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Takihyo (9982) · RiskMaterialised

Risk of fluctuations in sales of seasonal products due to abnormal weather, including cold summers and warm winters

First written in FY2017. 12 of 15 entries say "Materialised", first in FY2018-Q2. Latest entry: FY2027-H1.

15entries
10years
0from disclosures
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseMaterialisedFY2019-Q1 – FY2020RestatedFY2022MaterialisedFY2024-Q3 – FY2027-H12017: 220172018: 320182019: 420192020: 220202021: 020212022: 120222023: 020232024: 120242025: 120252026: 12026
Same theme, other companies
Sales volatility in fashion products due to seasonality and climateA theme 40 companies write about · 44 as a headwind · 0 as a tailwind

Takihyo moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2017, 1 year before the typical company in this theme (2018).

The whole theme swung hardest in 2024: 22 of 30 companies on the "Worse" side.

21 other companies' latest entry also says "Materialised".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Showing 14 of the 40 companies compared. The sentences above are computed from all 40.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. FY2027-H1MaterialisedAnnual report

    「The slow rise in temperatures from June onward delayed the start of summer consumption, while the effects of repeated natural disasters resulted in lacklustre personal consumption.」

    The slower rise in temperatures and repeated natural disasters actually manifested themselves in a delayed start to summer consumption and weak personal consumption.
  2. FY2026-H1MaterialisedAnnual report

    「In addition, from June onward there were many sunny days, and temperatures were extremely high, with the average temperature reaching a record high since the Meteorological Agency began compiling statistics. Against this backdrop, customers' needs for pull-in orders aligned with actual consumer demand, involving short-lead-time product planning and delivery, increased further」

    Extreme heat produced the highest average temperature since statistics began, and the risk of sales fluctuations in seasonal products became apparent through an increase in pull-in orders aligned with actual consumer demand.
  3. FY2024-Q3MaterialisedAnnual report

    「The full-year forecast for fiscal 2023 has been left unchanged because additional orders remained weak due to the warm winter during the fall/winter 2023 season, and orders for the spring/summer 2024 season have consequently also remained difficult.」

    The warm winter actually manifested itself in weaker additional orders for the autumn/winter season and difficult orders for the following spring/summer season.
  4. FY2022RestatedAnnual report

    「If sales of seasonal products differ materially from forecasts due to abnormal weather such as a cool summer or warm winter, the performance of our group may be affected.」

    Restates the risk of sales fluctuations in seasonal products due to abnormal weather such as cool summers and warm winters.
  5. FY2020MaterialisedAnnual report

    「However, the company struggled throughout the year due to weather conditions, including record-low sunshine in July and a warm winter, as well as a stronger tendency among customers to place pull-in orders, meaning they carefully determine order timing based on actual consumer demand at retail stores.」

    States that record-low sunshine and a warm winter affected sales activities throughout the year, together with the stronger tendency toward pull-in orders.
  6. FY2020-Q3MaterialisedAnnual report

    「In the apparel market during the cumulative third-quarter period, winter products performed poorly and forward orders remained stalled because temperatures stayed higher than normal and specialty stores and general merchandise stores increasingly adopted a pull-based ordering approach, carefully gauging the timing of orders based on actual demand at stores.」

    States that higher-than-normal temperatures weakened sales of winter products and caused forward orders to stall, resulting in actual weather-related fluctuations in sales.
  7. FY2020-Q2MaterialisedAnnual report

    「However, performance for the second quarter was affected by sluggish sales of summer merchandise due to record low sunshine and low temperatures in July, as well as an increasing tendency among specialty-store chains and general merchandise stores to place orders cautiously after observing store conditions, resulting in difficulties in order-taking activities.」

    States that sales of summer products were sluggish due to record-low sunshine and low temperatures, and that weather-related fluctuations in sales of seasonal products actually occurred.
  8. FY2020-Q1MaterialisedAnnual report

