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Shimamura (8227) · RiskWage growth and income recovery alongside high prices and a preference for saving

Weakness in Personal Consumption

First written in FY2017-Q1. 14 of 37 entries say "Worsened", first in FY2017-Q3. Latest entry: FY2027-H1.

37entries
11years
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseWorsenedFY2019 – FY2021-Q2OtherFY2023-Q3 – FY2027-H12016: 220162017: 420172018: 320182019: 420192020: 320202021: 520212022: 320222023: 420232024: 220242025: 220252026: 52026
Same theme, other companies
Decline in fashion demand due to consumers’ cost-consciousness and cautious purchasing behaviorA theme 14 companies write about · 14 as a headwind · 0 as a tailwind

Shimamura moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2016, 4 years before the typical company in this theme (2020).

The whole theme swung hardest in 2025: 5 of 10 companies on the "Worse" side.

0 other companies' latest entry also says "Other".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. FY2027-H1Wage growth and income recovery alongside high prices and a preference for savingAnnual report

    「During the interim consolidated accounting period, the domestic consumption environment showed a gradual recovery in personal income, with the wage increase rate at 5.01% and disposable income on an upward trend. At the same time, consumer sentiment remained cautious because of higher food and import prices and concerns about further price pass-through. Apparel sales continued to face difficult conditions amid intense price competition and a firmly entrenched inclination to economise.」

    Although the 5.01% wage increase rate and upward trend in disposable income were reported, higher food and import prices, concerns about price pass-through, price competition and a firmly entrenched inclination to economise continued to coexist.
  2. FY2026Coexistence of expectations for wage increases with high prices and frugalityAnnual report

    「Intermittent price increases for essential goods placed a burden on household finances. As a result, consumers remained firmly inclined to economise, and the stronger tendency to scrutinise value and price closely meant that the difficult environment for apparel sales continued.」

    Although wage increases and improvements in the employment environment were expected, price increases for essential goods and a firmly entrenched inclination to economise meant that difficult conditions for apparel sales continued.
  3. 2026-03-30OtherEarnings

    「Consumers' preference for saving on daily necessities remains deeply rooted, and proposals for products that offer a balanced combination of value and price are expected to become even more important.」

    Although expectations were expressed for wage increases and a recovery in purchasing appetite, difficult consumer conditions caused by high prices and a preference for economy remained.
  4. FY2026-H1Continued difficult consumption environment due to higher prices and costs and an inclination to economiseAnnual report

    「During the interim consolidated accounting period, wage increases rose in Japan, but labour and logistics costs also increased, while food and daily necessities continued to become more expensive as raw material prices rose. As a result, real wages continued to decline, and consumers remained strongly inclined to economise, so consumption activity, including apparel, remained challenging.」

    Although wage increases were seen, rising labour, logistics and raw material costs, declining real wages and a strong inclination to economise meant that difficult conditions continued for consumption activity, including apparel.
  5. FY2025Update on the difficult conditions for apparel sales amid higher prices and an inclination to economiseAnnual report

    「The prolonged depreciation of the yen beyond expectations and price increases for daily necessities and food products caused by adverse weather put pressure on household finances. As a result, consumers remained strongly inclined to economise, and the difficult consumption environment for apparel sales continued.」

    Even after a period in which consumer spending temporarily turned positive, the weaker yen, price increases for essential goods and consumers’ inclination to economise persisted, confirming difficult conditions for apparel sales throughout the fiscal year.
  6. FY2025-H1Temporary positive consumer spending alongside an inclination to economise and uncertaintyAnnual report

    「During the interim consolidated accounting period, consumer spending in July turned positive for the first time in 3 months, but consumers continued to economise amid higher prices. Real wages in July increased year on year for the second consecutive month. This was due to higher bonuses, while regular wages fell short of the rate of price increases. In addition, subsidies for electricity and gas bills were temporarily discontinued, and the consumer price index excluding fresh food rose 2.7% in July. Although the resumption of the subsidies is expected to curb price increases from September onward, consumer trends remain uncertain.」

    Consumer spending turned positive for the first time in 3 months and real wages increased for the second consecutive month, while the report also noted higher prices, an inclination to economise, regular wages rising more slowly than prices, and uncertainty over consumer trends.
  7. FY2025-Q1Prolonged weakness in consumer spending alongside a temporary return to positive growthAnnual report

