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eGuarantee (8771) · RiskUpdated factors contributing to economic uncertaintyLatest Earnings (2026-08-07): "Worsened"

Uncertainty over the economic outlook due to a slowdown in emerging economies and yen appreciation

First written in FY2016. 20 of 37 entries say "Restated". Latest entry: 2026-08-07.

37entries
11years
2from disclosures
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseRestatedFY2016 – FY2019-Q2RestatedFY2021-Q2 – FY2022-Q3OtherFY2023-Q1 – FY20242016: 220162017: 420172018: 420182019: 420192020: 420202021: 420212022: 420222023: 420232024: 220242025: 220252026: 32026
Same theme, other companies
Demand volatility due to uncertainty in overseas economies and financial marketsA theme 419 companies write about · 430 as a headwind · 0 as a tailwind

The whole theme swung hardest in 2022: 129 of 169 companies on the "Worse" side.

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Showing 14 of the 197 companies compared. The sentences above are computed from all 197.Comparing 200 of the theme's 430 threads.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. 2026-08-07WorsenedEarnings

    「当第1四半期連結会計期間における企業倒産件数は前年同期比6.6%増加の2,698件(帝国データバンク調べ)となりました。」

    企業倒産件数が前年同期比で増加し、物価高、人件費高騰及び金利負担増加を背景とする中小企業の厳しい状況を記載している。
  2. FY2026Updated factors contributing to economic uncertaintyAnnual report

    「Close attention must be paid to the impact of the situation in the Middle East, volatility in financial and capital markets, and developments surrounding US trade policy, and the uncertain economic environment is expected to persist.」

    While indicating a moderate economic recovery, the statement cites the situation in the Middle East, volatility in financial and capital markets, and US trade policy as uncertainty factors.
  3. 2026-05-15WorsenedEarnings

    「中東情勢を巡る地政学的不確実性もあり、今後も企業倒産件数は増加基調が続く見通しとなっております。」

    地政学的不確実性を含む環境下で、企業倒産件数の増加基調が続く見通しを記載している。
  4. FY2026-H1WorsenedAnnual report

    「The operating environment surrounding small and medium-sized enterprises remains severe, with bankruptcies caused by high prices and labor shortages reaching record highs, and the number of corporate bankruptcies is expected to continue increasing.」

    The statement says that bankruptcies caused by high prices and labor shortages reached record highs, that the operating environment surrounding small and medium-sized enterprises is severe, and that the number of bankruptcies is expected to continue increasing.
  5. FY2025WorsenedAnnual report

    「The risk of an economic downturn due to the impact of US trade policy is increasing. In addition, the continued rise in prices poses a risk of putting downward pressure on Japan's economy through such effects as a deterioration in consumer sentiment and personal consumption, and the uncertain economic environment is expected to persist.」

    While indicating expectations for a moderate economic recovery, the statement cites increasing downside risks stemming from US trade policy, rising prices, and their impact on personal consumption.
  6. FY2024Updated factors contributing to economic uncertaintyAnnual report

    「During the current consolidated fiscal year, Japan's economy has been recovering moderately, although some areas have recently shown signs of stagnation. However, a downturn in overseas economies, including the impact of global monetary tightening and concerns over the outlook for the Chinese economy, poses a risk of putting downward pressure on Japan's economy. Close attention must also be paid to the effects of rising prices, developments in the Middle East, and volatility in financial and capital markets.」

    While recognizing the moderate recovery, the statement updates the cited uncertainty factors to include global monetary tightening, the Chinese economy, the situation in the Middle East, rising prices, and volatility in financial and capital markets.
  7. FY2024-Q3Update on the economic recovery trendAnnual report

    「During the third quarter of the current consolidated cumulative period, Japan's economy has been recovering moderately as the severe conditions caused by COVID-19 gradually eased, although some areas have recently shown signs of stagnation. The outlook is expected to continue recovering moderately as employment and income conditions improve, supported by the effects of various policies. However, as global monetary tightening and other factors continue, a downturn in overseas economies poses a risk of putting downward pressure on Japan's economy. Close attention must also be paid to the effects of rising prices and volatility in financial and capital markets.」

