Komori
Shinwa (3447) · RiskConstruction demand remains firm, but housing starts are weakening

Dependence on Economic Trends in the Domestic Construction Market

First written in FY2018. 10 of 25 entries say "Worsened", first in FY2019. Latest entry: FY2026.

25entries
9years
1from disclosures
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseOtherFY2024 – FY20252018: 120182019: 320192020: 320202021: 320212022: 420222023: 420232024: 320242025: 220252026: 22026
Same theme, other companies
Demand and Business Performance Volatility Driven by Changes in Construction InvestmentA theme 53 companies write about · 51 as a headwind · 3 as a tailwind

Shinwa moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2022, 2 years after the typical company in this theme (2020).

The whole theme swung hardest in 2020: 26 of 47 companies on the "Worse" side.

5 other companies' latest entry also says "Other".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Showing 14 of the 53 companies compared. The sentences above are computed from all 53.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. FY2026Construction demand remains firm, but housing starts are weakeningAnnual report

    「Construction investment remained firm, supported by public investment and private capital investment. In the housing sector, however, new housing starts remained weak against a backdrop of persistently high construction-material prices, labor shortages and concerns about rising interest rates.」

    Although the structural dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market continues, the overall construction investment market remained firm while housing starts weakened due to material prices, labor shortages and concerns about rising interest rates, revealing a two-sided picture.
  2. 2026-06-01MitigatedEarnings presentation

    「Construction investment remained firm against a backdrop of urban redevelopment and demand for infrastructure renewal, with a gradual recovery trend continuing overall. Meanwhile, the housing market remained weak because of persistently high material prices and labor shortages, leaving the outlook uncertain.」

    The company described overall construction investment as being on a recovery trend, supported by urban redevelopment and infrastructure renewal, while also noting weakness in the housing market and an uncertain outlook.
  3. FY2026-H1WorsenedAnnual report

    「Total construction investment from April to August 2025 was approximately ¥22.8 trillion, up 3.8% year on year. In addition to higher unit material prices, measures to address aging domestic infrastructure and urban redevelopment projects drove an increase in construction investment, and construction demand remained firm. Meanwhile, according to the Ministry’s Statistics on Building Construction Starts, shortages and aging of skilled workers, together with surging construction-material prices, restrained new construction starts. The number of construction starts fell sharply to 299,191, down 18.6% year on year, while the floor area of new construction starts declined to 35,347 thousand square meters, down 14.3%, and demand remained weak.」

    Against a backdrop of structural dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market, construction investment increased 3.8% year on year, while the number and floor area of construction starts declined sharply, further crystallizing market-dependence risk.
  4. FY2025Investment up, but construction-start scale continues to contractAnnual report

    「Total construction investment from April 2024 to February 2025 was ¥54.2 trillion, up 2.4% year on year and at a stable level. However, according to the “Building Starts Statistics,” the number of residential and non-residential buildings started during the period was 778,950, down 1.4% year on year, while floor area started was 87,547 thousand square meters, down 6.2% year on year, indicating that the scale of construction starts was small despite the investment amount.」

    Although the structural dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market continues, construction investment increased while the number of construction starts and floor area declined, and market-dependence risk continued.
  5. FY2025-H1Investment up, but construction-start scale continues to contractAnnual report

    「Total construction investment from April to August 2024 remained firm at ¥22.6 trillion, up 0.7% year on year. During the same period, the number of residential and non-residential buildings started was 367,628, down 1.1% year on year, while floor area started was 41,232 thousand square meters, down 6.4% year on year, indicating that the scale of construction starts was small despite the investment amount.」

    Against a backdrop of structural dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market, investment increased, but the number and floor area of construction starts declined, and market-dependence risk continued.
  6. FY2024Investment increases, but construction starts continue to contractAnnual report

    「Total construction investment from April 2023 to February 2024 was ¥52.1 trillion, up 1.7% year on year and at a stable level. However, according to the “Building Starts Statistics,” the number of residential and non-residential buildings started during the period was 789,951, down 6.6% year on year, while floor area started was 93,295 thousand square meters, down 10.2% year on year, indicating that the scale of construction starts was small despite the investment amount.」

