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Media Kobo (3815) · RiskWorsened

Sluggish Paid-Content Revenue Due to Declining Membership and the Absence of a Major Hit Content Offering

First written in FY2016-Q3. 24 of 39 entries say "Worsened", first in FY2016. Latest entry: 2026-10-23.

39entries
11years
5from disclosures
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseMitigatedFY2021-Q3 – FY2022WorsenedFY2024 – 2026-10-232016: 220162017: 420172018: 320182019: 420192020: 420202021: 320212022: 420222023: 220232024: 420242025: 220252026: 72026
Same theme, other companies
Deteriorating performance due to declining paying members for content servicesA theme 14 companies write about · 17 as a headwind · 0 as a tailwind

Media Kobo moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2016, 3 years before the typical company in this theme (2019).

The whole theme swung hardest in 2025: 10 of 11 companies on the "Worse" side.

6 other companies' latest entry also says "Worsened".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. 2026-10-23WorsenedFinancial results briefing materials

    「主力のデジタルコンテンツ及びLINEチャット占いの低迷により減収。新たな制作基盤の運用開始が遅延し、新規コンテンツの梃入れが遅延していること、個人アプリ開発者によるAI占いが代替サービス化し、相談件数が減少。」

    占い関連の既存サービス低迷に加え、制作基盤の遅延とAI占いの代替サービス化が、通期の減収要因として具体化した。
  2. 2026-10-09Worsenedfinance.yahoo.co.jp

    「For the fiscal year ended August 2026, revenue fell 13.9% from the previous fiscal year to approximately ¥1.6 billion, as poor performance in the fortune-telling business coincided with higher upfront investment costs.」

    The poor performance of the fortune-telling business was reported as a full-year result for the fiscal year ended August 2026, but the article did not state a direct causal relationship with the decline in membership or the absence of hit content.
  3. FY2026-H1WorsenedAnnual report

    「Efforts to revive the new content were insufficient. As a result, the impact on content under operation was also limited, and both revenue and earnings declined year on year.」

    Insufficient efforts to revive new content and the limited impact on existing content under operation resulted in year-on-year declines in revenue and earnings in the horoscopes business.
  4. 2026-04-10WorsenedEarnings

    「However, in addition to weak usage trends for our core fortune-telling content and chat fortune-telling services, expenses came ahead of revenue due to higher recruitment and personnel expenses associated with hiring to strengthen the Data and Technology Business, as well as higher outsourcing expenses related to system development.」

    The interim results reflected weak usage of the core fortune-telling content and chat fortune-telling services, together with front-loaded expenses for strengthening the Data and Technology Business.
  5. FY2025WorsenedAnnual report

    「As new horoscopes content failed to produce hits, recruitment and personnel expenses increased as the Company built the necessary structure, resulting in year-on-year declines in both revenue and earnings.」

    Although the telephone and chat horoscopes service and the Company's own media increased revenue, weak new horoscopes content and the cost of building the production structure led to declines in revenue and earnings in the horoscopes business.
  6. FY2025-H1WorsenedAnnual report

    「Revenue from telephone and chat horoscopes and the Company's own media increased, but revenue declined year on year during the interim consolidated accounting period because establishing a system for producing one new title each month took longer than expected.」

    Although telephone and chat horoscopes and the Company's own media generated higher revenue, delays in establishing the new-content production structure caused a decline in horoscopes-related revenue. The risk of sluggish earnings from delays and weak performance in new content materialized in the results.
  7. FY2024WorsenedAnnual report

    「The Company's own media performed well, and revenue from telephone and chat horoscopes, which had temporarily shown a downward trend, recovered following a review of operations. However, although the Company reduced the number of new releases per year from 12 to 5 and worked to establish a production structure that would improve the quality of each site, the new content failed to produce hits, resulting in a year-on-year decline in revenue.」

    Although the Company's own media and telephone and chat horoscopes recovered, new content produced under a reduced-volume, higher-quality approach failed to generate hits, resulting in a 2.9% year-on-year decline in revenue from the horoscopes business.
  8. FY2024-Q3New content remained weak, but telephone and chat horoscopes recoveredAnnual report

