Komori
Gokurakuyu Holdings (2340) · RiskMitigated

Slowing growth in the Chinese economy and policy uncertainty following a change of administration in the United States

First written in FY2017. 10 of 17 entries say "Worsened", first in FY2020-Q1. Latest entry: FY2024.

17entries
8years
0from disclosures
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseFirst statedFY2017WorsenedFY2020-Q3 – FY2023-Q32017: 120172018: 120182019: 320192020: 220202021: 120212022: 420222023: 320232024: 22024
Same theme, other companies
External Environment Uncertainty from North Korea and US Administration PoliciesA theme 44 companies write about · 46 as a headwind · 0 as a tailwind

Gokurakuyu Holdings moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2018, 1 year before the typical company in this theme (2019).

The whole theme swung hardest in 2022: 19 of 24 companies on the "Worse" side.

0 other companies' latest entry also says "Mitigated".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Showing 14 of the 44 companies compared. The sentences above are computed from all 44.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. FY2024MitigatedAnnual report

    「The China group has continued to face financial difficulties, including cash-flow constraints, as performance declined due to the effects of the zero-COVID policy and the rapid spread of infections after the policy was lifted. Because the Company needed to normalize transactions with financial institutions at an early stage, it acted to eliminate negative risks associated with expanding its China business.」

    The Company took action to eliminate the impact on the Group of risks related to China's policies, the pandemic and poor performance by transferring the shares of the Hong Kong subsidiary.
  2. FY2024-Q3MitigatedAnnual report

    「The China Group's performance deteriorated under the zero-COVID policy and the rapid spread of infections after its removal, and financially difficult conditions, including cash-flow constraints, have continued. Because the company needs to normalize its relationships with financial institutions as soon as possible, it decided to transfer the shares of its Hong Kong subsidiary to eliminate negative risks from its China business, including the impact on earnings from temporary closures and poor performance, and to increase the amount available for future debt repayments.」

    The Company implemented a policy of eliminating negative risks to the Group arising from the zero-COVID policy, the rapid spread of infections and poor performance by transferring the shares of the China business.
  3. FY2024-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「China's economic recovery from COVID-19 has been delayed, and revenue has not returned to pre-pandemic levels.」

    The delayed recovery of China's economy and failure to reach pre-pandemic levels are explicitly stated. Although the China segment reported higher revenue year on year, it recorded an operating loss of ¥181 million.
  4. FY2023RestatedAnnual report

    「Based on the Chinese government's zero-COVID policy, the 3 directly operated locations in Changchun and Shanghai that had been temporarily closed in the previous fiscal year successively resumed operations from June through July 2022. However, strict infection-control measures, including restrictions on movement, continued to be implemented through around December 2022.」

    The Company confirms for the full fiscal year that store closures due to China's policies and the pandemic, restrictions on movement and weak consumer sentiment led to lower revenue and an operating loss in the China business.
  5. FY2023-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「China's performance in the third quarter (October to December) resulted in a segment loss, as revenue declined from the previous period. The 3 directly operated locations repeatedly closed under the Chinese government's strict zero-COVID policy, and the spread of infections after the policy was lifted in early December also affected customer numbers.」

    The Chinese government's zero-COVID policy resulted in repeated closures of the 3 directly operated locations, while the spread of infections after the policy was lifted also affected customer numbers, with the risk reflected in actual performance through lower revenue and an operating loss.
  6. FY2023-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「China's performance during the first 2 quarters of the current consolidated fiscal year resulted in a segment loss. Based on the Chinese government's zero-COVID policy, the 3 directly operated locations in Changchun and Shanghai that had been temporarily closed since March 2022 successively resumed operations from June through July, but continued strict infection-control measures, including restrictions on movement, and the operating losses caused by all locations being temporarily closed in the first quarter had a significant impact.」

    China's policy measures and restrictions on economic activity continued to affect actual performance through the temporary closure of 3 locations, restrictions on movement after operations resumed and operating losses.
  7. FY2023-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「Based on the Chinese government's zero-COVID policy, 3 directly operated locations in Changchun and Shanghai were successively temporarily closed from March 2022, resulting in a significant decline. Although the lockdowns in various parts of China were lifted after approximately 2 months, the 2 Shanghai locations were not permitted to resume operations until the end of June. In addition, strict restrictions on movement, including requirements to obtain negative test certificates, led to a substantial decrease in revenue and a segment loss.」

    Risks from China's policy and economic environment materialized as specific operating constraints, including the zero-COVID policy, city lockdowns, delays in permission to resume operations and requirements for negative test certificates.
  8. FY2022WorsenedAnnual report

    「As COVID-19 cases increased in various areas from the beginning of 2022, areas were placed under lockdown, and Shanghai underwent a lockdown lasting several months. Even after the lockdown in Shanghai was lifted, strict nationwide controls based on the zero-COVID policy continued, and the outlook remained uncertain as the effects extended beyond China to the rest of the world.」

