Although the real-estate industry and exports remain weak, a gradual economic recovery led by domestic demand, including personal consumption, is expected. At the same time, concerns remain over the economic impact of the United States’ move to reduce excessive economic dependence on China through selective decoupling.」

    The description has shifted toward expectations for a gradual recovery led by domestic demand as population movement recovers after the lifting of the zero-COVID policy, while weakness in real estate and exports and selective decoupling are identified as new concerns.
  10. FY2022WorsenedAnnual report

    「In China, lockdowns and strict movement restrictions under the zero-COVID policy depressed personal consumption and constrained production activity. The economy also slowed as weak real-estate prices and power shortages added to the pressure. In December, the sudden lifting of the zero-COVID policy caused infections to surge, making the economic outlook uncertain once again.」

    It describes a slowdown in the Chinese economy as lockdowns and movement restrictions under the zero-COVID policy were compounded by weak real-estate prices and power shortages. It also indicates that the outlook became uncertain again after infections surged following the abrupt policy shift in December.
  11. FY2022-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「In China, the economy slowed under the impact of the zero-COVID policy, including a two-month lockdown in Shanghai, resulting in weak personal consumption, production stoppages and curtailed real-estate investment, compounded by a worsening power shortage. Although the large-scale lockdown was lifted in June, concerns remain over the impact on supply chains of products and components supplied from China.」

    While describing the recovery in customer production after the Shanghai lockdown was lifted, it indicates that weak consumption, production stoppages and curtailed real-estate investment caused by the zero-COVID policy were compounded by a worsening power shortage, and that concerns over the Chinese economy and supply chains persist.
  12. FY2022-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「In China, the economy slowed as the zero-COVID policy continued, including a two-month lockdown in Shanghai, resulting in weak personal consumption, production stoppages and curtailed real-estate investment. Although the large-scale lockdown was lifted in June, concerns remain over the impact on supply chains of products and components supplied from China.」

    The two-month Shanghai lockdown, weak consumption, production stoppages and curtailed real-estate investment have led to an economic slowdown, while concerns over the global impact on product and component supplies have become more concrete.
  13. FY2022-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「In China, the economy slowed as the Omicron variant spread while the zero-COVID policy remained in place, resulting in strict movement restrictions in some cities, weak personal consumption, production stoppages and curtailed real-estate investment. In addition, a large-scale lockdown has been in place in Shanghai since March, raising concerns that shortages of products and components supplied from China could spread worldwide.」

    It describes weak personal consumption, production stoppages, curtailed real-estate investment and an economic slowdown in China due to the zero-COVID policy and the spread of the Omicron variant, with concerns added over the large-scale Shanghai lockdown and the global spread of product and component shortages.
  14. FY2021-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「In China, economic activity moved toward normalization from the beginning of the year as a result of strong government measures against COVID-19 and accelerated vaccination. Production activity also became more robust in high-tech industries against the backdrop of global demand for remote services, and exports remained firm. At the same time, concerns are mounting that the economic recovery may stall as surging raw-material prices, a severe power shortage and caution toward real-estate investment overlap. Moves by Western countries to decouple from China over human-rights issues are also increasing, and future policy management is being closely watched.」

    While describing the normalization of economic activity and firm exports, it adds rising raw-material prices, a severe power shortage, caution toward real-estate investment and moves by Western countries to decouple from China as new concerns.
  15. FY2021-Q2MitigatedAnnual report

    「In China, the economy continued to grow steadily as the government implemented strong COVID-19 measures, while passenger-car sales remained strong, including growth in the new-energy vehicle market. Despite the impact of the semiconductor shortage, results improved significantly from the previous year, when customers implemented large-scale production stoppages, with net sales of ¥5,736 million (¥3,990 million in the same quarter of the previous year) and operating income of ¥826 million (an operating loss of ¥154 million in the same quarter of the previous year).」

    It states that steady growth in the Chinese economy, strong passenger-car sales and recovery from customers’ large-scale production stoppages increased net sales and improved results from an operating loss to operating income.
  16. FY2021-Q1MitigatedAnnual report

    「China’s economy continued to grow steadily as strict COVID-19 measures were implemented. Results improved significantly from the previous year, when customers temporarily halted production, with net sales of ¥2,839 million (¥1,582 million in the same quarter of the previous year) and operating income of ¥401 million (an operating loss of ¥109 million in the same quarter of the previous year).」

    It states that steady growth in the Chinese economy and the recovery of customer production increased net sales and improved results from an operating loss to operating income.
  17. FY2020MitigatedAnnual report