    While the impact of COVID-19 has eased and the economy is recovering moderately, the statement updates the cited uncertainty factors and risks to include some stagnation, global monetary tightening, a downturn in overseas economies, rising prices, and volatility in financial and capital markets.
  8. FY2024-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「During the second quarter of the current consolidated cumulative period, Japan's economy has been recovering moderately as the severe conditions caused by COVID-19 gradually eased. The outlook is expected to continue recovering moderately as employment and income conditions improve, supported by the effects of various policies. However, as global monetary tightening and other factors continue, a downturn in overseas economies poses a risk of putting downward pressure on Japan's economy. Close attention must also be paid to the effects of rising prices and volatility in financial and capital markets.」

    While recognizing the economy's moderate recovery trend, the statement reconfirms global monetary tightening, a downturn in overseas economies, rising prices, and volatility in financial and capital markets as uncertainty factors and risks.
  9. FY2024-Q1Economic recovery trend and emerging uncertaintiesAnnual report

    「During the first quarter of the current consolidated cumulative period, Japan's economy has been recovering moderately as the severe conditions caused by COVID-19 gradually eased. The outlook is expected to continue recovering moderately as employment and income conditions improve, supported by the effects of various policies. However, as global monetary tightening and other factors continue, a downturn in overseas economies poses a risk of putting downward pressure on Japan's economy. Close attention must also be paid to the effects of rising prices and volatility in financial and capital markets.」

    While recognizing the easing of the severe conditions caused by COVID-19 and the moderate economic recovery, the statement cites global monetary tightening, a downturn in overseas economies, rising prices, and volatility in financial and capital markets as risks.
  10. FY2023Updated factors contributing to economic uncertaintyAnnual report

    「As global monetary tightening and other factors continue, the outlook remains uncertain due to rising raw material prices and supply-side constraints.」

    The statement cites global monetary tightening, rising raw material prices, and supply constraints as factors contributing to economic uncertainty.
  11. FY2023-Q3Updated factors contributing to economic uncertaintyAnnual report

    「However, as global monetary tightening and other factors continue, the outlook remains uncertain due to rising raw material prices and supply-side constraints.」

    The statement cites global monetary tightening, rising raw material prices, and supply-side constraints as factors contributing to economic uncertainty.
  12. FY2023-Q2Updated factors contributing to economic uncertaintyAnnual report

    「However, as the situation in Ukraine remains prolonged and global monetary tightening continues, the outlook remains uncertain due to rising raw material prices and supply-side constraints.」

    In addition to the previously cited situation in Ukraine, raw material prices, and supply constraints, the statement cites global monetary tightening as a factor contributing to economic uncertainty.
  13. FY2023-Q1RestatedAnnual report

    「During the first quarter of the current consolidated cumulative period, the severe conditions caused by COVID-19 gradually eased and signs of a recovery emerged in Japan's economy. Although the outlook for the economy is expected to continue recovering as infection-control measures are fully implemented and economic and social activity moves toward normalization, supported by the effects of various policies and improvements in overseas economies, the outlook remains uncertain due to rising raw material prices and supply-side constraints amid concerns over the prolonged situation in Ukraine and the impact of restrictions on economic activity in China.」

    While recognizing the easing of the severe conditions caused by COVID-19 and the economic recovery, the statement reconfirms uncertainty stemming from the situation in Ukraine, restrictions on economic activity in China, rising raw material prices, and supply constraints.
  14. FY2022WorsenedAnnual report

    「The Cabinet Office's monthly economic report released in March stated that "although the economy continues to show signs of recovery, some weakness is evident amid the lingering severe conditions caused by COVID-19." Amid uncertainty surrounding the situation in Ukraine and other factors, rising raw material prices and supply-side constraints pose risks of putting downward pressure on domestic and overseas economies, and the uncertain economic environment is expected to persist.」

    The statement cites the risks of an economic downturn stemming from COVID-19, the situation in Ukraine, rising raw material prices, and supply constraints.
  15. FY2022-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「During the third quarter of the current consolidated cumulative period, the severe conditions caused by COVID-19 gradually eased and signs of a recovery emerged in Japan's economy. Although the outlook for the economy is expected to continue recovering as infection-control measures are fully implemented and economic and social activity continues, supported by the effects of various policies and improvements in overseas economies, the outlook remains uncertain.」

    While recognizing the economic recovery amid the COVID-19 pandemic, the statement reconfirms that uncertainty remains over the economic outlook.
  16. FY2022-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「During the second quarter of the current consolidated cumulative period, Japan's economy remained in a severe situation due to the impact of COVID-19, but signs of a recovery have recently emerged. Although the outlook for the economy is expected to continue recovering as thorough infection-control measures are implemented and vaccinations are promoted, supported by the effects of various policies and improvements in overseas economies, weakness has increased in some areas and the outlook remains uncertain.」