    Against a backdrop of structural dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market, total investment increased, but the number and floor area of construction starts declined, and the challenging business environment continued.
  7. FY2024-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「Total construction investment from April to November 2023 was ¥37 trillion, up 2.4% year on year and at a stable level. However, according to the “Building Starts Statistics,” the number of residential and non-residential buildings started during the period was 594,496, down 6.6% year on year, while floor area started was 70,249 thousand square meters, down 10.2% year on year, indicating that the scale of construction starts was small despite the investment amount.」

    Against a backdrop of structural dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market, construction investment remained stable, but the number and floor area of construction starts continued to decline, with market-dependence risk emerging as a challenging business environment.
  8. FY2024-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「Total construction investment from April to August 2023 was ¥21.9 trillion, up 3.5% year on year and at a stable level. However, against a backdrop of continued high construction material prices and labor shortages, the number of residential and non-residential buildings started during the period was 371,876, down 6.2% year on year, while floor area started was 44,040 thousand square meters, down 13.5% year on year, indicating difficult conditions.」

    Against a backdrop of structural dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market, construction investment increased, but the number and floor area of construction starts declined, with market-dependence risk emerging in the actual business environment.
  9. FY2024-Q1Investment increases, but construction starts contractAnnual report

    「Although total construction investment was ¥8.4 trillion, up 5.8% year on year, the number of residential and non-residential construction starts during the period was 146,965, down 4.7% year on year, and the floor area of new construction starts was 17,989 thousand square meters, down 9.6%, against a backdrop of continuing high construction-material prices and labor shortages. The market environment remained challenging.」

    Against a backdrop of structural dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market, total construction investment increased, but the number and floor area of construction starts declined, and the market environment remained challenging.
  10. FY2023RestatedAnnual report

    「The temporary scaffolding industry in which the Group operates is significantly affected by economic trends in Japan’s domestic construction market.」

    The structural risk of dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market continues to be disclosed. Although construction investment increased, rising material prices and lower sales volume affected results.
  11. FY2023-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「Total construction investment from April to November 2022 was ¥34.2 trillion, up 1.6% year on year, indicating firm activity. However, construction starts were postponed or canceled against a backdrop of rising prices, including material and construction costs. According to the “Building Starts Statistics,” total floor area started for residential and non-residential buildings from April to November 2022 was 78,270 thousand square meters, down 0.7% year on year, indicating signs of stagnation.」

    Against a backdrop of structural dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market, total construction investment increased, but construction postponements and cancellations occurred due to rising prices, and the floor area of new construction starts decreased 0.7% year on year.
  12. FY2023-Q2MitigatedAnnual report

    「According to the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism’s “Construction Comprehensive Statistics,” total construction investment from April to August 2022 reached ¥20 trillion, up 1.2% year on year. Against this backdrop, demand was seen for the company’s main products, wedge-coupler scaffolding and next-generation scaffolding.」

    Although the structural dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market continues, construction investment from April to August 2022 increased 1.2% year on year, improving from the 0.3% year-on-year decline in FY2023-Q1.
  13. FY2023-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「According to the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism’s “Construction Comprehensive Statistics,” total construction investment from April to May 2022 was ¥7.5 trillion, down 0.3% year on year. Although activity showed signs of stagnation, demand centered on the private sector was seen.」

    Against a backdrop of structural dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market, construction investment from April to May 2022 decreased 0.3% year on year, indicating stagnation.
  14. FY2022WorsenedAnnual report

    「Total construction investment from April 2021 to February 2022 was ¥48.0 trillion, down 1.0% year on year, showing signs of stagnation, although demand centered on the private sector was observed.」

    Against a backdrop of structural dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market, construction investment decreased 1.0% year on year, indicating weakness after the modest declines through the previous quarter.
  15. FY2022-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「Total construction investment from April to December 2021 was ¥38.9 trillion, down 0.1% year on year, showing signs of stagnation, although demand centered on the private sector was observed.」

    Against a backdrop of structural dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market, construction investment decreased 0.1% year on year, shifting to a weaker trend from the previous quarter’s increase.
  16. FY2022-Q2MitigatedAnnual report

