Komori
Seiwa Chuo Holdings (7531) · RiskReframed

China's Excess Production Capacity and Downward Pressure on Steel Market Conditions

First written in FY2016-Q2. 5 of 14 entries say "Reframed", first in FY2022-Q2. Latest entry: FY2026-H1.

14entries
11years
1from disclosures
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseFirst statedFY2016-Q2 – FY2016MitigatedFY2017WorsenedFY20202016: 220162017: 120172018: 120182019: 020192020: 020202021: 120212022: 120222023: 220232024: 120242025: 220252026: 32026
Same theme, other companies
Downward pressure on steel market prices from China’s excess production and low-priced importsA theme 14 companies write about · 16 as a headwind · 0 as a tailwind

Seiwa Chuo Holdings moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2021, 2 years after the typical company in this theme (2019).

The whole theme swung hardest in 2024: 8 of 13 companies on the "Worse" side.

1 other company's latest entry also says "Reframed".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. FY2026-H1ReframedAnnual report

    「価格面では、需要の伸び悩みや安価な輸入材の影響を受けた一方、鉄鋼メーカーでは、原料価格の上昇に加え、電気代や物流費等のコスト上昇を背景に、鉄鋼価格の引き上げに転じる動きが見られました。」

    中国の過剰生産・鋼材輸出を直接示す記述から、需要の伸び悩みや安価な輸入材による下押しと、コスト上昇を背景としたメーカー値上げが併存する価格環境へ整理が変化している。
  2. FY2025ReframedAnnual report

    「鉄鋼価格は過剰生産を続ける中国の鋼材輸出の影響で軟調に推移し」

    鉄鋼価格の下押し要因について、安価な輸入品という整理から、過剰生産を続ける中国の鋼材輸出の影響へ具体化・再整理されている。
  3. 2026-03-03WorsenedGeneral Meetings of Shareholders

    「Steel prices remained weak, affected by China's steel exports amid continued overproduction,」

    China's overproduction and steel exports are explicitly identified as factors behind weak steel prices in the explanation of the year's results.
  4. FY2025-H1RestatedAnnual report

    「価格面においては、安価な輸入品と低調が続く鉄鋼需要の影響を受け、値下り基調に推移し」

    安価な輸入品と低調な鉄鋼需要を背景に鉄鋼価格が値下り基調となる状況が、前年度から継続して記載されている。
  5. FY2024WorsenedAnnual report

    「鉄鋼価格は、需給環境の悪化や資源価格の下落により、さらに値下りする懸念があり」

    鉄鋼価格について、需給環境の悪化と資源価格下落を背景に、さらに値下りする懸念が示されている。
  6. FY2023ReframedAnnual report

    「海外鉄鋼価格と国内価格に相当の差異があり、マーケット値上げは相当困難な状況でもあります。」

    中国の過剰生産能力や価格調整から、海外価格と国内価格の乖離による国内鉄鋼市況への下押し圧力へ、要因の記述が変化している。
  7. FY2023-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「一方、昨年まで急騰していた鉄鋼価格は、海外価格との乖離や原料価格の下落もあり、一転して軟調に推移しました。」

    海外価格との乖離および原料価格の下落を背景に鉄鋼価格が軟調となる状況が、前四半期に続いて記載されている。
  8. FY2023-Q2ReframedAnnual report

    「一方、昨年まで急騰していた鉄鋼価格は、海外価格との乖離や原料価格の下落もあり、一転して軟調に推移し」

    中国経済減速を中心とした従来の市況下押し要因から、海外価格との乖離および原料価格下落による鉄鋼価格の軟調化へ、下押し要因の記述が変化している。
  9. FY2022-Q2ReframedAnnual report

    「一方、急騰していた鉄鋼価格は、世界の鉄鋼需要の過半数を占める中国が経済減速したことにより、原材料価格が急落し、今後価格は調整局面をむかえることが予想されます。」

    中国の過剰生産能力を主因とする従来の整理から、中国の経済減速による原材料価格急落と鉄鋼価格の調整局面見通しへ、鉄鋼市況下押しの要因が置き換えられている。
  10. FY2020WorsenedAnnual report

    「鉄鉱石・石炭等の原材料メーカーの寡占化や中国・東南アジア等の新興国を中心とした大幅な粗鋼生産の増加から、国内鋼材市況は、海外の原材料や鉄鋼製品の影響を大きく受けることとなって、不安定な相場となっております。」

    中国・東南アジア等の新興国を中心とした粗鋼生産増加が、国内鋼材市況を不安定にする構造要因として記載されている。
  11. FY2017MitigatedAnnual report

    「From around autumn, the forced suspension of operations by Chinese producers of substandard steel, together with other factors, tightened the global supply-demand balance for steel.」

    The forced suspension of operations by Chinese producers of substandard steel is cited as a factor tightening supply, indicating that the previous downward risk from China's excess production capacity was easing.
  12. FY2016DroppedAnnual report

    「China and other emerging markets and resource-rich countries, which had remained stagnant, began to show some signs of recovery toward the end of the year.」

    The annual disclosure does not explicitly identify China's excess production capacity as a direct cause of downward pressure on steel market conditions.
  13. FY2016-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「With no progress in resolving China's excess production capacity problem and the yen remaining strong, steel market conditions lacked momentum. Setting appropriate selling prices remained difficult, and the challenging environment for sales activities continued.」

    China's excess production capacity problem and the strong yen persisted, reaffirming the difficult steel market and sales environment.
  14. FY2016-Q2First statedAnnual report

    「With no progress in resolving China's excess production capacity problem, the sharp appreciation of the yen also contributed to mounting downward pressure on steel market conditions. Setting appropriate selling prices became difficult, creating a challenging environment for sales activities.」

    The disclosure states that the lack of progress in addressing excess production capacity and the yen's appreciation actually increased downward pressure on steel market conditions.
Moved together

"Bottoming Out of Raw Material Prices and Expectations for a Rebound in Scrap Prices" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 8 of its 14 moves.

876655★123456
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Bottoming Out of Raw Material Prices and Expectations for a Rebound in Scrap Prices8×
  3. 2China and emerging-market slowdown and stagnation in the domestic economy7×
  4. 3Difficulty in Setting Appropriate Selling Prices6×
  5. 4Decrease in Total Assets6×
  6. 5Resilient Domestic Demand for Steel Products5×
  7. 6Increase in net assets5×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

When this could move next
No upcoming earnings preview for Seiwa Chuo Holdings yet. It last moved in the General Meetings of Shareholders of 2026-03-03: "Worsened".
News
No news is linked to this thread yet. When an article touches it, it will appear here by date.