Nomura Securities cuts Nikkei average forecast, saying full recovery of record high postponed by “more than 2 years”

The story

Nomura Securities lowered its year-end 2026 forecast for the Nikkei average from the previous ¥70,000 to ¥62,000.

Higher interest rates and concerns about AI-related developments were cited as factors weighing on the Nikkei average's valuation. The Bank of Japan's ETF activity was also cited as one of the influencing factors.

At a glance

Target valueLowered the Nikkei average forecast for year-end 2026 to ¥62,000

Changed fromThe previous forecast was ¥70,000

Main factor 1Valuations pressured by higher interest rates

Main factor 2Valuations pressured by concerns about AI-related developments

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