USD/JPY morning forecast: rally following upside surprise in US CPI unlikely to continue 2026/10/15

The story

The morning forecast range for USD/JPY was 157.50-158.800, while the previous day it rose to around ¥158.95 before ultimately ending trading at around ¥158.34. As it failed to close above the 200-day moving average, USD/JPY was expected to remain firmly capped on the upside.

USD/JPY, which temporarily rose on the back of an upside surprise in US CPI, subsequently struggled to extend its gains as US 10-year Treasury yields declined. The dollar was expected to remain well supported in the ¥157 range, underpinned by higher oil prices and expectations of further Fed rate hikes. Attention turned to the PPI and retail sales figures due to be released during the New York session.

The full report is provided as analysis by 外為どっとコム総合研究所, with the latest USD/JPY chart available on the 外為どっとコム chart page.

At a glance

TimeCreated on 15 October 2026 at 7:30

Range¥157.50-158.800

LevelThe previous day's close was around ¥158.34, and the high rose to around ¥158.95

IndicatorThe dollar temporarily strengthened on the back of an upside surprise in US CPI

FocusAttention focused on the release of September US PPI and retail sales figures

Reference information. Every claim resolves to something the story actually named.

What it links to

Policy Rate Hikes and the Transition to a World with Interest RatesRelated1 companies

8550+3.6%

THE TOCHIGI BANK,LTD.The Transition to a World of Positive Interest Rates and Higher Policy Rates

¥1,001

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Reference information generated from public sources. It does not solicit or advise on investments. Prices are 15-minute delayed.