Komori
People (7865) · RiskRestated

Stalled Economic Recovery and Increased Uncertainty over the Outlook Due to Yen Appreciation, US-China Trade Friction and Higher Raw Material Costs

First written in FY2019-Q2. 8 of 17 entries say "Worsened", first in FY2020-Q1. Latest entry: FY2027-H1.

17entries
9years
0from disclosures
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseWorsenedFY2020-Q1 – FY2021-Q2MaterialisedFY2023-Q3 – FY20262018: 220182019: 320192020: 420202021: 220212022: 320222023: 120232024: 020242025: 020252026: 22026
Same theme, other companies
Business uncertainty arising from protectionist trade policies and geopolitical developmentsA theme 364 companies write about · 371 as a headwind · 0 as a tailwind

The whole theme swung hardest in 2022: 106 of 135 companies on the "Worse" side.

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Showing 14 of the 199 companies compared. The sentences above are computed from all 199.Comparing 200 of the theme's 372 threads.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. FY2027-H1RestatedAnnual report

    「Japan's economy during the interim accounting period continued to recover moderately, with signs of a pickup in personal consumption, although close attention continued to be paid to the effects of rising prices and the increasingly tense situation in the Middle East. The global economy also continued to recover moderately, but the outlook remained uncertain owing to the emergence of geopolitical risks and volatility in financial and capital markets.」

    While recognizing the recovery in personal consumption, the company continues to note uncertainty over the outlook arising from rising prices, the situation in the Middle East, geopolitical risks and volatility in financial markets.
  2. FY2026WorsenedAnnual report

    「The sharp rise in crude oil prices stemming from the situation in Ukraine and Russia and recent developments in the Middle East is expected to affect procurement costs across the board, including raw material prices and labor costs for manufacturing our products, as well as transportation costs.」

    In addition to the weaker yen and higher raw material costs, the rise in crude oil prices against the backdrop of the situation in Ukraine and Russia and developments in the Middle East has been identified as a risk affecting raw materials, labor costs, transportation costs and consumption ratios.
  3. FY2024-Q1MaterialisedAnnual report

    「In the United States, financial uncertainty caused by the failures of regional banks has also led to the failure of some retailers amid competition from major mass retailers and online sales.」

    Financial instability caused by the failure of a mid-sized bank and the failure of a retail company occurred, providing concrete evidence of increasing uncertainty in the external economic environment.
  4. FY2023-Q3MaterialisedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, the impact on the domestic economy of rising prices for materials and services due to the rapid depreciation of the yen and higher crude oil prices has become apparent.」

    The impact of rapid yen depreciation and higher crude oil prices on material and service prices has emerged in the domestic economy and is also affecting the company's procurement costs and the consumption environment.
  5. FY2023-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, the rapid depreciation of the yen and the prolonged situation in Ukraine affected consumption, including through price increases for imported goods.」

    The rapid depreciation of the yen and the prolonged situation in Ukraine continued to affect consumption through higher prices for imported goods.
  6. FY2023-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the cumulative first-quarter period, Japan's economy showed factors contributing to an uncertain outlook, including higher raw material prices caused by rising crude oil prices, volatility in the financial and capital markets, and downside risks from supply constraints associated with the worsening situation in Ukraine, amid the continuing impact of COVID-19. At the company, the effects of crude oil prices and yen depreciation were directly reflected in procurement costs.」

    In addition to the previous uncertainty surrounding COVID-19 and the economy, higher crude oil prices, rising raw material prices, financial market volatility, supply constraints associated with the situation in Ukraine, and increased procurement costs due to yen depreciation became apparent.
  7. FY2022-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「During the cumulative second-quarter period, Japan's economy continued to face an uncertain outlook as it remained affected by the spread of COVID-19, including the expansion of areas subject to the state of emergency and priority preventive measures and the extension of those periods.」

    The economic environment remained uncertain due to the spread of COVID-19 and the state of emergency, among other factors.
  8. FY2021WorsenedAnnual report

    「As the existing market gradually contracts due to the declining birth rate, the company faces intense competition from competitors, including major companies. Manufacturing and transportation costs are certain to continue rising, while demands from distributors for price reductions are expected to intensify, putting pressure on margins from both sides.」