    「Although new content performed poorly, the Company's own media performed well, while a review of operations, including the introduction of consulting services, restored revenue from telephone and chat horoscopes. As a result, revenue was flat year on year.」

    While new content remained weak, strong performance from the Company's own media and a review of operations, including the introduction of consulting services, restored revenue from telephone and chat horoscopes, leaving total revenue from the horoscopes business flat year on year.
  9. FY2024-Q2Some areas remained weak, but revenue edged upAnnual report

    「New content and the one-to-one horoscopes service by telephone and chat, which had increased revenue for several years, were somewhat weak during the cumulative second quarter. However, strong performance from the Company's own media and efforts to strengthen the operation of profitable digital content for each distribution channel resulted in a slight year-on-year increase in revenue.」

    Although the Company reported weakness in new content and telephone and chat horoscopes, stronger operations at its own media and for profitable content resulted in a slight increase in revenue from the horoscopes business.
  10. FY2024-Q1MitigatedAnnual report

    「Efforts to strengthen the operation of profitable content, together with stable revenue from one-to-one horoscopes services by telephone and chat, resulted in a year-on-year increase in revenue.」

    Stronger operations for profitable content and stable revenue from telephone and chat horoscopes increased revenue in the horoscopes business year on year. The Company reported some mitigation of the previous revenue weakness caused by declining members and a shortage of hit titles.
  11. FY2023-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「However, new horoscopes content failed to become a hit and was unable to offset the impact of ISPs suspending or otherwise reducing distribution of horoscopes content」

    The Company stated that weak new horoscopes content and ISPs' suspension or other reduction of distribution had created a situation in which stronger existing operations could no longer offset the factors driving the revenue decline.
  12. FY2023-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the cumulative second quarter of the fiscal year, revenue was affected by ISPs' suspension or reduction of horoscopes content distribution, weak performance from new content, and a declining revenue trend associated with the long-term operation of existing content.」

    In addition to the suspension or reduction of ISP distribution, weak new content and declining revenue from the long-term operation of existing content affected earnings, worsening the sluggish performance of content revenue.
  13. FY2022MitigatedAnnual report

    「Several new titles became moderate hits, while thorough efforts to strengthen and improve the efficiency of the operating structure, centered on hit content from the previous fiscal year, extended content lifecycles compared with the past. As a result, revenue and earnings increased year on year, mainly for content aimed at mobile carriers.」

    Moderate hits among several new titles and a stronger operating structure extended content lifecycles, increasing revenue and earnings year on year.
  14. FY2022-Q3MitigatedAnnual report

    「Revenue declined on some distribution platforms due to ISPs' policies of reducing distribution of horoscopes content. However, several new titles released during the third quarter became moderate hits, and efforts to strengthen operations resulted in year-on-year increases in revenue and earnings, mainly for content aimed at mobile carriers.」

    Despite revenue declines caused by reduced ISP distribution, moderate hits among new content and stronger operations increased revenue and earnings in the digital content business year on year.
  15. FY2022-Q2MitigatedAnnual report

    「Efforts to strengthen content operations extended content lifecycles, resulting in a year-on-year increase in revenue.」

    Stronger content operations extended content lifecycles and increased revenue year on year, providing some mitigation against the shorter lifespans of hit titles and sluggish earnings.
  16. FY2022-Q1MitigatedAnnual report

    「Efforts to strengthen content operations began to extend the lifecycle of each hit title, while traffic directed from the Company's own media also contributed, resulting in a year-on-year increase in revenue.」

    The Company reported that stronger content operations and traffic directed from its own media had extended the lifecycle of hit content and increased revenue, easing, to a certain extent, the risks of a shortage of hit titles and shorter content lifespans.
  17. FY2021MitigatedAnnual report

    「Efforts to recruit prominent and highly appealing fortune-tellers led to the creation of hit content from the third quarter onward, led by content featuring the clairvoyant comedian Sequence Hayatomo, resulting in a year-on-year increase in revenue.」

    Hits featuring prominent fortune-tellers eased, to a certain extent, the risk of sluggish revenue caused by a shortage of hit titles.
  18. FY2021-Q3MitigatedAnnual report