    「According to the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism’s “Construction Comprehensive Statistics,” total construction investment from April to August 2021 was ¥20.1 trillion, up 1.1% year on year, indicating a recovery centered on private-sector demand.」

    Although the structural dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market continues, construction investment increased 1.1% year on year, indicating a further recovery from the previous quarter.
  17. FY2022-Q1MitigatedAnnual report

    「According to the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism’s “Construction Comprehensive Statistics,” total construction investment from April to May 2021 was ¥7.9 trillion, up 0.3% year on year, indicating firm activity centered on public works.」

    Although the structural dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market continues, construction investment increased 0.3% year on year, improving from the downward trend in the previous fiscal year.
  18. FY2021WorsenedAnnual report

    「Total construction investment from April 2020 to February 2021 was ¥47.6 trillion, down 1.6% year on year, remaining below the previous year.」

    Against a backdrop of structural dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market, construction investment from April 2020 to February 2021 decreased 1.6% year on year.
  19. FY2021-Q2MitigatedAnnual report

    「After the state of emergency was lifted, construction demand, particularly for public works, proved more resilient than expected.」

    Although the structural dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market continues, construction demand, particularly for public works, showed greater resilience than expected after the state of emergency was lifted.
  20. FY2021-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「The construction industry, a customer for the Company’s manufactured products, was affected by work stoppages and postponements at construction sites following the government’s declaration of a state of emergency, as well as subdued new investment amid uncertainty about the outlook.」

    Against a backdrop of structural dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market, construction suspensions and postponements and restraints on new investment actually occurred.
  21. FY2020-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「In the construction industry, a customer for the Company’s manufactured products, total construction investment from April to November 2019 remained firm at ¥35.9060 trillion, up ¥745.0 billion from the same period of the previous year, according to the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism’s “Construction Comprehensive Statistics.”」

    Although the structural dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market continues, construction investment remained firm during the quarter.
  22. FY2020-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「According to the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism’s Construction Statistics, total construction investment in the construction industry served by the Company’s manufactured products remained firm at ¥2.11756 trillion from April to August 2019, an increase of ¥486.0 billion year on year.」

    Although the structural dependence on Japan’s domestic construction market continues, construction investment remained firm during the quarter.
  23. FY2020-Q1RestatedAnnual report

    「According to the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism’s Construction Statistics, total construction investment in the construction industry served by the Company’s manufactured products remained firm at ¥826.6 billion from April to May 2019, an increase of ¥172.2 billion year on year.」

    Although the structural dependence on the construction market continues, construction investment remained firm during the quarter.
  24. FY2019WorsenedAnnual report

    「Total construction investment remained firm at ¥26.4 trillion, up 2.3% year on year, but from July to December it was ¥28.1 trillion, down 0.7% year on year, with a decline in large-scale construction projects and other trends observed.」

    In Japan’s domestic construction market, construction investment in the second half of 2018 decreased 0.7% year on year, and a decline in large-scale construction projects was also reported.
  25. FY2018First statedAnnual report

    「The temporary scaffolding industry is significantly affected by economic trends in Japan’s domestic construction market, particularly in the housing and low- to mid-rise building sectors.」

    Changes in domestic economic conditions and the housing and low- to mid-rise building markets are expected to affect results.
Moved together

"Construction investment, housing renovation, and infrastructure renewal demand" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 11 of its 25 moves.

1187777★123456
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Construction investment, housing renovation, and infrastructure renewal demand11×
  3. 2Expansion of Next-Generation Scaffolding Sales8×
  4. 3Management Based on Revenue, Operating Profit and EBITDA7×
  5. 4Achieving a high operating profit margin by selling at higher prices than competitors, producing at lower cost, and selling more7×
  6. 5Expansion of Business Areas in the Logistics Equipment Segment7×
  7. 6Decline in demand for system scaffolding7×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

When this could move next
Shinwa's next results are scheduled for 2026-11-11. Read the earnings preview It last moved in the Earnings presentation of 2026-06-01: "Mitigated".
News
No news is linked to this thread yet. When an article touches it, it will appear here by date.