Komori
Grandy House (8999) · RiskMaterialised

Sales planning risk from production to forecast and long production periods

First written in FY2017. 3 of 8 entries say "Materialised", first in FY2024-Q1. Latest entry: FY2027-H1.

8entries
10years
0from disclosures
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseRestatedFY2017 – FY2022MaterialisedFY2024-Q1 – FY2024-Q22017: 120172018: 020182019: 020192020: 120202021: 020212022: 120222023: 220232024: 020242025: 120252026: 22026
Same theme, other companies
Supply-demand mismatch from build-to-forecast production and long production lead timesA theme 1 companies write about · 1 as a headwind · 0 as a tailwind

No other company in this theme has enough history to compare yet.

Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. FY2027-H1MaterialisedAnnual report

    「In the real estate sales segment, the core new-home sales business was affected in some areas by poor weather and a shortage of completed inventory, although」

    Poor weather and a shortage of completed inventory occurred in some areas, actually affecting sales activities for new homes.
  2. FY2026WorsenedAnnual report

    「The production period from land acquisition to completion of the building normally takes approximately 8 to 9 months (and even longer for projects involving large-scale development), making substantial shortening of the period or substitution of products difficult.」

    The stated production period changed from the previous approximately 8 months to a range of approximately 8 to 9 months, making the risks of excess inventory and product shortages due to longer production periods more specific.
  3. FY2025MitigatedAnnual report

    「The company is working to prevent completed inventory from remaining unsold by promoting sales of completed inventory, flexibly adjusting production plans to meet demand, and rigorously selecting subdivision land based on business viability.」

    In response to inventory risks arising from production to forecast and long production periods, the company advanced measures combining sales of completed inventory, flexible production planning, and selective land acquisition. Inventories also declined.
  4. FY2024-Q2MaterialisedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, sales stagnated, particularly in the Northern Kanto area, due to a decline in the order backlog at the beginning of the period and delays in supplying completed properties in some regions, resulting in a decrease in the number of homes sold compared with the same period of the previous year, when COVID-related special demand was evident.」

    The decline in the order backlog and delays in supplying completed properties in some regions actually affected performance by causing sales to stagnate in Northern Kanto.
  5. FY2024-Q1MaterialisedAnnual report

    「In terms of business performance, delays in supplying properties for sale in some areas and the low number of homes in the order backlog in the previous fiscal year affected current-period results.」

    Delays in supplying properties for sale and the low number of homes in the backlog at the end of the previous fiscal year actually affected first-quarter performance.
  6. FY2022RestatedAnnual report

    「The production period from land acquisition to completion of the building normally takes approximately 8 months (and even longer for projects involving large-scale development), making substantial shortening of the period or substitution of products difficult.」

    The company continues to disclose risks of excess inventory and product shortages arising from production to forecast and a normal production period of approximately 8 months.
  7. FY2020RestatedAnnual report

    「The production period from land acquisition to completion of the building normally takes approximately 8 months (and even longer for projects involving large-scale development),」

    The company continues to disclose sales planning and inventory risks arising from production to forecast and a normal production period of approximately 8 months.
  8. FY2017First statedAnnual report

    「Detached-home subdivisions in the new-home sales business are produced to forecast based on estimated demand. In addition, the production period from land acquisition to completion of the building normally takes approximately 8 months (and even longer for projects involving large-scale development), making substantial shortening of the period or substitution of products difficult.」

    The company disclosed the possibility of changes to sales plans due to economic conditions or competing properties, construction delays, and supply gaps, because production is based on demand forecasts and normally takes approximately 8 months from land acquisition to completion.
Moved together

"Deterioration in operating cash flow due to increased inventory of real estate held for sale and increased borrowings" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 4 of its 8 moves.

443333★123456
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Deterioration in operating cash flow due to increased inventory of real estate held for sale and increased borrowings4×
  3. 2Reliance on Borrowings and Rising Interest Rates or Declining Creditworthiness4×
  4. 3Business Expansion Through Strengthening the Recurring-Revenue Business3×
  5. 4Uncertainty over the Outlook Due to Yen Appreciation, Sluggish Stock Prices and Brexit3×
  6. 5First-quarter revenue and earnings growth3×
  7. 6Favorable home-buying conditions supported by home-purchase support measures and low interest rates3×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

When this could move next
No upcoming earnings preview for Grandy House yet.
News
No news is linked to this thread yet. When an article touches it, it will appear here by date.