Downside risks to the economies of Europe, China and emerging markets
First written in FY2017-Q1. 13 of 33 entries say "Worsened", first in FY2019-Q2. Latest entry: FY2027-H1.
Fuji Oil moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2018, 1 year before the typical company in this theme (2019).
The whole theme swung hardest in 2022: 58 of 69 companies on the "Worse" side.
23 other companies' latest entry also says "Restated".
- FY2027-H1RestatedAnnual report
「During the interim consolidated fiscal period, the Group continued to face concerns regarding the economic impact associated with U.S. tariff policy and heightened geopolitical risks, as well as economic trends in China, among other factors affecting its business environment.」
The Group continues to identify U.S. tariff policy, geopolitical risks and economic trends in China as concerns. - 2026-05-12RestatedResults
「当連結会計年度における当社グループを取り巻く事業環境は、米国の関税政策や地政学リスクの高まりに関連する経済的な影響、中国の景気動向等が懸念要素となる状況が続いています。」
米国の関税政策、地政学リスク、中国景気動向を懸念要素とする海外事業環境を再確認している。 - FY2026-H1WorsenedAnnual report
「The business environment surrounding our Group remains subject to concerns over the economic impact associated with U.S. tariff policies and rising geopolitical risks, as well as trends in the Chinese economy.」
In addition to the previously identified factors of inflation, high interest rates and the slowdown of the Chinese economy, U.S. tariff policies and rising geopolitical risks have been identified as new areas of concern. - FY2024RestatedAnnual report
「During the fiscal year, the business environment surrounding our Group remained uncertain due to advancing global inflation, persistently high interest rate levels as a result, and social instability arising from heightened international tensions.」
We continue to see uncertainty over downside factors for overseas economies, including Europe, China and emerging markets, against the backdrop of inflation, high interest rates and heightened international tensions. - FY2024-Q3WorsenedAnnual report
「During the nine-month period ended this quarter, the business environment surrounding our Group remained subject to concerns over an economic slowdown due to social instability arising from heightened international tensions and the cooling of the Chinese economy.」
In addition to the previously identified factors of inflation, rising interest rates and the slowdown of the Chinese economy, social instability arising from heightened international tensions and the cooling of the Chinese economy have been identified as factors behind concerns over an economic slowdown. - FY2024-Q2RestatedAnnual report
「During the six-month period ended this quarter, the business environment surrounding our Group remained subject to concerns over an economic slowdown due to inflation and policy rate fluctuations in Europe and the United States, as well as the rapid deceleration of the Chinese economy.」
We continue to indicate concerns over an economic slowdown caused by inflation and policy rate fluctuations in Europe and the United States and the rapid deceleration of the Chinese economy. - FY2024-Q1WorsenedAnnual report
「During the nine-month period ended this quarter, concerns over an economic slowdown continued due to inflation trends in Europe and the United States and the rapid deceleration of the Chinese economy.」
In addition to inflation in Europe and the United States, concerns over an economic slowdown caused by the rapid deceleration of the Chinese economy have been highlighted, intensifying downside risks to overseas regional economies. - FY2023-Q3RestatedAnnual report
「During the nine months ended the third quarter, economic activity in the global economy continued to normalise from the impact of COVID-19, but the outlook remained uncertain as countries successively raised policy interest rates in response to global inflation.」
We continue to indicate uncertainty over overseas economies, including Europe, China and emerging markets, against the backdrop of inflation and rising interest rates. - FY2023-Q2RestatedAnnual report
「During the six months ended the second quarter, economic activity in the global economy continued to normalise from the impact of COVID-19, but the outlook remained uncertain as countries successively raised policy interest rates in response to global inflation.」
We maintain our previous view of uncertainty over the outlook for overseas economies, including Europe, China and emerging markets, against the backdrop of global inflation and interest rate hikes. - FY2023-Q1WorsenedAnnual report
「During the nine-month period ended this quarter, the global economy was expected to normalize as policies addressing COVID-19 changed in Europe and the United States and infection rates subsided. However, the outlook remained uncertain due to delayed consumer recovery caused by surging energy prices and advancing inflation, as well as policy rate hikes.」
For the global economy, including Europe and the United States, expectations for normalization coexist with a delayed recovery due to high energy prices, inflation and rising interest rates, and uncertainty over regional economic conditions continues. - FY2022WorsenedAnnual report
「As COVID-19 variants continued to spread intermittently around the world and affect conditions, global inflation accelerated amid further increases in fuel, energy and other prices resulting from Russia's invasion of Ukraine.」
In addition to economic risks in Europe, China and emerging markets, rising fuel and energy prices against the backdrop of the situation in Ukraine and global inflation have newly been identified as risks. - FY2022-Q3WorsenedAnnual report
「During the nine-month period ended this quarter, economic activity resumed and sentiment recovered, but the global economic outlook remained uncertain due to the spread of COVID-19 variants, supply chain disruptions, and advancing global inflation, including rising raw material prices.」
