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Sekisui House (1928) · RiskDomestic housing starts remain firm; U.S. customers continue to wait and see

Changes in the Business Environment, Including Personal Consumption, Interest Rates, Land Prices, and Housing Policies

First written in FY2017. 10 of 23 entries say "Worsened", first in FY2018-Q3. Latest entry: 2026-09-13.

23entries
10years
3from disclosures
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseRestatedFY2019-Q2 – FY2020-Q2WorsenedFY2020 – FY2021-Q12017: 220172018: 220182019: 220192020: 220202021: 120212022: 320222023: 220232024: 120242025: 120252026: 72026
Same theme, other companies
Decline in orders due to the shrinking housing market and fluctuations in housing demandA theme 64 companies write about · 66 as a headwind · 3 as a tailwind

Sekisui House moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2017, 4 years before the typical company in this theme (2021).

The whole theme swung hardest in 2020: 36 of 51 companies on the "Worse" side.

20 other companies' latest entry also says "Worsened".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Showing 14 of the 64 companies compared. The sentences above are computed from all 64.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. 2026-09-13Worsenednewswitch.jp

    「米戸建て住宅事業で、中東情勢の影響による資材価格高騰や金利高に伴う買い控えなど、市場低迷が影響する。」

    米国戸建て住宅市場の低迷が実際に業績予想へ影響し、通期売上高予想が前回公表値から930億円下方修正された。
  2. FY2027-H1Domestic housing starts remain firm; U.S. customers continue to wait and seeAnnual report

    「In Japan’s housing market, housing starts for owner-occupied, rental and for-sale homes remained firm despite continued increases in construction costs and an upward trend in mortgage rates. Meanwhile, in the US housing market, underlying demand for new homes remained strong against a backdrop of a chronic housing shortage, but customers continued to take a wait-and-see approach amid uncertainty over the outlook arising from higher mortgage rates and inflation.」

    In Japan, housing starts were described as firm, despite continued increases in construction costs and mortgage interest rates. In the U.S., strong latent demand and customers’ wait-and-see stance were both noted.
  3. FY2026-H1WorsenedAnnual report

    「In Japan’s housing market, some front-loaded demand was seen ahead of revisions to the Building Energy Conservation Act and other regulations, but starts of owner-occupied and rental housing remained weak, partly due to soaring construction costs. In the United States, underlying demand for new homes remained strong against the backdrop of a chronic housing shortage, but caution toward new housing starts was evident due to concerns about slowing demand arising from persistently high mortgage rates and uncertainty caused by tariff policies, as well as higher construction costs.」

    In Japan, starts of owner-occupied and rental housing remained weak. In the United States, caution toward new housing starts was evident against the backdrop of interest rates, tariff policies and construction costs.
  4. FY2025-Q1Japan remains weak; the US is recoveringAnnual report

    「In Japan, new housing starts remained weak, partly due to higher construction costs. In the United States, mortgage rates remained high as long-term interest rates rose, while the adjustment in housing starts and the decline in existing-home inventories continued. However, underlying demand for housing remained strong against the backdrop of a chronic housing shortage relative to population growth, and recent signs of a recovery were seen amid a strong labour market and rising share prices.」

    While weakness continued in Japan’s housing market, the United States showed signs of a recovery against the backdrop of strong underlying demand, despite continued adjustments in housing starts and declining existing-home inventories.
  5. FY2024-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「In Japan, new housing starts were weak overall, partly due to changes in post-COVID consumer behaviour and higher construction costs, although rental housing remained solid. In the United States, demand for new homes remained strong, but it remained necessary to monitor the impact of higher mortgage rates and elevated home prices on demand.」

    Japan’s housing market was weak overall, while in the United States the impact of higher mortgage rates and home prices on demand continued. Domestic rental housing, however, remained solid.
  6. FY2024-Q1Japan’s housing market remains solid, while detached housing declines and the US market remains in an adjustment phaseAnnual report

    「In Japan, new housing starts remained broadly solid overall, as the upward trend in rental housing starts continued despite a downward trend in detached housing. In the United States, housing starts remained in an adjustment phase due to elevated mortgage rates and home prices, among other factors. However, underlying demand for housing remained strong, and signs of a recovery were seen recently as mortgage rates stabilised from their previous levels.」

    In Japan, increases in rental housing starts coexisted with a decline in detached housing, while the overall market was considered solid. In the United States, the adjustment in housing starts continued, although a recent recovery was also noted.
  7. FY2023-Q3MaterialisedAnnual report

    「In Japan’s housing market, new housing starts remained solid, but orders trended downward against the backdrop of increased spending on travel and dining out following the lifting of restrictions on activity, and more cautious consumer sentiment due to rising prices.」

    The company states that domestic orders actually trended downward against the backdrop of changes in consumer spending and rising prices affecting demand conditions related to home purchases.
  8. FY2023-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「In Japan’s housing market, new housing starts remained solid, but near-term order conditions remained weak due to the impact of restrictions on activity associated with the resurgence of infectious diseases.」

    In contrast to the recovery in housing demand described in the previous fiscal year, near-term order conditions weakened due to the resurgence of infectious diseases and restrictions on activity.
  9. FY2022RestatedAnnual report