    「During the cumulative first quarter, performance was affected by temperatures in March and April remaining lower than normal, as well as by stronger consumer demand for actual needs in the volume zone (the general price range), which led specialty-store chains and GMS operators to place orders more cautiously based on in-store conditions, a tendency known as pull-in ordering (placing orders cautiously after observing in-store conditions). As a result, order-taking activities, particularly for women's apparel, faced a difficult environment.」

    States that low temperatures in March and April affected consumer purchases and order-taking activities, particularly for women's apparel.
  9. FY2019MaterialisedAnnual report

    「As a result of weather factors such as typhoons, heavy rainfall and the mild winter, as well as sluggish sales of young-oriented products in women’s apparel, net sales were ¥64,815 million, down 10.9% year on year.」

    States that typhoons, torrential rain and a warm winter actually affected sales of seasonal products and annual sales.
  10. FY2019-Q3MaterialisedAnnual report

    「In the apparel market during the cumulative third-quarter period, early-summer products performed well as temperatures in March and April were above average. From the second quarter onward, however, company-wide sales struggled due to weather-related factors and weak performance by products targeting younger women in the women's apparel segment.」

    States that weather conditions affected apparel sales and company-wide sales from the second quarter onward.
  11. FY2019-Q2MaterialisedAnnual report

    「In the apparel market during the cumulative second-quarter period, temperatures in March and April were above average and early-summer products performed well. However, rain and low temperatures in May and June, torrential rain and typhoons in July and August, and the effects of extreme heat caused sales of practical apparel to continue showing little growth.」

    States that sales of practical clothing remained sluggish due to rain, low temperatures, torrential rain, typhoons and extreme heat, and that weather-related fluctuations in sales of seasonal products are actually occurring.
  12. FY2019-Q1MaterialisedAnnual report

    「In the apparel market during the cumulative first-quarter period, above-average temperatures in March and April provided a strong start, particularly for early-summer products. In May, however, summer products weakened due to rain, low temperatures and a reaction to the strong performance through April. Consumers continued to focus on actual-need purchases, and business performance therefore remained susceptible to fluctuations.」

    States that sales of summer products were sluggish in May due to rain and low temperatures, and that weather-related fluctuations in sales of seasonal products actually occurred.
  13. FY2018RestatedAnnual report

    「The Group's principal products, including women's apparel, consist largely of highly seasonal apparel products. If sales of seasonal products differ significantly from forecasts due to abnormal weather, such as cool summers or warm winters, the Group's performance may be affected.」

    The company has reiterated the risk of sales volatility arising from a highly seasonal product mix and adverse weather.
  14. FY2018-Q2MaterialisedAnnual report

    「In addition, affected by this summer's abnormal weather, the difficult sales environment has continued, with recovery through autumn/winter products also proving challenging.」

    States that adverse weather actually affected sales of seasonal products and the recovery in performance.
  15. FY2017First statedAnnual report

    「The Group's principal products, including women's apparel, consist largely of highly seasonal apparel products. If sales of seasonal products differ significantly from forecasts due to abnormal weather, such as cool summers or warm winters, the Group's performance may be affected.」

    Against the backdrop of a product mix with strong seasonality, identifies the risk of sales fluctuations caused by cool summers, warm winters and other weather conditions.
Moved together

"Increased uncertainty in the apparel market due to a slowing global economy, a stronger yen and weak consumer spending" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 6 of its 15 moves.

633222★123456
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Increased uncertainty in the apparel market due to a slowing global economy, a stronger yen and weak consumer spending6×
  3. 2Impairment of Software and Other Fixed Assets and Reversal of Deferred Tax Assets Due to More Conservative Earnings Outlook3×
  4. 3Poor in-store sales due to typhoons3×
  5. 4Sourcing risk associated with dependence on production in China, South Korea and other Asian countries2×
  6. 5Declining revenue and profit, and lower margins, in the core apparel business2×
  7. 6Weak performance of autumn/winter products due to insufficient product-planning precision2×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

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Risk of fluctuations in sales of seasonal products due to abnormal weather, including cold summers and warm winters | Takihyo Co.,Ltd. (9982) | Komori