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Generation Pass (3195) · RiskWorsened

Risk of Excess Inventory and Cash Flow Deterioration Due to Inaccurate Demand Forecasts

First written in FY2016. 3 of 10 entries say "Materialised", first in FY2017-Q2. Latest entry: 2026-09-14.

10entries
10years
2from disclosures
Share on X
How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseMaterialisedFY2017-Q2 – FY2017-Q3RestatedFY2018MitigatedFY2020 – FY2021-Q22017: 320172018: 020182019: 120192020: 020202021: 220212022: 020222023: 020232024: 020242025: 020252026: 42026
Same theme, other companies
Risk of Excess Inventory and Obsolescence Due to Demand Forecast and Supply-Demand FluctuationsA theme 61 companies write about · 63 as a headwind · 0 as a tailwind

Generation Pass moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2026, 4 years after the typical company in this theme (2022).

The whole theme swung hardest in 2022: 13 of 37 companies on the "Worse" side.

16 other companies' latest entry also says "Worsened".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Showing 14 of the 61 companies compared. The sentences above are computed from all 61.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. FY2026-H1WorsenedAnnual report

    「Inventories of merchandise and finished products increased by ¥475 million as the Company secured products for future sales expansion.」

    As the Company secured products in preparation for sales expansion, merchandise and products increased by ¥475 million, expanding its inventory and cash flow exposure from the end of the previous fiscal year.
  2. FY2025MaterialisedAnnual report

    「Merchandise and products increased by ¥291 million as the Company secured products in preparation for future sales expansion.」

    As the Company secured products in anticipation of sales expansion, merchandise and products increased by ¥291 million, and cash flow from operating activities was an outflow of ¥625 million. The effects of demand forecasts on inventory and cash flow have materialized in actual results.
  3. FY2021-Q2MitigatedAnnual report

    「As a result of continuing rigorous inventory management and reductions in slow-moving inventory, merchandise and products decreased by ¥52 million.」

    Continued inventory management and reductions in slow-moving inventory resulted in a ¥52 million decrease in merchandise and products.
  4. FY2020MitigatedAnnual report

    「As a result of rigorous inventory management and reductions in slow-moving inventory, merchandise and products decreased by ¥112 million.」

    The Company rigorously managed inventory and reduced slow-moving inventory, resulting in a ¥112 million decrease in merchandise and products.
  5. FY2018RestatedAnnual report

    「Going forward, the Company plans to raise inventory levels to some extent in order to further reduce lost sales opportunities and therefore plans to hold its own warehouses. Although the policy of holding inventory primarily of products with strong sales performance remains unchanged, if actual orders fall below demand forecasts, excess inventory may arise within the Group, potentially affecting cash flow and resulting in inventory valuation losses.」

    The Company continues to raise inventory levels and plan for its own warehouses, while maintaining the risk of excess inventory and valuation losses if demand forecasts are missed.
  6. FY2017-Q3MaterialisedAnnual report

    「However, changes to the operating entity in the Shanghai special economic zone and intensifying price competition in BtoB sales have delayed progress toward the sales revenue initially planned, and an inventory write-down has been recorded for some products.」

    Inventory valuation losses were recorded on some inventory, contributing to a decline in segment profit in the EC Marketing business.
  7. FY2017-Q2MaterialisedAnnual report

    「As a result of recording write-downs primarily on overseas inventory with low turnover, operating profit was ¥63 million, down ¥25 million, or 29.0%, from the same quarter of the previous year; ordinary profit was ¥75 million, down ¥9 million, or 11.0%; and quarterly net profit attributable to owners of the parent was ¥51 million, down ¥6 million, or 11.0%.」

    Inventory write-downs were recorded for overseas inventory with low turnover, and the impact of inventory valuation losses on profit materialized.
  8. FY2016First statedAnnual report

    「Although the policy of holding inventory primarily of products with strong sales performance remains unchanged, if actual orders fall below demand forecasts, excess inventory may arise within the Group, potentially affecting cash flow and resulting in inventory valuation losses.」

    While the Company plans to raise inventory levels for strong-selling products and hold inventory in its own warehouses, it identifies excess inventory resulting from orders falling below demand forecasts as a risk.
Moved together

"Revenue and profit growth in the e-commerce marketing business" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 7 of its 10 moves.

743332★123456
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Revenue and profit growth in the e-commerce marketing business7×
  3. 2Foreign Exchange Loss on Foreign-Currency-Denominated Assets Due to a Sharp Appreciation of the Yen4×
  4. 3Deterioration in Retail Market Conditions Due to Sluggish Personal Consumption and a Record Warm Winter3×
  5. 4Growth in orders for support services for other companies’ e-commerce businesses3×
  6. 5Risk of Higher Delivery Fees and Reduced Business with Carriers3×
  7. 6Maintaining the E-Commerce Store Network2×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

When this could move next
No upcoming earnings preview for Generation Pass yet. It last moved in the Earnings of 2026-09-14: "Worsened".
News
No news is linked to this thread yet. When an article touches it, it will appear here by date.
Risk of Excess Inventory and Cash Flow Deterioration Due to Inaccurate Demand Forecasts | GENERATION PASS CO.,LTD. (3195) | Komori