    The company newly specified the prospect of margin pressure from market contraction due to the declining birth rate, intensifying competition, rising manufacturing and transportation costs, and demands from distributors for price reductions.
  9. FY2021-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「During the third-quarter cumulative period, Japan's economic activity was recovering, particularly in domestic travel and dining, but the outlook remained uncertain amid concerns about a resurgence of COVID-19 infections.」

    Although economic activity was recovering, the outlook remained uncertain due to concerns about a resurgence of COVID-19 infections.
  10. FY2021-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the second-quarter cumulative period, the operating environment surrounding the Group suffered a serious blow to people's daily lives and corporate activities as COVID-19 spread. Although the state of emergency declared in Japan in April was lifted in May and economic activity resumed, the outlook remained uncertain, as there was no clear end to the spread of the infection.」

    The impact of COVID-19 emerged as a serious blow to people's daily lives and corporate activities, and the outlook remained uncertain even after the state of emergency was lifted, with no end to the outbreak in sight.
  11. FY2021-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the first-quarter cumulative period, the operating environment surrounding the Group was significantly affected by the impact of COVID-19 on manufacturing and consumption in Japan and overseas.」

    In addition to the previous economic slowdown and trade friction, COVID-19 came to have a significant impact on manufacturing and consumption in Japan and overseas.
  12. FY2020WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the consolidated fiscal year, the domestic economy was reported to be recovering moderately, but external demand remained weak against a backdrop of a slowdown in overseas economies, while the outlook for personal consumption in Japan following the consumption tax increase also remained uncertain.」

    Weak external demand due to the slowdown in overseas economies and uncertainty over personal consumption following the consumption tax increase continued.
  13. FY2020-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the second quarter of the 43rd fiscal period, personal consumption increased due in part to the extended holiday associated with the imperial era change, while announcements of deteriorating corporate earnings for the April-June period, attributed to the downturn caused by US-China trade friction, followed one after another, further increasing uncertainty surrounding the domestic economy.」

    Although personal consumption increased, successive announcements of deteriorating corporate earnings due to US-China trade friction further deepened uncertainty surrounding the domestic economy.
  14. FY2020-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the first quarter of the 43rd fiscal period, Japan's economy remained extremely uncertain, with resilient consumption alongside signs of an economic downturn, partly reflecting US-China trade friction and a slowdown in the Chinese economy.」

    The economic environment became more uncertain, with the economy showing signs of a downturn against a backdrop of US-China trade friction and a slowdown in the Chinese economy.
  15. FY2019RestatedAnnual report

    「During the consolidated fiscal year, the economic environment was characterized by uncertainty over the recovery in domestic demand, as trade friction and summer disasters cast a shadow over moderate growth.」

    Trade friction and summer disasters affected moderate growth and the recovery in domestic demand, and uncertainty about the outlook continued.
  16. FY2019-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「During the third quarter of the period, Japan's economy emerged from a pause and showed moderate growth, but the intense summer heat, including during the August summer sales season, and trade friction cast a shadow, and the economy continued to fall short of a robust recovery.」

    Although moderate growth was seen, the intense summer heat and trade friction affected the economy, and the situation continued to fall short of a robust recovery.
  17. FY2019-Q2First statedAnnual report

    「During the 42nd fiscal period, although an economic recovery was seen in the first quarter, the yen's appreciation and the intensification of US-China trade friction, followed by higher raw material costs in the second quarter, raised concerns that the economic recovery would stall amid an uncertain outlook.」

    The company identified as a new external risk the combination of yen appreciation, intensifying US-China trade friction and higher raw material costs, which raised concerns about a stalling economic recovery and an increasingly uncertain outlook.
Moved together

"Margin compression due to price increases and a higher proportion of high-cost products" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 6 of its 17 moves.

664322★123456
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Margin compression due to price increases and a higher proportion of high-cost products6×
  3. 2Fair Value Losses on FX Forward Contracts and Foreign-Currency Balances Due to Yen Appreciation6×
  4. 3Concurrent increase in net sales and decrease in operating profit4×
  5. 4Market Inventory Adjustment and Cooling of Inbound Tourists’ Shopping Spree3×
  6. 5Playground Rides Category Exceeds Prior Year, Increasing Its Share of Sales2×
  7. 6Stimulating Awareness and Demand Through TV Commercial Investment in New and Refreshed Products2×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

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