    「During the cumulative first quarter of the fiscal year, consumer spending was negative for 13 consecutive months through March before turning positive in April, but consumers remained strongly inclined to economise. Although the average wage increase at major companies rose 5.58%, the consumer price index excluding fresh food continued to increase by at least 2.0% for the 25th consecutive month, so real wages also remained negative year on year.」

    Consumer spending turned positive in April after falling below the previous year for 13 consecutive months, but the report updated the picture of weak personal consumption, with an inclination to economise, higher prices and below-year-ago real wages occurring simultaneously.
  8. FY2024-Q3Weak consumer spending alongside improving consumer sentimentAnnual report

    「Although consumer sentiment improved for the second consecutive month in November as income rose with wage increases and the employment environment improved as the unemployment rate declined, consumers are expected to remain inclined to economise, against a backdrop of inflation concerns, which will continue to affect personal consumption.」

    Although the report indicated an improvement in consumer sentiment, inflation concerns and an inclination to economise continue to constrain personal consumption.
  9. FY2024-Q2More concrete signs of declining real wages and concerns about worsening consumer sentimentAnnual report

    「At the same time, real wages in July were negative year on year for the 16th consecutive month because of higher prices, while consumer sentiment worsened in August for the first time in 9 months, increasing concerns about a deterioration in personal consumption amid inflation concerns.」

    Although foot traffic returned to normal, pre-pandemic levels, the 16 consecutive months of declining real wages and deterioration in consumer sentiment gave more concrete form to constraints on the recovery in personal consumption.
  10. FY2024-Q1Recovery in consumption alongside inflation concernsAnnual report

    「During the cumulative first quarter of the fiscal year, society returned to normal after COVID-19 was reclassified as a Class 5 disease under the Infectious Diseases Control Law in early May and infection-control measures became a matter of individual judgement. Domestic travel during Golden Week also recovered to around pre-pandemic levels. At the same time, higher prices for food, accommodation and dining services drove the consumer price index up 3.4% year on year in April, a high rate of increase, raising concerns that households would become more inclined to economise amid inflation concerns.」

    The report indicated that easing activity restrictions supported a recovery in domestic travel and consumption, while also noting the 3.4% increase in the consumer price index and concerns about a stronger inclination to economise.
  11. FY2023Update to the full-year consumption environment, with recovering foot traffic alongside higher pricesAnnual report

    「In the second half, the government’s travel support measures increased foot traffic across the country and consumer spending rose. However, real wages were negative year on year because of higher prices, and the number of COVID-19 infections rose again, so the difficult consumption environment for apparel sales continued.」

    The report noted both the recovery in foot traffic and consumer spending driven by travel support measures and the difficult environment for apparel sales caused by lower real wages due to higher prices and the renewed increase in infections.
  12. FY2023-Q3Recovery in consumption alongside declining real wagesAnnual report

    「The number of new COVID-19 infections declined from September, and the government’s travel support measures began in October, increasing foot traffic nationwide. Consumer spending in October exceeded the previous year for the fifth consecutive month. At the same time, real wages in October were negative year on year for the seventh consecutive month because of higher electricity bills and food prices, while new COVID-19 infections began increasing again from November, and the difficult consumption environment for apparel sales has continued.」

    Although consumer spending exceeded the previous year for 5 consecutive months as travel support measures increased foot traffic, the report also noted the 7 consecutive months of declining real wages, higher prices and the renewed increase in infections as constraints on apparel sales.
  13. FY2023-Q2MitigatedAnnual report

    「The summer holiday period was free of activity restrictions for the first time in 3 years, and demand for travel and visits to family returned. As foot traffic increased nationwide, consumer spending in July exceeded the previous year for the second consecutive month. At the same time, real wages in July were negative year on year for the fourth consecutive month because of higher electricity bills and food prices, and the number of new COVID-19 infections remained elevated nationwide as the seventh wave continued, so the difficult consumption environment for apparel sales has continued.」

    Consumer spending recovered as activity restrictions were lifted and demand for travel and visits to family returned. However, the difficult environment for apparel sales continued because of below-year-ago real wages, higher prices and the spread of the seventh wave of infections.
  14. FY2022WorsenedAnnual report

    「In the first half, declarations of a state of emergency were issued continuously because of COVID-19, and people continued to refrain from going out and travelling. The Tokyo Olympics also failed to stimulate consumption, and personal consumption remained sluggish. In the second half, consumer sentiment recovered from October through the year-end and New Year period as infections declined, but infections surged from the beginning of the new year as the Omicron variant spread, and the issuance of priority preventive measures against the spread of disease again created difficult conditions for apparel sales.」

