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Yellow Hat (9882) · RiskWorsened

Risk of fluctuations in business performance due to economic cycles, competition, and weather

First written in FY2016. 12 of 29 entries say "Restated". Latest entry: FY2026.

29entries
11years
1from disclosures
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseRestatedFY2017-Q3 – FY2018MaterialisedFY2020-Q3 – FY2023-Q2RestatedFY2023-Q3 – FY2024-Q22016: 220162017: 220172018: 420182019: 320192020: 320202021: 220212022: 420222023: 420232024: 220242025: 120252026: 22026
Same theme, other companies
Performance Fluctuations Caused by Economic Cycles, Intensifying Competition, and Adverse WeatherA theme 19 companies write about · 19 as a headwind · 0 as a tailwind

Yellow Hat moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2020, 1 year after the typical company in this theme (2019).

The whole theme swung hardest in 2025: 12 of 19 companies on the "Worse" side.

5 other companies' latest entry also says "Worsened".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Showing 14 of the 19 companies compared. The sentences above are computed from all 19.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. FY2026WorsenedAnnual report

    「On the other hand, in addition to the effects of U.S. trade policy and continuing inflation, there are concerns that developments in resource prices and supply conditions associated with heightened tensions in the Middle East could weigh on consumer sentiment, and the outlook therefore remains uncertain.」

    In addition to U.S. trade policy and price increases, the filing identifies the impact of heightened tensions in the Middle East on resource prices and supply as new concerns.
  2. 2026-05-08WorsenedEarnings

    「On the other hand, in addition to the effects of U.S. trade policy and continuing inflation, there are concerns that developments in resource prices and supply conditions associated with heightened tensions in the Middle East could weigh on consumer sentiment, and the outlook therefore remains uncertain.」

    The company added the effects of Middle East tensions on resource prices and supply conditions to its existing concerns regarding U.S. trade policy and inflation.
  3. FY2026-H1WorsenedAnnual report

    「However, concerns that could weigh on consumer sentiment remained, including the impact of U.S. trade policy and continuing price increases, leaving the outlook uncertain.」

    While improvements in employment and income conditions and a recovery in personal consumption were evident, the filing identifies the impact of U.S. trade policy as a new concern in addition to the previously cited price increases.
  4. FY2025-H1RestatedAnnual report

    「During the interim consolidated accounting period, Japan's economy had some positive factors, including improved employment and income conditions and increased inbound demand. However, the yen's continued depreciation contributed to higher energy and raw material prices and persistent inflation, leaving the outlook for personal consumption uncertain.」

    While the filing points to improved employment and income conditions and inbound demand, it continues to describe yen depreciation, higher energy and raw material prices, inflation and uncertainty over the outlook for personal consumption.
  5. FY2024ReframedAnnual report

    「The Group manufactures, wholesales and retails automotive and motorcycle products, primarily in Japan. Accordingly, a deterioration in the Japanese economy or weak personal consumption caused by various factors could adversely affect the Group's operating results and financial position.」

    The key risks, previously described together as economic conditions, competition and weather, are now presented separately as domestic economic conditions and weak personal consumption, weather-related factors and other items.
  6. FY2024-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「During the second-quarter cumulative consolidated period, economic activity in Japan normalized as restrictions on activity were lifted following the reclassification of COVID-19 to Category 5 under the Infectious Diseases Control Law. However, the outlook remained uncertain due to concerns that could weigh on consumer sentiment, including higher energy and raw material prices, exchange-rate fluctuations and resulting price increases.」

    While economic activity continued to normalize following the lifting of activity restrictions, the filing continued to describe concerns over weaker personal consumption due to higher energy and raw material prices, exchange-rate fluctuations and price increases.
  7. FY2024-Q1RestatedAnnual report

    「During the first-quarter cumulative consolidated period, economic activity in Japan normalized as restrictions on activity were lifted following the reclassification of COVID-19 to Category 5 under the Infectious Diseases Control Law. However, the outlook remained uncertain due to concerns that could weigh on consumer sentiment, including higher energy and raw material prices, exchange-rate fluctuations and resulting price increases.」

    While the lifting of activity restrictions led to normalization of economic activity, the filing continued to describe concerns over weaker personal consumption due to higher energy and raw material prices, exchange-rate fluctuations and price increases.
  8. FY2023RestatedAnnual report

    「During the consolidated fiscal year, economic activity showed signs of normalization after the lifting of priority preventive measures, even as the impact of COVID-19 continued. However, the outlook remained uncertain due to concerns that could weigh on consumer sentiment, including the renewed increase in infections caused by COVID-19 variants, higher energy and raw material prices, rapid yen depreciation and resulting price increases.」

    While economic activity continued to normalize, the filing continued through the end of the fiscal year to describe concerns over weaker personal consumption due to the renewed increase in infections, higher energy and raw material prices, yen depreciation and price increases.
  9. FY2023-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「During the third-quarter cumulative consolidated period, economic activity showed signs of normalization after the lifting of priority preventive measures, even as the impact of COVID-19 continued. However, the outlook remained uncertain due to concerns that could weigh on consumer sentiment, including the renewed increase in infections caused by COVID-19 variants, higher energy and raw material prices, rapid yen depreciation and resulting price increases.」