    「Content supervised by a prominent and highly appealing fortune-teller became a hit, while the expansion of paid content on the Company's own website also proved effective, resulting in a slight year-on-year increase in revenue.」

    Against sluggish revenue caused by the previous shortage of hit content, hit content featuring a prominent fortune-teller and the expansion of paid content on the Company's own website resulted in a slight year-on-year increase in revenue from the digital content business.
  19. FY2021-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「Revenue declined because no hit content was produced among the new content, which is an important part of the business's revenue model, and this weakness was compounded by other factors.」

    No hit titles were produced among the new content, and the ongoing shortage of hit titles continued to appear as a factor behind the decline in revenue from the horoscopes content business.
  20. FY2020WorsenedAnnual report

    「The horoscopes content service introduced measures including enhanced recommendation functions and a common points program, and secured a certain level of profit through thorough daily analysis and operations. However, both revenue and earnings declined year on year.」

    While continued initiatives secured a certain level of profit, the horoscopes content service posted year-on-year declines in both revenue and earnings for the full year.
  21. FY2020-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「The horoscopes content service secured a certain level of profit through thorough daily analysis and operating measures, but revenue declined year on year, resulting in a decline in earnings as well.」

    Despite continued analysis and operating measures, the horoscopes content service posted year-on-year declines in both revenue and earnings.
  22. FY2020-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「The decline in members for Web browser content led to a year-on-year decrease in revenue, while earnings were flat.」

    The continued decline in members for Web browser content was reaffirmed as a factor behind the revenue decline. Business profit, however, was reported to be flat.
  23. FY2020-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「In the horoscopes content service, the Company continued to implement measures to improve usability, including developing and implementing recommendation functions. However, the decline in members and shorter content lifespans continued to weigh on results, and both revenue and earnings declined.」

    The decline in members and shorter content lifespans continued, and revenue from the horoscopes content service continued to decline despite ongoing measures to improve usability.
  24. FY2019Revenue continues to decline, but appears to have bottomed and is expected to contribute in the next fiscal yearAnnual report

    「During the fiscal year, the Company remained heavily reliant on ISPs and carriers, and revenue declined due to the decrease in members and other factors. The sales downturn appears to be bottoming out」

    Although the decline in revenue due to the decrease in members and other factors continued, the Company stated that the sales downturn showed signs of bottoming out.
  25. FY2019-Q3Revenue continues to decline, but signs of a bottoming out are emergingAnnual report

    「The Company is developing systems and adding functions to improve user retention and accessibility to various services. Although these initiatives have not yet contributed to revenue, the downturn in sales appears to be bottoming out.」

    Revenue from the horoscopes content service continued to decline, and system development and added functionality had not yet contributed to revenue, but the Company stated that the sales downturn showed signs of bottoming out.
  26. FY2019-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「The recovery in revenue from the horoscopes content business was slower than expected. Together with a decline in the number of titles operated by subsidiary ルイスファクトリー and lower profitability resulting from the long-term operation of content, this caused the Group's revenue to decline year on year.」

    The recovery in revenue from the horoscopes content business was slower than expected, while the decline in the number of titles operated and lower profitability from long-term operation also contributed to the year-on-year decline in consolidated revenue.
  27. FY2019-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「Revenue from the One to One Marketing business, including direct telephone consultations, and from the media business increased year on year. However, the Group's revenue declined year on year due to sluggish growth in members and usage-based charging rates in the horoscopes content business, as well as a decline in the number of titles operated by subsidiary ルイスファクトリー.」

    Although the previous full year referred to a recovery in the horoscopes business, the sluggish growth in members and usage-based charging rates again emerged as factors behind the revenue decline this quarter.
  28. FY2018MitigatedAnnual report

    「The One to One Marketing business generated continuous and stable revenue growth, centered on direct telephone consultations. In addition, measures aimed at improving cost efficiency in advertising for the horoscopes content business and improving retention among existing users, primarily through diversifying payment methods, proved effective, resulting in increases in both revenue and earnings.」

