A sign that rising prices are ending? Real wages may turn upward as CPI falls below 2% [January 2026] álvaro Cortés (aqPdwxvTAE)

In January 2026, the headline CPI rose 1.5% year on year, while the CPI excluding fresh food rose 2.0%, falling below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for the first time in about 3 years and 10 months.

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The story

The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 1.5% year on year in January 2026, while the CPI excluding fresh food rose 2.0%, according to data released.

The headline CPI’s rise of less than 2% indicated that the pace of price increases is slowing.

The monthly data show that inflation has remained below the Bank of Japan’s 2% price stability target for an extended period.

At a glance

Headline CPI trendThe headline CPI rose 1.5% year on year in January 2026

CPI excluding fresh food trendThe all-items CPI excluding fresh food rose 2.0% year on year

Below-target statusThe headline CPI fell below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for the first time in 3 years and 10 months

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