The recovery from the reopening of economic activity is accompanied by the spread of variants, supply chain disruptions, and uncertainty over the outlook caused by global inflation, with risks to overseas economies expanding. - FY2022-Q2RestatedAnnual report
「In Southeast Asia, the recovery in business sentiment has been gradual due to the renewed spread of COVID-19. In China, demand has remained resilient despite the impact of higher raw material prices and other factors.」
The delayed recovery in Southeast Asia and resilient demand in China continue to coexist, and we maintain our view that economic conditions differ by region. - FY2022-Q1Regional recoveries coexist with renewed lockdownsAnnual report
「In Southeast Asia, the economy has begun to be affected by renewed lockdowns following an increase in COVID-19 cases. In China, business sentiment has improved and demand has remained stable. In Europe, efforts toward the normalisation of economic activity have progressed as COVID-19 vaccines became more widespread, and demand has remained solid.」
While recovery in China and Europe and stable demand are noted, the impact of renewed lockdowns in Southeast Asia is newly described, indicating divergent conditions by region. - FY2021-Q3WorsenedAnnual report
「Although the economies of developed countries had been on a recovery trend due to large-scale fiscal support measures and other factors, the recovery stalled somewhat as activity restrictions were tightened following a renewed spread of infections during the winter. Our group has also been significantly affected: in the domestic market by declining inbound demand and weakness in the souvenir market, and in overseas markets by strict lockdowns in Europe, the United States and Southeast Asia, excluding the relatively solid Chinese market.」
The economic and market environments in Europe, the United States and Southeast Asia deteriorated due to the renewed spread of infections during the winter and tighter activity restrictions, increasing the impact on overseas markets other than China. - FY2021-Q2WorsenedAnnual report
「In Europe, personal consumption fell particularly sharply due to worsening employment and income conditions and the impact of the renewed spread of COVID-19. China resumed economic activity ahead of the rest of the world and its economic recovery continued, helped by increased exports, but the recovery in personal consumption was relatively gradual due to employment concerns and other factors.」
In Europe, the report explicitly notes a decline in personal consumption due to the renewed spread of infections and worsening employment and income conditions, while in China the recovery in personal consumption is described as gradual despite the economic recovery. - FY2021-Q1WorsenedAnnual report
「In Europe, personal consumption fell sharply due to restrictions on going out and deteriorating consumer sentiment, compounded by declining exports resulting from the deterioration in the global economy, resulting in substantial negative growth. In China, economic activity resumed, but the pace of the recovery remained slow due to stagnant external demand and restrictions on domestic travel.」
Europe recorded substantial negative growth due to restrictions on going out, deteriorating consumption and declining exports, while China's economic recovery slowed due to stagnant external demand and restrictions on movement, indicating increased regional economic risks. - FY2020WorsenedAnnual report
「The global economy has undergone major changes in its social structure and other aspects due to the spread of COVID-19, bringing the new normal into view.」
In addition to economic risks in Europe, China and emerging markets, changes in social structures and stagnation in economic activity caused by the global spread of infection are explicitly identified, broadening the scope of external-environment risks. - FY2020-Q3SoftenedAnnual report
「Although exports to the United States have declined due to US-China trade friction, the Phase One agreement is expected to contribute to an economic recovery, and policy support is also expected to help the Chinese economy bottom out.」
Although declining exports to the United States and US-China trade friction remain concerns, the report indicates an outlook for the economy to bottom out due to the Phase One agreement and policy support, partially weakening the previous description of a continuing slowdown. - FY2020-Q2SoftenedAnnual report
「In China, the delayed recovery in domestic demand and continuing US-China trade friction remained drags on the economy, but policy support is expected to help the economy bottom out.」
The delayed recovery in domestic demand and US-China trade friction continue to be identified as risks in China, while the outlook for the economy to bottom out with policy support has been added, partially weakening the previous description of a continuing slowdown. - FY2020-Q1WorsenedAnnual report
「In Europe, personal consumption remained resilient against a backdrop of favourable employment and income conditions, and the slowdown in external demand had been halted, with the economy moving gradually toward recovery. In China, the economy was supported by government stimulus measures, but the slowdown continued due to weak domestic demand.」
The report indicates an outlook for recovery in Europe, while explicitly stating that the slowdown in China will continue due to weak domestic demand. - FY2019WorsenedAnnual report
「In Europe, personal consumption remained resilient against a backdrop of favourable employment and income conditions, but slow growth continued due to a slowdown in overseas economies and increasing political uncertainty. In China, exports were on a declining trend, including a sharp decline in exports to the United States following higher US import tariffs. Although retail sales showed signs of bottoming out, the Chinese economy was trending downward.」
A slowdown in overseas economies and political uncertainty in Europe, and declining exports to the United States and a slowing Chinese economy, are explicitly identified, strengthening the recognition of downside economic risks. - FY2019-Q3RestatedAnnual report