    The business environment became increasingly uncertain due to the resurgence of infections in China, regional lockdowns, the prolonged lockdown in Shanghai and the zero-COVID policy.
  9. FY2022-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the third quarter of the current consolidated fiscal year, Japan's economy showed signs of recovery as restrictions on economic activity were gradually eased. However, COVID-19 infections were rapidly expanding again, and the situation remained unpredictable.」

    Although the economy showed signs of recovery following the easing of restrictions on economic activity, COVID-19 infections expanded rapidly again, and the outlook remained unpredictable.
  10. FY2022-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the first quarter of the current consolidated fiscal year, a recovery in personal consumption was expected following the nationwide start of COVID-19 vaccinations. However, the spread of highly transmissible variants led to repeated requests in various regions to restrict activities that would reduce the movement of people under states of emergency and priority preventive measures, among others, and the difficult economic environment continued.」

    Although the start of vaccinations raised expectations for a recovery, the spread of variants and activity restrictions under states of emergency and other measures continued, and the Company describes the economic environment as remaining difficult.
  11. FY2021-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the first quarter of the current consolidated fiscal year, Japan's economy remained in an uncertain situation. As the global spread of the novel coronavirus led to calls for people to refrain from going out, restrictions on travel to and from overseas, and the adoption of social distancing in daily life, personal consumption fell sharply and business activity across a broad range of industries continued to be affected. An economic downturn worse than that during the Lehman shock was expected.」

    In addition to the previous uncertainty surrounding overseas economies and trade policy, the Company states that the novel coronavirus caused a sharp decline in personal consumption and business activity across a broad range of industries, and that an economic downturn worse than that during the Lehman shock was expected.
  12. FY2020-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「However, as widely reported since late January 2020, the spread of the novel coronavirus showed no sign of abating. Its effects spread beyond China from Asia, including Japan, to the rest of the world, and the outlook remained uncertain amid expectations of a downturn in the global economy.」

    The Company newly specifies the spread of the novel coronavirus across the global economy and expectations of an economic downturn as factors contributing to uncertainty in overseas economies.
  13. FY2020-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「Concerns about uncertainty overseas, including developments in US-China trade relations and the UK's withdrawal from the EU, remain elevated, and conditions with an uncertain outlook continue.」

    The Company reiterates the heightened concerns over uncertainty in overseas economies, including developments in U.S.-China trade relations.
  14. FY2020-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the first quarter of the current consolidated fiscal year, Japan's economy was on a gradual recovery trend, supported by solid corporate earnings and improvements in employment and income conditions. However, concerns over uncertainty in overseas economies, including the prolonged U.S.-China trade friction, increased, and the outlook remained uncertain.」

    The Company specifically describes the prolonged U.S.-China trade friction and growing concerns regarding uncertainty in overseas economies.
  15. FY2019-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「The economic outlook remains uncertain due to the effects of trade friction resulting from U.S. trade policy and geopolitical risks, among other factors.」

    Rather than the previous specific reference to a change of administration in the United States, the Company describes economic uncertainty resulting from U.S. trade policy, trade friction and geopolitical risks.
  16. FY2018SoftenedAnnual report

    「The outlook for the economy remains uncertain because of the expansion of geopolitical risks overseas, including U.S. policy developments and the situation in North Korea, and the impact of uncertainty in overseas economies arising from policy developments in the United States and Europe.」

    The description has been reorganized from the specific references in the previous fiscal year to slower economic growth in China and a change of administration in the United States into references to overseas policy developments, geopolitical risks and economic uncertainty.
  17. FY2017First statedAnnual report

    「Against a backdrop that included slower economic growth in emerging markets, particularly China, uncertainty over U.S. economic and trade policy following a change of administration, and concerns such as the United Kingdom's withdrawal from the EU, uncertainty about the outlook has increased further.」

    Slower economic growth in China and uncertainty over U.S. economic and trade policy following a change of administration are identified as sources of concern for the global economy.
Moved together

"Risk of breaching financial covenants under syndicated loans" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 7 of its 17 moves.

777664★123456
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Risk of breaching financial covenants under syndicated loans7×
  3. 2Temporary closure of all stores in China due to the COVID-19 pandemic and spillover effects in Japan7×
  4. 3Guarantee of rent obligations for a Wuhan franchisee's store7×
  5. 4Consumer cost-consciousness, intensifying competition, and higher raw material and construction costs6×
  6. 5Rising electricity and other energy costs6×
  7. 6Regulatory, infrastructure, political, economic and foreign exchange risks associated with overseas expansion4×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

When this could move next
Gokurakuyu Holdings's next results are scheduled for 2026-11-13. Read the earnings preview
News
No news is linked to this thread yet. When an article touches it, it will appear here by date.