    「In Japan, the recovery in housing demand is expected to continue, supported by stronger willingness to purchase homes as employment and income conditions improve and lifestyles change. Against the backdrop of the government’s energy policy and revisions to housing performance labeling standards, demand is also expected to increase for high-quality homes, including highly insulated housing.」

    The company reaffirms the recovery in willingness to purchase homes and housing demand, as well as demand for high-quality, highly insulated housing, in Japan’s housing market.
  10. FY2022-Q3MitigatedAnnual report

    「In Japan’s housing market, the recovery in new housing starts continued. Interest in purchasing homes increased, and new needs for housing emerged, against the backdrop of housing acquisition support measures such as the Green Housing Points System and the extension of housing loan tax deductions, as well as changes in lifestyles during the COVID-19 pandemic.」

    In contrast to previously cited factors weighing on the housing market, the company points to a recovery in new housing starts, housing acquisition support measures and stronger interest in purchasing homes.
  11. FY2021-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「In Japan’s housing market, new housing starts declined, particularly for detached and rental housing. In addition, overall market orders deteriorated and the outlook became uncertain because sales activities were suspended in connection with measures to prevent the spread of COVID-19.」

    The company states that housing starts declined, particularly for detached and rental housing, and that overall market orders deteriorated because sales activities were suspended.
  12. FY2020WorsenedAnnual report

    「In Japan’s housing market, although starts of subdivided housing, including detached homes and condominiums, increased, rental housing starts fell significantly due to tighter lending by financial institutions, resulting in a decline in new housing starts. The order environment also continued to trend below the previous year due to the impact of the consumption tax increase and natural disasters, among other factors.」

    The company describes a significant decline in rental housing starts due to tighter lending, and deterioration in the order environment due to the consumption tax increase and natural disasters.
  13. FY2020-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「In Japan’s housing market, rental housing starts declined amid continued tighter lending by financial institutions and weaker investment sentiment, including concerns about vacancy risk, while starts of subdivided housing, including detached homes and condominiums, increased. As a result, the number of new housing starts was broadly unchanged from the previous year. In the order environment, the impact of the consumption tax increase remained a concern.」

    The company describes a decline in rental housing starts due to tighter lending, concerns about vacancy risk and weaker investment sentiment, as well as continued attention to the impact of the consumption tax increase.
  14. FY2020-Q1RestatedAnnual report

    「In Japan’s housing market, rental housing starts declined due to tighter lending by financial institutions, concerns about vacancy risk and a decline in investment sentiment, among other factors. However, new housing starts increased from the previous fiscal year because starts of detached homes increased.」

    The company continues to describe a decline in rental housing starts due to tighter lending, concerns about vacancy risk and weaker investment sentiment.
  15. FY2019-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「In the housing market, the number of new housing starts continued to trend downward year on year, including a decline in rental housing construction associated with changes in financial institutions’ lending attitudes and other factors.」

    The decline in rental housing construction associated with changes in financial institutions’ lending attitudes and the downward trend in new housing starts have continued.
  16. FY2019-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「In the housing market, the number of new housing starts continued to trend downward year on year, including a decline in rental housing construction associated with changes in financial institutions’ lending attitudes.」

    The company describes a decline in rental housing construction associated with changes in financial institutions’ lending attitudes, as well as a downward trend in new housing starts.
  17. FY2018-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「Although near-term construction demand for rental housing remained weak due to concerns about occupancy rates in certain areas and changes in financial institutions’ lending attitudes, solid demand continued, particularly in urban areas.」

    The company explains that near-term construction demand for rental housing was weak amid concerns about occupancy rates in certain areas and changes in financial institutions’ lending attitudes. Meanwhile, solid demand continued in urban areas.
  18. FY2017First statedAnnual report

    「Because our Group’s business activities focus on housing, it tends to be significantly affected by trends in personal consumption, interest rates, land prices, housing-related policies and tax systems, resulting changes in rental market prices, and regional economic trends. Changes in these business conditions may affect the Group’s performance.」

    The company identifies as a risk the possibility that its housing business may be affected by changes in personal consumption, interest rates, land prices, housing policies and tax systems, rental market prices and regional economies.
Moved together

"Surging Prices for Steel, Lumber, Oil and Other Raw Materials, and Exchange-Rate Fluctuations" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 5 of its 23 moves.

54332★12345
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Surging Prices for Steel, Lumber, Oil and Other Raw Materials, and Exchange-Rate Fluctuations5×
  3. 2Uncertainty over the outlook due to the slowdown in emerging Asian economies, yen appreciation and the UK's EU withdrawal issue4×
  4. 3International business expansion in the United States, Australia, China and Singapore3×
  5. 4Impact of COVID-19 on Business Activities3×
  6. 5Development and sale of "Platform House" supporting people in the 100-year life era2×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

When this could move next
No upcoming earnings preview for Sekisui House yet. It last moved in the Revision of earnings forecasts of 2026-09-10: "Other".
Changes in the Business Environment, Including Personal Consumption, Interest Rates, Land Prices, and Housing Policies | Sekisui House,Ltd. (1928) | Komori