Changes in the business environment driven by the declining birthrate, revisions to the Courses of Study, and university entrance examination reform
First written in FY2024-Q3. 3 of 9 entries say "Worsened", first in FY2024. Latest entry: 2026-10-15.
Waseda Gakushukenkyukai moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2025, 6 years after the typical company in this theme (2019).
1 other company's latest entry also says "Reframed".
- 2026-10-15ReframedEarnings
「当社を取り巻く学習塾業界におきましては、少子化が進行する一方で、子供一人あたりの教育関連支出は底堅く推移しております。また、私立高校の授業料無償化の進展に伴い学習塾への需要拡大が見込まれる一方、AI活用による教育のデジタル化や大手事業者によるM&Aの加速により、競合環境は一段と厳しさを増しております。」
少子化の進行に加え、教育支出の底堅さや私立高校授業料無償化による需要拡大見込みを示す一方、AI活用・M&A加速による競争環境の厳しさも記載している。 - FY2026MaterialisedAnnual report
「In addition, partly as a result of the expansion of free tuition at private high schools, some third-year junior high school students have decided to attend private high schools without sitting entrance examinations for public high schools and have left the tutoring schools early, becoming a factor behind the decline in revenue.」
The risk relating to changes in the education system specifically states that the expansion of free tuition at private high schools has led some students to leave tutoring schools early and has been a factor behind lower revenue. In addition, the number of students fell to a record low of 11.79 million in fiscal 2025, down 12% from 2015. - FY2027-H1WorsenedAnnual report
「In the private tutoring industry, the educational sector is undergoing major change as the digitalisation of education accelerates with the introduction of free high school tuition, the diversification of entrance examination systems and advances in ICT. At the same time, in addition to the increasingly difficult operating environment caused by the declining birth rate and entry by companies from other industries, it has become essential to possess strengths that clearly differentiate a company from its competitors, such as high-quality educational programmes tailored to diversifying needs, clear examination results and unique brand value.」
In addition to the declining birth rate and conventional entrance examination reforms, the company identifies free high school tuition, the diversification of entrance examination systems and the accelerating digitalisation of education through ICT as new changes in the business environment. - FY2025WorsenedAnnual report
「The number of elementary, junior high and high school students has continued to decline from its peak of 22.26 million in fiscal 1985, when the second-generation baby boom created a demographic bulge, reaching a record low of 11.98 million in fiscal 2024. The rate of decline has accelerated in recent years, with the number of students in 2024 down 11% from 2014. The number of elementary, junior high and high school students is expected to continue declining, and our total target market is expected to shrink over the medium to long term.」
The number of students fell to a record low of 11.98 million, down 11% from 2014, providing a more concrete indication than previously of the progression of the declining birth rate. - FY2025-H1RestatedAnnual report
「The environment surrounding the tutoring-school industry is also undergoing major changes due to economic conditions, the declining birthrate, revisions to the national curriculum and university entrance examination reforms.」
The company continues to describe changes in the business environment resulting from the declining birthrate, revisions to the national curriculum and university entrance examination reforms. - FY2024WorsenedAnnual report
「The number of students in elementary, junior high and high schools has continued to decline after peaking at 22.26 million in fiscal 1985, the peak year for the baby-boom junior generation, and fell to a record low of 12.31 million in fiscal 2022. Although the rate of decline has slowed somewhat in recent years, the number fell by approximately 1% annually throughout the 2010s and was down 10% in 2020 from 2010. The number of students in elementary, junior high and high schools is expected to continue declining, and the company’s total target population is expected to decrease over the medium to long term.」
The company provides more specific data on the historical decline in the student population and the expected medium- to long-term decline in its total target population due to the declining birthrate. - FY2024-Q3First statedAnnual report
「The environment surrounding the tutoring-school industry is also undergoing major changes due to economic conditions, the declining birthrate, revisions to the national curriculum and university entrance examination reforms.」
The company identifies structural and regulatory changes affecting the tutoring-school industry as risk factors.