    While recognizing the recent recovery amid the COVID-19 pandemic, the statement reconfirms that some weakness and uncertainty remain in the economic outlook.
  17. FY2022-Q1RestatedAnnual report

    「During the first quarter of the current consolidated cumulative period, Japan's economy remained in a severe situation due to the impact of COVID-19, but signs of a recovery have recently emerged. Although the outlook for the economy is expected to continue recovering as measures to prevent the spread of infection are implemented and vaccinations are promoted, supported by the effects of various policies and improvements in overseas economies, weakness has increased in some areas and the outlook remains uncertain.」

    While recognizing the recent recovery amid the COVID-19 pandemic, the statement reconfirms that uncertainty remains over the economic outlook.
  18. FY2021RestatedAnnual report

    「However, as concerns grow over the arrival of a fourth wave of infections, the outlook remains uncertain.」

    The statement reconfirms uncertainty over the economic outlook due to the spread of COVID-19.
  19. FY2021-Q3Quarterly update of credit guarantee approval resultsAnnual report

    「During the third quarter of the current consolidated cumulative period, Japan's economy was in an extremely severe situation due to the impact of COVID-19. However, broad-based financial support measures were implemented for small and medium-sized enterprises and others suffering poor performance. The number of approvals for credit guarantees by credit guarantee associations, which are a prerequisite for effectively interest-free and unsecured loans, totaled approximately 1.45 million during April-November, with approved amounts reaching approximately ¥26 trillion. Both figures expanded rapidly to levels exceeding the results for fiscal 2008, when the global financial crisis occurred (according to the National Federation of Credit Guarantee Corporations).」

    The statement discloses the severe economic environment amid the COVID-19 pandemic and the increase in the number and amount of approvals for guarantees by credit guarantee associations.
  20. FY2021-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「During the second quarter of the current consolidated cumulative period, Japan's economy was in an extremely severe situation due to the impact of COVID-19. However, broad-based financial support measures were implemented for small and medium-sized enterprises and others suffering poor performance. The number of approvals for credit guarantees by credit guarantee associations, which are a prerequisite for effectively interest-free and unsecured loans, totaled approximately 1.2 million during April-August, with approved amounts reaching approximately ¥22 trillion. Both figures expanded rapidly to levels at which the approved amount had already exceeded the total for fiscal 2008, when the global financial crisis occurred (according to the National Federation of Credit Guarantee Corporations).」

    The statement reconfirms the severe economic conditions caused by COVID-19 and cites the rapid expansion of financial support measures and approvals for guarantees by credit guarantee associations.
  21. FY2021-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the first quarter of the current consolidated cumulative period, Japan's economy deteriorated rapidly as the spread of COVID-19, along with calls for people to refrain from going out and requests for business closures from March onward, and the state of emergency declared in April restricted personal consumption and corporate activity.」

    The statement says that personal consumption and corporate activity were restricted by COVID-19, requests to refrain from going out and close businesses, and the state of emergency, causing the economy to deteriorate rapidly.
  22. FY2020WorsenedAnnual report

    「Japan's economy has come under substantial downward pressure from the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, which became pronounced from February 2020, and the outlook is expected to remain unpredictable.」

    The statement cites, in addition to the existing uncertainty stemming from overseas economies and other factors, the substantial downward pressure on the economy from COVID-19 and the severe outlook ahead.
  23. FY2020-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, the outlook for Japan's economy remains uncertain due to developments surrounding trade issues, the outlook for the Chinese economy, the UK's withdrawal from the EU, and other developments in overseas economies.」

    The statement reconfirms uncertainty over the outlook for the domestic economy stemming from trade issues, the outlook for the Chinese economy, the UK's withdrawal from the EU, and other uncertainties in overseas economies.
  24. FY2020-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, the outlook for Japan's economy remains uncertain due to the impact of rising tensions surrounding trade issues on the global economy and uncertainty in overseas economies.」

    The statement reconfirms uncertainty over the outlook for the domestic economy stemming from tensions surrounding trade issues and uncertainty in overseas economies.
  25. FY2020-Q1RestatedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, the outlook for Japan's economy remains uncertain due to the impact of trade issues, uncertainty in the global economy, including China, and volatility in financial markets.」