    Although consumer sentiment recovered temporarily, apparel sales again faced difficult conditions as people refrained from going out and activity restrictions continued throughout the year, compounded by the spread of the Omicron variant.
  15. FY2022-Q3MitigatedAnnual report

    「From October onward, the number of people out and about in urban areas increased as infections declined, and customer traffic at service businesses such as restaurants and accommodation facilities gradually began to recover. Apparel sales also showed signs of recovery, but it is difficult to say that they had returned to the level of the year before last,」

    The decline in infections and increase in foot traffic led to signs of recovery in services and apparel sales, providing partial relief from the weakness in personal consumption. At the same time, apparel sales had not returned to the level of the year before last.
  16. FY2022-Q2MitigatedAnnual report

    「Real GDP for the April–June quarter grew 1.9% on an annualised basis, and although personal consumption increased only slightly, it turned positive for the first time in two quarters. Signs of recovery also emerged in business sentiment, particularly in manufacturing.」

    Personal consumption turned positive for the first time in two quarters, despite a slight increase. At the same time, the recovery slowed as people refrained from nonessential, nonurgent outings, and the report also noted that apparel sales remained challenging even compared with the year before last.
  17. FY2022-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the cumulative first quarter of the fiscal year, the declaration of a state of emergency twice in response to COVID-19 again restricted the movement of people and economic activity. Large facilities were forced to close or reduce their operating hours, causing personal consumption to fall substantially, particularly in services such as dining out and accommodation, while apparel sales also remained challenging.」

    The report described restrictions on the movement of people and economic activity under the state of emergency, closures and reduced operating hours at large facilities, a substantial decline in personal consumption, and difficult conditions for apparel sales.
  18. FY2021WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the fiscal year, the domestic consumption environment was extremely challenging for apparel sales. Personal consumption declined as people refrained from going out and inbound demand disappeared, while events such as summer festivals and occasions such as graduation ceremonies were scaled back or cancelled, and large commercial facilities were forced to reduce their operating hours. The government’s consumption stimulus measures had a certain effect, however.」

    Refraining from going out, the disappearance of inbound demand, the scaling back or cancellation of events, and reduced operating hours at commercial facilities coincided, and the report stated that the difficult consumption environment for apparel sales continued in practice.
  19. FY2021-Q3MitigatedAnnual report

    「The November consumer sentiment survey showed some signs of a recovery in consumer sentiment, but the unemployment rate remained elevated and winter bonuses paid by listed companies fell sharply year on year,」

    The report of some recovery in consumer sentiment provided partial relief from the weakness in personal consumption. At the same time, it also noted the persistently high unemployment rate and the sharp decline in winter bonuses.
  20. FY2021-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「Although measures to stimulate consumption through the Go To campaign were introduced in July, a stronger mood of refraining from returning to one’s hometown and travelling, the cancellation of festivals and beach openings, and the shortening of summer holidays at elementary, junior high and high schools resulted in demand disappearing for some seasonal products, including swimwear and yukata.」

    The recovery in personal consumption driven by benefit payments did not last, and demand for products such as swimwear and yukata actually disappeared as people refrained from going out and attending events and took shorter holidays.
  21. FY2021-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「The impact of the novel coronavirus outbreak caused personal consumption in Japan to decline as people refrained from going out, inbound demand to disappear, and economic opportunities to be lost because of the postponement of the Tokyo Olympics. Although the government introduced emergency support measures, including various benefit payments, consumer sentiment is expected to remain depressed for the time being as the economy deteriorates.」

    Refraining from going out, the disappearance of inbound demand, the postponement of the Olympics and depressed consumer sentiment were added and specified as factors behind the deterioration in personal consumption.
  22. FY2020WorsenedAnnual report

    「Following the consumption tax increase, real GDP fell quarter on quarter in the October–December quarter, while consumer spending was negative year on year for four consecutive months from October through January, indicating a marked deterioration in consumer sentiment.」

    The decline in real GDP following the consumption tax increase and four consecutive months of year-on-year declines in consumer spending were reported, giving more concrete form to the weakness in personal consumption.
  23. FY2020-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the cumulative third quarter of the fiscal year, the domestic consumption environment was affected not only by the decline following the pull-forward demand ahead of the consumption tax increase, but also by weaker consumer sentiment caused by adverse weather and natural disasters. As a result, October retail sales fell sharply, down 7.1% year on year.」

    The decline following pull-forward demand ahead of the consumption tax increase, adverse weather and natural disasters coincided, resulting in October retail sales falling 7.1% year on year.
  24. FY2020-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「Real wages in July fell 0.9% year on year, increasing uncertainty about the economic outlook following the consumption tax increase.」

