Komori
Kyowanissei (1981) · RiskSoftened

Decline in housing starts amid a declining birthrate and an aging population

First written in FY2019. 6 of 14 entries say "Worsened", first in FY2020. Latest entry: FY2026.

14entries
8years
1from disclosures
Share on X
How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseFirst statedFY2019WorsenedFY2020 – FY2022-Q3SoftenedFY2022 – FY2023WorsenedFY2024 – 2026-05-142019: 120192020: 220202021: 320212022: 220222023: 120232024: 220242025: 120252026: 22026
Same theme, other companies

Kyowanissei moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2020, the same year as the typical company in this theme.

The whole theme swung hardest in 2020: 20 of 26 companies on the "Worse" side.

2 other companies' latest entry also says "Softened".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Showing 14 of the 37 companies compared. The sentences above are computed from all 37.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. FY2026SoftenedAnnual report

    「In the housing sector, a recovery from the decline following the pullback in demand ahead of the mandatory compliance with energy-saving standards and other measures is expected, and housing starts are projected to increase from the previous fiscal year.」

    Regarding the risk of declining housing starts, the description changed to state that a recovery from the decline following the pullback in advance demand and an increase in housing starts are expected in FY2026.
  2. 2026-05-14WorsenedResults

    「住宅分野につきましては、省エネ基準適合義務化等に伴う駆け込み需要の反動減を受け、3年連続の減少となりました。」

    住宅着工戸数の減少が3年連続となり、住宅需要減少リスクの継続・悪化が示された。
  3. FY2025WorsenedAnnual report

    「New housing starts in 2024 totaled 792,098 units, down 27,525 units from the previous year and marking the second consecutive annual decline, as persistently high construction costs and other factors restrained housing demand.」

    New housing starts totaled 792,098 units, down 27,525 units from the previous year and marking the second consecutive annual decline.
  4. FY2025-H1MaterialisedAnnual report

    「Orders for LCS projects (water supply and drainage equipment installation for detached houses) declined because the number of construction starts by customers placing orders with us decreased.」

    The risk of declining housing starts materialized as a decrease in LCS project orders through a decline in construction starts by customers placing orders with us.
  5. FY2024WorsenedAnnual report

    「New housing starts in 2023 totaled 819,623 units, down 39,906 units from the previous year and marking the first decline in 3 years, as persistently high construction costs and other factors restrained housing demand.」

    Housing starts totaled 819,623 units, down 39,906 units from the previous year and marking the first decline in 3 years.
  6. FY2023SoftenedAnnual report

    「New housing starts in 2022 totaled 859,529 units, up 3,045 units from the previous year and marking the second consecutive annual increase, partly due to a rebound from the suppression of housing demand caused by the spread of COVID-19 and a reassessment of living environments amid growing demand for working from home.」

    Housing starts totaled 859,529 units, exceeding the previous year and marking the second consecutive annual increase, temporarily weakening the risk associated with the declining trend. However, housing starts are expected to remain flat in FY2023.
  7. FY2022SoftenedAnnual report

    「New housing starts in 2021 totaled 856,484 units, up 41,144 units from the previous year and marking the first increase in 5 years.」

    Regarding the risk of declining housing starts, the figure increased to 856,484 units in 2021, up from the previous year and marking the first increase in 5 years. However, housing starts in the Tokyo metropolitan area are expected to remain flat.
  8. FY2022-Q3MaterialisedAnnual report

    「However, last fiscal year, the number of construction starts for newly built detached houses declined as homebuilders and others suspended sales activities due to the impact of COVID-19. As a result, the number of completed new gas equipment installation and TES projects carried forward into the current period also declined.」

    The decline in housing starts in the previous fiscal year actually affected results for the current period through a decrease in completed new gas equipment installation and TES projects carried forward into the current period.
  9. FY2022-Q1MaterialisedAnnual report

    「New gas equipment installation and TES projects for detached houses declined.」

    The decline in housing-related demand materialized in the current quarter as declines in new gas equipment installation and TES projects.
  10. FY2021WorsenedAnnual report

    「New housing starts totaled 815,340 units, down 89,783 units from the previous year and marking the fourth consecutive annual decline. In the first half of the fiscal year, construction sites were shut down following the declaration of a state of emergency, while disruptions to overseas manufacturing caused delays in procuring materials and other supplies, forcing construction to stop in some cases. In addition, visitors to housing exhibition centers fell sharply following requests to refrain from nonessential, nonurgent outings, resulting in declines in owner-occupied, rental and for-sale housing.」

    Housing starts totaled 815,340 units, down 89,783 units from the previous year, marking the fourth consecutive annual decline. Construction stoppages and delays in procuring materials due to COVID-19 also contributed.
  11. FY2021-Q3MaterialisedAnnual report

    「The spread of the novel coronavirus caused delays in starting construction and other issues involving new detached houses, resulting in declines in new gas equipment installation and TES construction.」

    The risk of declining housing starts materialized as postponed construction due to the spread of COVID-19 and declines in new gas equipment installation and TES projects.
  12. FY2021-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「The number of starts for new detached houses has been trending downward due to the spread of the novel coronavirus. There is also a possibility that starts could decline further if delays in starting construction and sluggish sales of new detached houses continue.」

    In addition to declining housing starts against the backdrop of the falling birthrate and an aging population, the possibility of a further decline if construction delays and sluggish sales caused by the spread of the novel coronavirus continue was indicated.
  13. FY2020WorsenedAnnual report

    「New housing starts totaled 905,123 units, 37,247 fewer than in the previous year, marking the third consecutive year of decline.」

    Housing starts declined from 942,370 units in the previous fiscal year to 905,123 units, marking the third consecutive year of decline.
  14. FY2019First statedAnnual report

    「New housing starts declined for the first time in 7 years as rental properties, which had performed strongly against the backdrop of revisions to the inheritance tax, were affected by issues including sublease contracts. Starts totaled 942,370 units, 22,271 fewer than in the previous year, marking the second consecutive year of decline.」

    The decline in housing starts was reflected in the results, and the business environment was described as likely to continue gradually deteriorating as the number of households declines due to the falling birthrate and an aging population.
Moved together

"Occurrence of Unprofitable Construction Projects" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 7 of its 14 moves.

765554★123456
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Occurrence of Unprofitable Construction Projects7×
  3. 2Growing uncertainty over the outlook due to the slowdown in the Chinese economy and the UK's withdrawal from the EU6×
  4. 3Seasonal fluctuations caused by the concentration of project completions5×
  5. 4Deteriorating order conditions due to fewer large-scale planned projects for customers and cost controls by project owners5×
  6. 5Deterioration in the economic and business environment due to the spread of COVID-195×
  7. 6Failure to pass soaring material and equipment costs through to contract prices4×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

When this could move next
Kyowanissei's next results are scheduled for 2026-11-12. Read the earnings preview It last moved in the Results of 2026-05-14: "Worsened".
News
No news is linked to this thread yet. When an article touches it, it will appear here by date.