    While economic activity showed signs of normalization, the filing continued to describe concerns over weaker personal consumption due to the renewed increase in infections, higher energy and raw material prices, yen depreciation and price increases.
  10. FY2023-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「However, concerns that could weigh on consumer sentiment remained, including the seventh wave of infections caused by COVID-19 variants, higher energy and raw material prices, rapid yen depreciation and resulting price increases, leaving the outlook uncertain.」

    In addition to the previously described increases in energy and raw material prices, rapid yen depreciation and price increases, the filing identifies the seventh wave of infections caused by COVID-19 variants as a factor that could weaken personal consumption.
  11. FY2023-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「However, concerns that could weigh on consumer sentiment remained, including higher energy and raw material prices, rapid yen depreciation and resulting price increases, leaving the outlook uncertain.」

    In addition to the traditional risk of economic fluctuations, the filing specifically identifies higher energy and raw material prices, rapid yen depreciation and price increases as factors that could weaken personal consumption.
  12. FY2022MaterialisedAnnual report

    「During the consolidated fiscal year, Japan's economy remained affected by the prolonged COVID-19 pandemic, with weak personal consumption and stagnating economic activity continuing.」

    While the prolonged pandemic, weak personal consumption and stagnating economic activity were reflected in the economic environment during the fiscal year, the filing also describes strong sales of winter products due to winter snowfall.
  13. FY2022-Q3MaterialisedAnnual report

    「In the automotive aftermarket industry, demand for driving associated with returning to one's hometown and travel declined due to the fifth wave of COVID-19, which peaked in mid-August. In addition, dashcam sales, which had been strong in the previous year following the strengthening of penalties for dangerous driving, declined as that effect reversed. Sales of studless tires remained solid, at around the previous year's level.」

    The decline in driving demand caused by the fifth wave of COVID-19 and the decline in dashcam sales following strong sales in the previous year were reflected in the actual business environment. Studless tires, however, remained at around the previous year's level.
  14. FY2022-Q2MaterialisedAnnual report

    「During the second-quarter cumulative consolidated period, Japan's economy remained challenging as the spread of COVID-19 led to prolonged weakness in personal consumption and stagnation in economic activity. Although COVID-19 vaccinations began in earnest, the outlook for containment remained uncertain as the state of emergency was extended and priority preventive measures were implemented.」

    The filing states that the spread of the infection, weak personal consumption, stagnation in economic activity and the state of emergency actually affected the economic environment during the quarter.
  15. FY2022-Q1MaterialisedAnnual report

    「During the first-quarter cumulative consolidated period, Japan's economy remained challenging as the spread of COVID-19 led to the reissuance of the state of emergency and the continuation of requests to refrain from going out.」

    The filing states that the spread of COVID-19, the reissuance of the state of emergency and the continued requests to refrain from going out actually affected the economic environment during the quarter.
  16. FY2021-Q2MaterialisedAnnual report

    「During the second-quarter cumulative consolidated period, Japan's economy remained challenging due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, although personal consumption showed signs of recovery as economic activity gradually resumed.」

    While the deterioration in the economic environment caused by COVID-19 continued, the filing also describes a recovery in personal consumption accompanying the resumption of economic activity. The impact of economic fluctuations on business performance was also evident during the period.
  17. FY2020MaterialisedAnnual report

    「In the automotive aftermarket industry, tire sales grew substantially through September as tire manufacturers' pull-forward demand before price increases coincided with rush demand before the consumption tax increase, but sales fell after October due to the subsequent reaction. In addition, sales of winter-related products such as studless tires and tire chains declined substantially because of the nationwide warm winter.」

    Tire and winter-related product sales actually declined due to the consumption tax increase, the backlash from the pull-forward in demand and the warm winter, making the impact of economic conditions, personal consumption and weather on earnings evident.
  18. FY2020-Q3MaterialisedAnnual report

    「Consumer spending remained uncertain due in part to the impact of the consumption tax increase implemented in October. Tire sales grew substantially through September as tire manufacturers' pull-forward demand before price increases coincided with rush demand before the consumption tax increase, but sales fell after October due to the subsequent reaction. In addition, sales of winter-related products such as studless tires and tire chains declined substantially because of the nationwide warm winter.」

    The decline in sales of tires and winter-related products due to the backlash following the consumption tax increase and the nationwide warm winter was reflected in actual business performance.
  19. FY2020-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「During the second-quarter cumulative consolidated period, Japan's economy remained on a gradual recovery trend against a backdrop of improving employment and income conditions, although corporate earnings showed signs of slowing. While personal consumption was expected to recover, concerns over a deterioration in consumer sentiment following the consumption tax increase meant that conditions remained uncertain.」

    The filing highlights the economy's recovery trend, the slowdown in corporate earnings, concerns over weaker consumer sentiment following the consumption tax increase and continued uncertainty. It states that there were no significant changes in business and other risks.
  20. FY2019MaterialisedAnnual report