    Real wages fell 0.9% year on year, newly highlighting uncertainty about the economic outlook following the consumption tax increase.
  25. FY2020-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「In April, a succession of price increases for everyday food products raised concerns about the impact on household finances, along with the consumption tax increase scheduled for October.」

    Food price increases and the consumption tax increase scheduled for October were newly identified as factors affecting household finances, giving more concrete form to concerns about the burden on personal consumption.
  26. FY2019WorsenedAnnual report

    「In the consumer environment, the shift from the consumption of goods to the consumption of experiences is progressing, and general consumers' attitudes toward owning goods are changing. Unlike the previously observed focus on protecting household finances and saving, the diversification of consumer spending patterns and more rigorous selection of necessary and unnecessary purchases are acting as brakes on personal consumption.」

    In addition to signs of recovery in personal consumption, the diversification of spending patterns and more rigorous selective consumption were identified as factors weighing on consumption.
  27. FY2019-Q3MitigatedAnnual report

    「Personal consumption showed signs of recovery against this backdrop, but consumer sentiment temporarily weakened due to disasters including record-breaking heat and torrential rain.」

    While personal consumption was described as showing signs of recovery, a temporary weakening of consumer sentiment due to extreme heat and torrential rain was also noted.
  28. FY2019-Q2MitigatedAnnual report

    「Personal consumption showed signs of recovery against this backdrop, but consumer sentiment temporarily weakened due to disasters including record-breaking heat and torrential rain.」

    While personal consumption showed signs of recovery, a temporary weakening of consumer sentiment due to extreme heat and torrential rain was identified.
  29. FY2018MitigatedAnnual report

    「Consumer spending turned positive in November, which is expected to lead to an increase in personal consumption.」

    The description changed from declining and sluggish consumer spending through the previous period to an increase from November, partially mitigating the risk associated with weak personal consumption.
  30. FY2018-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「The employment environment improved substantially, with the effective job-openings-to-applicants ratio in October reaching its highest level in 43 years and 9 months, and labour shortages becoming a serious problem. However, consumer spending remained sluggish, and personal consumption continued to be weak.」

    While improvements in the employment environment and labour shortages continued, consumer spending remained sluggish and weak personal consumption persisted.
  31. FY2018-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「Consumer spending increased in June for the first time in 16 months, but declined again in July, and personal consumption remained sluggish.」

    Consumer spending declined again after a temporary increase, and weak personal consumption continued. The period of continued decline was also extended to 16 months from the previous quarter's description of a decline for 14 consecutive months.
  32. FY2018-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「Personal consumption remained sluggish, with consumer spending declining for the 14th consecutive month in April.」

    The period of continued decline in consumer spending was extended from the previous 11 months to 14 months.
  33. FY2017WorsenedAnnual report

    「Signs of weakness in personal consumption continue to be seen, with household consumption spending declining for the 11th consecutive month in January.」

    The period of continued decline in personal consumption was extended from the 8 months cited previously to 11 months.
  34. FY2017-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「Personal consumption continues to lack strength, with household consumption spending declining for the eighth consecutive month in October.」

    The description changed from a decline for 2 consecutive months in the first quarter to a decline for 8 consecutive months as of October.
  35. FY2017-Q1First statedAnnual report

    「Personal consumption continues to lack strength, with consumer spending declining for the second consecutive month in April.」

    Although the employment environment was described as favourable, weak personal consumption was identified as a concern in the external environment.
Moved together

"Impact of Abnormal Weather on Apparel Sales" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 15 of its 37 moves.

1511101087★123456
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Impact of Abnormal Weather on Apparel Sales15×
  3. 2Uncertainty about the outlook due to yen appreciation, economic slowdowns in emerging markets, and U.S. monetary policy11×
  4. 3Failure to Achieve a Recovery in Chambre Retail Business Performance10×
  5. 4Sluggish customer traffic at the Shimamura business and a year-on-year decline in sales10×
  6. 5Enhancing the Taiwan business's sales performance and brand awareness by coordinating products, in-store presentation and sales promotions and using websites and apps8×
  7. 6Improving In-Store Presentation and Expanding “Birthday+” and “futafuta”7×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

When this could move next
No upcoming earnings preview for Shimamura yet. It last moved in the Earnings of 2026-09-28: "Other".
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Weakness in Personal Consumption | SHIMAMURA Co.,Ltd. (8227) | Komori