    Telephone consultations, more cost-efficient advertising, diversified payment methods and improved retention among existing users proved effective, increasing the horoscopes business's revenue and earnings year on year.
  29. FY2018-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「The latter continued to generate stable revenue growth. The former, however, posted lower revenue and earnings because the content market as a whole continued to shift toward freemium models, resulting in a gradual but ongoing decline in membership fees and usage-based charges for monthly subscription content, while increased advertising expenses failed to produce results during the cumulative second quarter of the fiscal year.」

    Membership fees and usage-based charges for monthly subscription content continued to decline, and higher advertising expenses failed to produce results, resulting in lower revenue and earnings.
  30. FY2018-Q1RestatedAnnual report

    「However, monthly subscription content, whose main source of revenue is membership fees, continued to be affected by the decline in members, resulting in lower revenue and earnings for the horoscopes content business as a whole.」

    The horoscopes business continued to post lower revenue and earnings due to the decline in members of its monthly subscription content.
  31. FY2017WorsenedAnnual report

    「For the current consolidated fiscal year, revenue and earnings fell below the previous year due to declining membership and sluggish customer acquisition for existing fortune-telling content, as well as the shortened life cycles of IP collaboration apps resulting from changes in advertising placement rules under carrier policies. Sales in the Group's fortune-telling content business were ¥1,755 million, down 4.8% year on year, and operating profit was ¥500 million, down 18.0%.」

    The decline in members, stagnation in customer acquisition and shorter lifespans of IP collaboration apps continued throughout the year, resulting in lower revenue and earnings.
  32. FY2017-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「Recovery in sales from restructuring the customer acquisition model and earnings structure did not materialise during the first three quarters of the current consolidated cumulative period. In addition to declining membership and flat customer acquisition for existing fortune-telling content, the shortened life cycles of IP collaboration apps due to changes in advertising placement rules under carrier policies resulted in lower sales and lower profit.」

    In addition to declining membership, flat customer acquisition and the shortened life cycles of IP collaboration apps due to changes in advertising placement rules combined to keep the fortune-telling business in a position of lower sales and lower profit.
  33. FY2017-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「In existing fortune-telling content, the decline in sales resulting from customer acquisition falling below expectations exceeded the sales increase from telephone fortune-telling and collaboration apps with other companies' IP, resulting in lower sales and lower profit for the fortune-telling content business as a whole.」

    The decline in sales due to underperformance in customer acquisition for existing fortune-telling content exceeded the sales increases from other initiatives, resulting in continued lower sales and lower profit for the business as a whole.
  34. FY2017-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「As a result, sales in the fortune-telling content business during the first quarter of the current consolidated cumulative period were ¥429 million, down 10.9% year on year, and operating profit was ¥146 million, down 13.7%.」

    The quarterly results show that sales and operating profit in the fortune-telling content business continued to decline year on year.
  35. FY2016WorsenedAnnual report

    「Due to the decline in membership and the absence of a major hit, sales fell significantly below the initial forecast, resulting in lower sales and lower profit.」

    The decline in membership and lack of hit titles materialised as a significant downside to the full-year sales forecast.
  36. FY2016-Q3First statedAnnual report

    「Subscription revenue was weak due to a decline in membership in subscription-based content and the absence of a major hit, resulting in lower sales and lower profit.」

    The decline in membership and lack of hit titles materialised as lower sales and profit and weak subscription revenue.
Moved together

"Outlook for a Recovery in Revenue from the Fortune-Telling Content Business" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 24 of its 39 moves.

2415141199★123456
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Outlook for a Recovery in Revenue from the Fortune-Telling Content Business24×
  3. 2Sustaining Hit Content and Improving the Quality of New Content15×
  4. 3Revenue decline, sharp drop in operating profit, and shift to an ordinary loss14×
  5. 4Rebuilding the User Acquisition Structure and Revenue Framework for Fortune-Telling Content11×
  6. 5Decline in Users Due to Platform Policy Changes and Migration to Smartphones9×
  7. 6Losses on game investments due to intensifying competition and a shortage of hit titles9×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

When this could move next
Media Kobo's next results are scheduled for 2026-10-09. Read the earnings preview It last moved in the Financial results briefing materials of 2026-10-23: "Worsened".
Sluggish Paid-Content Revenue Due to Declining Membership and the Absence of a Major Hit Content Offering | Media Kobo,Inc. (3815) | Komori