    「In China, COVID-19 infections spread nationwide from the beginning of the year. Government-led restrictions on residents’ movement, factory production stoppages and store closures significantly constrained economic activity. New infections fell sharply from April onward and economic activity resumed. Exports expanded to above pre-COVID-19 levels, supported in part by increased telework and 5G demand. Automobile sales also recovered rapidly, supported by government subsidies and the easing of license-plate restrictions.」

    While describing the restrictions on economic activity caused by the spread of infections at the beginning of the year, it confirms for the full year the subsequent economic reopening from April, export growth and the rapid recovery in automobile sales.
  18. FY2020-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「In China, COVID-19 infections spread nationwide from the beginning of the year. Government-led restrictions on residents’ movement, factory production stoppages and store closures significantly constrained economic activity. New infections fell sharply from April onward and economic activity resumed. Automobile sales have recovered rapidly, supported by government subsidies and the easing of license-plate restrictions.」

    It continues to describe restrictions on economic activity in China caused by COVID-19, together with the resumption of economic activity and rapid recovery in automobile sales from April onward.
  19. FY2020-Q2MitigatedAnnual report

    「In China, COVID-19 infections spread nationwide from the beginning of the year. Government-led restrictions on residents’ movement, factory production stoppages and store closures significantly constrained economic activity. New infections fell sharply from mid-March onward and economic activity resumed. Automobile sales have recovered rapidly, supported by government subsidies and the easing of license-plate restrictions.」

    It states that economic activity in China was significantly constrained by the spread of COVID-19, but resumed from mid-March onward, with automobile sales recovering rapidly.
  20. FY2020-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「In China, infections of COVID-19 spread across the country from the beginning of the year. Government-led restrictions on movement, factory shutdowns and store closures severely constrained economic activity, which appeared to have finally passed its worst point at the end of March. As a result, domestic and external demand slowed sharply in February and March, and exports are expected to decline substantially going forward because of the global economic slowdown.」

    In China, restrictions on movement, factory shutdowns and store closures associated with the spread of infections severely constrained economic activity. Domestic and external demand slowed sharply in February and March, and exports were expected to decline.
  21. FY2019WorsenedAnnual report

    「In China, exports to the United States, which raised tariffs, contracted sharply, while exports to other regions remained flat amid economic stagnation. The domestic economy, particularly manufacturing, is slowing, and domestic demand is also beginning to decline. The effects of the government’s domestic-demand stimulus measures are awaited.」

    The full-year discussion cites a sharp contraction in exports to the United States, flat exports to other regions, a slowdown in manufacturing and declining domestic demand.
  22. FY2019-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「In China, exports to the United States, which raised tariffs, contracted sharply. Exports to destinations outside the United States also remained weak amid the global economic slowdown. The domestic economy, particularly manufacturing, is slowing, and domestic demand is also beginning to decline. The effects of the government’s large-scale domestic-demand stimulus measures are awaited.」

    In addition to a sharp contraction in exports to the United States, exports to destinations outside the United States also remained weak, while the manufacturing-led economic slowdown and decline in domestic demand continued. Concerns about a slowdown in China’s economy have become even more specific.
  23. FY2019-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「In China, exports to the United States, which raised tariffs, contracted sharply. Exports to destinations outside the United States also remained weak amid the global economic slowdown. The domestic economy, particularly manufacturing, is slowing, and domestic demand is also beginning to decline. The effects of a large-scale domestic-demand stimulus package announced at the National People’s Congress in March are awaited.」

    In addition to a sharp contraction in exports to the United States, exports to destinations outside the United States also remained weak. The document cites a manufacturing-led economic slowdown and declining domestic demand. In the China segment, sales were ¥5,287 million and operating profit was ¥569 million, both below the year-earlier period.
  24. FY2019-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「In China, exports to the United States, which raised tariffs, contracted sharply. Exports to destinations outside the United States also lost momentum amid signs of stagnation in the global economy. The domestic economy, particularly manufacturing, is slowing, and domestic demand is also beginning to decline. The effects of a large-scale domestic-demand stimulus package announced at the National People’s Congress in March are awaited.」

    In addition to a sharp contraction in exports to the United States caused by US-China trade friction, the document cites slowing exports to destinations outside the United States, a slowdown in manufacturing and declining domestic demand, making concerns about a slowdown in China’s economy increasingly specific.
  25. FY2018-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「In China, the recovery in personal consumption that had continued against a backdrop of favorable employment and income conditions is showing signs of weakening. Amid worsening trade conditions with the United States, manufacturers have begun to restrain production and investment. Although the government is expected to expand its economic stimulus measures, concerns remain about an economic slowdown as US-China trade friction intensifies.」