    「During the consolidated fiscal year, tire sales volume declined from the previous year due to the backlash from the pull-forward in demand before tire price increases in the same period of the previous year and lower-than-usual snowfall nationwide. However, the increase in subsidiary stores and higher revenue from pit services resulted in net sales of ¥139.2 billion, up 101.0% year on year, an increase of ¥1.335 billion.」

    The Company explains that factors related to economic conditions, weather and the competitive environment, including the backlash from the pull-forward in demand before price increases, low snowfall, cautious consumer purchasing behavior and concerns over higher labor and logistics costs, actually affected tire sales and expenses during the fiscal year.
  21. FY2019-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「During the third-quarter cumulative consolidated period, Japan's economy was on a gradual recovery trend against a backdrop of improved corporate performance and employment conditions. However, the outlook remained uncertain because labor shortages were expected to drive up labor and logistics costs.」

    The Company explains that, despite the economy's recovery trend, concerns over higher labor and logistics costs due to labor shortages and uncertainty over the outlook continued.
  22. FY2019-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「During the second-quarter cumulative consolidated period, Japan's economy was on a gradual recovery trend against a backdrop of improved corporate performance and employment conditions. However, the outlook remained uncertain because labor shortages were expected to drive up labor and logistics costs.」

    The Company explains that, despite the economy's recovery trend, higher labor and logistics costs due to labor shortages and uncertainty over the outlook continued.
  23. FY2019-Q1MaterialisedAnnual report

    「During the first-quarter cumulative consolidated period, Japan's economy was on a gradual recovery trend against a backdrop of improved corporate performance and employment conditions. However, the outlook remained uncertain because labor shortages were expected to drive up labor and logistics costs.」

    Concerns over higher labor and logistics costs due to labor shortages were highlighted, and the impact appeared in business performance through cautious purchasing of high-priced products, lower tire sales following a pull-forward in demand before price increases, and a decline in operating income.
  24. FY2018RestatedAnnual report

    「The business of the Group is affected by economic conditions in each region, the activities of competitors and weather-related factors. Accordingly, unexpected economic fluctuations, competitors' activities, adverse weather and other factors may adversely affect the Group's operating results and financial position in the course of future business activities.」

    The earnings volatility risks related to economic conditions, competition and weather continue to be described as before.
  25. FY2018-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「During the cumulative third quarter under review, there were no significant changes in the matters described in this quarterly report regarding the business and accounting conditions that could materially affect investors’ decisions, or in the “Business and Other Risks” described in the securities report for the previous fiscal year.」

    The filing states that there have been no significant changes in the earnings volatility risks related to economic conditions, competition and weather.
  26. FY2018-Q1RestatedAnnual report

    「Although the economy continued to recover against a backdrop of recovery in overseas economies, wage growth remained sluggish and real wages remained weak due to rising prices, leaving the outlook for personal consumption uncertain.」

    The Company explains that the economy is recovering, while weak real wages and uncertainty over the outlook for personal consumption continue.
  27. FY2017-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「In the automotive aftermarket industry, sales of vehicle inspection and other car-maintenance services, tires and consumables centered on oil and batteries remained solid, but car-navigation sales declined, and the challenging operating environment continued.」

    While car-maintenance services and consumables sales remained solid, car-navigation sales continued to decline, confirming the challenging operating environment.
  28. FY2017-Q2MaterialisedAnnual report

    「Sales of vehicle inspection and other car-maintenance services, consumables centered on oil and batteries, and dashcams remained solid. However, the Company faced a challenging operating environment as demand for switching from winter to summer tires declined, tire sales fell due to adverse weather, and car-navigation sales decreased.」

    The decline in demand for tire changes, lower tire sales due to adverse weather and reduced car-navigation sales are reflected in the actual explanation of business performance, demonstrating the materialization of earnings volatility risks related to economic conditions and weather.
  29. FY2016First statedAnnual report

    「The business of the Group is affected by economic conditions in each region, the activities of competitors and weather-related factors. Accordingly, unexpected economic fluctuations, competitors' activities, adverse weather and other factors may adversely affect the Group's operating results and financial position in the course of future business activities.」

    During the fiscal year, the impact of the external environment described above appeared in the explanation of business performance, including higher prices caused by yen depreciation, cautious consumer purchasing behavior and weak underlying demand for winter products due to high temperatures.
Moved together

"Impairment Risk at Stores Generating Operating Losses" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 6 of its 29 moves.

6332★1234
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Impairment Risk at Stores Generating Operating Losses6×
  3. 2Risk of Logistics and Sales Disruptions Caused by Natural Disasters and Accidents3×
  4. 3Risk of reduced customer traffic and disruption to store operations due to COVID-193×
  5. 4Product Supply Risk from the Global Semiconductor Shortage and Strategic Sourcing2×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

When this could move next
Yellow Hat's next results are scheduled for 2026-10-30. Read the earnings preview It last moved in the Earnings of 2026-05-08: "Worsened".
News
No news is linked to this thread yet. When an article touches it, it will appear here by date.
Risk of fluctuations in business performance due to economic cycles, competition, and weather | YELLOW HAT LTD. (9882) | Komori