    The statement reconfirms uncertainty over the outlook for the domestic economy stemming from trade issues, uncertainty in the global economy, and volatility in financial markets.
  26. FY2019RestatedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, the outlook for Japan's economy remains uncertain due to concerns over the outlook for the Chinese economy stemming from US-China trade friction and rising geopolitical risks.」

    The statement reconfirms uncertainty over the economic outlook stemming from US-China trade friction, concerns over the outlook for the Chinese economy, and geopolitical risks.
  27. FY2019-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, the outlook for Japan's economy remains uncertain as the US-China trade friction has intensified, a slowdown in consumption in the Chinese economy has become more pronounced, and uncertainty in overseas economies continues to have an impact.」

    The statement cites the intensification of US-China trade friction and the increasingly pronounced slowdown in consumption in the Chinese economy as factors behind uncertainty in overseas economies.
  28. FY2019-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, the outlook for Japan's economy remains uncertain due to the impact of trade issues on the global economy and uncertainty in overseas economies.」

    The statement continues to cite uncertainty over the outlook for the domestic economy stemming from trade issues and uncertainty in overseas economies.
  29. FY2019-Q1RestatedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, the outlook for Japan's economy remains uncertain, affected by uncertainty surrounding overseas economies and policies.」

    The statement continues to cite uncertainty surrounding overseas economies and policies, as well as an unclear outlook for the domestic economy.
  30. FY2018RestatedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, the outlook for Japan's economy remains uncertain, affected by uncertainty surrounding overseas economies and policies.」

    The statement continues to cite uncertainty surrounding overseas economies and policies, as well as an unclear outlook for the domestic economy.
  31. FY2018-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, the outlook for Japan's economy remains uncertain, affected by uncertainty surrounding overseas economies and policies.」

    The statement continues to cite uncertainty surrounding overseas economies and policies, as well as an unclear outlook for the domestic economy.
  32. FY2018-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, the outlook for Japan's economy remains uncertain, affected by uncertainty surrounding overseas economies and policies.」

    The statement continues to cite uncertainty surrounding overseas economies and policies, as well as an unclear outlook for the domestic economy.
  33. FY2018-Q1RestatedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, the outlook for Japan's economy remains uncertain due to unstable political developments overseas and rising geopolitical risks.」

    The statement continues to cite uncertainty over the outlook for the domestic economy stemming from overseas political developments and geopolitical risks.
  34. FY2017RestatedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, the outlook for Japan's economy remains uncertain due to the impact of rising interest rates in the United States and the outlook for emerging Asian economies, including China.」

    The statement continues to cite economic uncertainty stemming from rising US interest rates and the outlook for emerging Asian economies.
  35. FY2017-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, the outlook for Japan's economy remains uncertain, affected by growing uncertainty in overseas economies and volatility in financial and capital markets.」

    Uncertainty in overseas economies, volatility in financial and capital markets, and an unclear outlook for the domestic economy persist.
  36. FY2017-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, weakness is evident in overseas economies, and concerns over downside risks in China and other emerging Asian economies, as well as growing uncertainty in overseas economies stemming from issues such as the UK's withdrawal from the EU, have left the outlook for Japan's economy uncertain.」

    Uncertainty in overseas economies and an unclear outlook for the domestic economy persist. Factors cited include concerns over downside risks in China and other emerging Asian economies, as well as the UK's withdrawal from the EU.
  37. FY2016First statedAnnual report

    「In addition to the slowdown in emerging-market economies, led by China, growing concerns over deteriorating corporate performance due to the yen's appreciation since the start of the year have made the outlook for Japan's economy uncertain.」

    This describes the company's view of the external environment.
Moved together

"Earnings impact of the decline in corporate bankruptcies and guarantee fee rates" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 5 of its 37 moves.

5432★1234
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Earnings impact of the decline in corporate bankruptcies and guarantee fee rates5×
  3. 2Deterioration in the Loss Ratio for Retained Credit Risk4×
  4. 3Margin deterioration due to frequent calls on guarantees and insufficient price pass-through3×
  5. 4Estimation Uncertainty in the Provision for Guarantee Performance Due to Changes in Bankruptcy Probabilities2×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

When this could move next
eGuarantee's next results are scheduled for 2026-11-13. Read the earnings preview It last moved in the Earnings of 2026-08-07: "Worsened".
News
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