    The recovery in personal consumption in China is showing signs of weakening, and manufacturers have begun to restrain production and investment due to worsening trade conditions with the United States. Concerns about intensifying US-China trade friction and an economic slowdown have become more specific than before.
  26. FY2018-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「In China, the economy is beginning to recover as exports of products have bottomed out and domestic inventory adjustments have progressed, aided by policies aimed at fostering high-tech manufacturing. Meanwhile, concerns have emerged about an economic slowdown caused by stronger environmental regulations, government tightening of financial markets to address overheated investment and the effects of trade friction with the United States.」

    While describing a recovery in China’s economy and the effects of policy measures, the document continues to express concern about an economic slowdown caused by environmental regulations, monetary tightening and trade friction with the United States.
  27. FY2018-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「In China, the economy is beginning to recover as exports of products have bottomed out and domestic inventory adjustments have progressed, aided by the effects of government infrastructure investment. Meanwhile, concerns have emerged about an economic slowdown caused by stronger environmental regulations, government tightening of financial markets to address overheated investment and the effects of trade friction with the United States.」

    While describing a recovery in China’s economy, the document newly identifies environmental regulations, tightening of financial markets and the effects of trade friction with the United States as specific concerns.
  28. FY2017-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「In China, the economy is beginning to recover as exports of products have bottomed out and domestic inventory adjustments have progressed, aided by the effects of government infrastructure investment. Meanwhile, concerns have emerged that stronger environmental regulations and government tightening of financial markets to address overheated investment could cool the economy.」

    While describing a recovery in China’s economy, the document expresses concern that stronger environmental regulations and tightening of financial markets in response to overheated investment could cool the economy.
  29. FY2017-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「In China, the economy is beginning to recover as exports of products have bottomed out and domestic inventory adjustments have progressed, aided by the effects of government infrastructure investment. Meanwhile, concerns have emerged that government tightening of financial markets to address overheated investment could cool the economy.」

    While describing a recovery in China’s economy, the document expresses concern that tightening of financial markets in response to overheated investment could cool the economy. The description remains within the scope of the previous risks to China’s economy.
  30. FY2017-Q1ReframedAnnual report

    「In China, the economy is beginning to recover as exports of products have bottomed out and domestic inventory adjustments have progressed. Meanwhile, recent reports of overheated real-estate investment and shadow banking problems have again intensified concerns about a bubble.」

    The description has shifted from the previous explanation focused on China’s economic slowdown, excess production capacity and excessive debt to an economic recovery supported by a bottoming out in product exports and progress in inventory adjustments. At the same time, new concerns about a bubble driven by overheated real-estate investment and shadow banking have been raised.
  31. FY2016WorsenedAnnual report

    「In China, as capital investment in manufacturing and exports of products slowed, problems involving excess production capacity and excessive debt began to emerge. The government implemented economic stimulus measures, but their effects remained limited. In addition, the protectionist trade policies of the new US administration are expected to pose a risk to China, raising concerns about downside risks to exports.」

    In addition to the previous concerns about economic slowdown, excess production capacity and excessive debt, concerns about downside risks to China’s exports from the protectionist trade policies of the new US administration have been added, broadening the range of risks.
  32. FY2016-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「In China, as capital investment in manufacturing and exports of products slowed, problems involving excess production capacity and excessive debt began to emerge. The government implemented economic stimulus measures, but their effects remained limited.」

    The document continues to cite China’s economic slowdown, excess production capacity and excessive debt, as well as the limited effects of policy measures. It also mentions support for automobile sales from tax reductions on small vehicles and demand for SUVs, but there is no material change in the description of the risks themselves.
  33. FY2016-Q2First statedAnnual report

    「In China, as capital investment in manufacturing and exports of products slowed, problems involving excess production capacity and excessive debt began to emerge. The government implemented fiscal stimulus measures and cuts in policy interest rates, but their effects remained limited.」

    In addition to China’s economic slowdown, excess production capacity and excessive debt are beginning to emerge as issues, while the effects of policy measures are described as limited.
Moved together

"Slowdown in Overseas Economies and Geopolitical Uncertainty" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 16 of its 33 moves.

161311111010★123456
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Slowdown in Overseas Economies and Geopolitical Uncertainty16×
  3. 2Resilience in Overseas Automotive Production, Led by North America and China13×
  4. 3High Dependence on the Automotive Industry and Changes in Customers and Technology11×
  5. 4Expanding the European Business Base by Making the Spanish Business a Consolidated Subsidiary11×
  6. 5Growth in Operating Profit and Profit Attributable to Owners of the Parent10×
  7. 6Sluggish Sales and Production in Japan’s Automotive Market10×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

When this could move next
No upcoming earnings preview for Nichirin yet. It last moved in the Earnings of 2026-05-13: "Restated".
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China’s Economic Slowdown, Excess Capacity and Excessive Debt | NICHIRIN CO.,LTD. (5184) | Komori