「In Europe, employment and income conditions improved against a backdrop of expanding domestic demand, and the economy remained solid. In China, the economy showed a tendency to slow against a backdrop of trade friction, despite being supported by solid consumption.」
The report continues to cite Europe's resilience and a tendency for the Chinese economy to slow against a backdrop of trade friction, with no substantive change from the previous quarter in the recognition of risks. - FY2019-Q2WorsenedAnnual report
「In Europe, the recovery in exports remained weak, but the economy remained solid as the recovery in personal consumption, supported by improving employment conditions, provided a floor. In China, the economy showed a tendency to slow against a backdrop of trade friction, despite being supported by solid consumption.」
While Europe's resilience is noted, a tendency for the Chinese economy to slow due to trade friction is newly specified, partially strengthening the recognition of downside economic risks. - FY2019-Q1SoftenedAnnual report
「In Europe, exports showed some weakness, but the economy remained solid as the recovery in personal consumption, supported by improving employment conditions, provided a floor. In China, growth remained solid although the increase in personal consumption showed a slight tendency to slow.」
Although the report mentions the possibility of a downturn in Europe and slower growth in China, it also cites Europe's resilience and China's solid growth, weakening the expression of concern. - FY2018SoftenedAnnual report
「Although deterioration in business sentiment due to geopolitical risks was a concern in overseas economies, the overall recovery trend continued. In China, exports expanded significantly amid solid domestic and external demand, while personal consumption increased on favourable employment and income conditions, allowing high growth to continue. Economic conditions in emerging markets generally showed signs of improvement.」
Geopolitical risks continue to be mentioned, but China is described as achieving high growth and emerging markets as showing signs of improvement, further weakening the previous concerns about an economic downturn. - FY2018-Q3RestatedAnnual report
「In Europe, personal consumption and capital investment in the euro area remained resilient, GDP growth was also at a high level, and the economic recovery continued. The Chinese economy remained stable despite signs of a slight slowdown, while economic conditions in emerging markets generally showed signs of improvement.」
The report notes the continuation of Europe's economic recovery, stable conditions in China and improving economic conditions in emerging markets, with no substantive change in the assessment of a recovery trend. - FY2018-Q2RestatedAnnual report
「In Europe, euro-area GDP growth showed a slight tendency to decline, but the economic recovery continued. In China and emerging markets, economic conditions generally showed signs of improvement.」
The report notes that Europe's economic recovery and improving economic conditions in China and emerging markets continued, with no substantive change from the previous quarter in the assessment of a recovery trend. - FY2018-Q1SoftenedAnnual report
「In Europe, the economic recovery continued against a backdrop of receding political risks. In China and emerging markets, economic conditions generally showed signs of improvement.」
Unlike the previous description, which emphasised political risks in Europe and economic slowdown in China and emerging markets, the report notes recovery in Europe and improving economic conditions in China and emerging markets. - FY2017SoftenedAnnual report
「Although Europe faced an uncertain environment due to the UK's departure from the EU, the economic recovery continued as personal consumption recovered and exports began to revive. In China and emerging markets, the economy recovered gradually, helped by the recovery in commodity markets, despite slower economic growth.」
Although the impact of the UK's departure from the EU and slower growth in China and emerging markets remain concerns, the report also cites Europe's economic recovery and the recovery in commodity markets, weakening the previously one-sided negative description. - FY2017-Q3SoftenedAnnual report
「Although the euro area faced the risk of a downturn in the European economy due to the UK's decision to leave the EU and financial instability, the recovery in the economy continued as personal consumption recovered and exports began to revive. The outlook for the global economy remained uncertain due to slower growth centred on China and emerging markets.」
Although the risk of a downturn in Europe continues to be noted, the recovery in personal consumption and exports and the economic recovery are also cited, weakening the previously one-sided negative description of the European situation. Meanwhile, slower growth in China and emerging markets and uncertainty in the global economy remain. - FY2017-Q2RestatedAnnual report
「The euro area remained lacking in strength and the outlook continued to be uncertain, amid an increased risk of a downturn in the European economy due to the impact of the UK's decision to leave the EU, as well as slower economic growth centred on China and emerging markets.」
The report similarly notes the risk of a downturn in the European economy due to the UK's departure from the EU, slower growth in China and emerging markets, and uncertainty in the global economy. - FY2017-Q1First statedAnnual report
「The global economy remained lacking in strength and the outlook continued to be uncertain, amid an increased risk of a downturn in the European economy due to the impact of the UK's decision to leave the European Union (EU), as well as slower economic growth centred on China and emerging markets.」
The report identifies as external risks the increased risk of a downturn in the European economy following the UK's decision to leave the EU and slower growth in China and emerging markets.