Komori
Orix (8591) · RiskWorsened

Sluggish Global Economy, Financial Market Volatility and Geopolitical Tensions

First written in FY2016. 7 of 17 entries say "Restated". Latest entry: FY2025.

17entries
10years
0from disclosures
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseRestatedFY2017-Q2 – FY2018-Q3MaterialisedFY2019 – FY2021WorsenedFY2023 – FY20252016: 320162017: 320172018: 120182019: 220192020: 120202021: 220212022: 220222023: 120232024: 120242025: 12025
Same theme, other companies

Orix moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2019, the same year as the typical company in this theme.

The whole theme swung hardest in 2022: 160 of 184 companies on the "Worse" side.

84 other companies' latest entry also says "Worsened".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Showing 14 of the 196 companies compared. The sentences above are computed from all 196.Comparing 200 of the theme's 220 threads.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. FY2025WorsenedAnnual report

    「Although there is currently no significant impact on our operating results from the increased political and economic uncertainty caused by policy changes under the second Trump administration in the US, or from the Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Hamas conflicts, it is difficult to predict the long-term impact.」

    In addition to the previously identified geopolitical and global economic risks, uncertainty resulting from policy changes under the second Trump administration in the US was added as an external-environment risk.
  2. FY2024WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the current consolidated fiscal year, the business environment remained unstable, with geopolitical risks such as the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict and the Israel-Hamas conflict remaining high, compounded by high energy costs, high interest rates in Europe and the US, and an economic downturn in China.」

    In addition to the previously identified global economic and geopolitical risks, the Israel-Hamas conflict, high energy costs, high interest rates in Europe and the US, and an economic downturn in China were identified as specific external environmental factors.
  3. FY2023WorsenedAnnual report

    「Although a recovery in consumption is expected as economic activity resumes in earnest, concerns over a recession are mounting due to factors including the protracted Russia-Ukraine situation, expanding geopolitical risks involving the US and China, and prolonged rate hikes. In particular, following the failure of a US bank, uncertainty has increased in the US regional banking sector and financial markets, including commercial real estate.」

    In addition to the previously identified geopolitical and global economic risks, the failure of a US bank, the regional banking sector, commercial real estate and prolonged rate hikes were identified as specific external-environment risks.
  4. FY2023-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「We will continue to monitor developments concerning the impact of COVID-19, heightened geopolitical risks including the Russia-Ukraine situation, and globally rising inflation and interest rates on the ORIX Group's funding and liquidity.」

    COVID-19, the Russia-Ukraine situation, geopolitical risks, and globally rising inflation and interest rates continue to be monitored as external-environment risks relating to funding and liquidity.
  5. FY2022WorsenedAnnual report

    「These conditions are affected by changes in inflation, fiscal and monetary policy, and other factors, as well as geopolitical risks such as war, riots, terrorism and trade and technology friction between the US and China. With regard to the Russia-Ukraine situation, our exposure to Russia and Ukraine is limited and there is currently no significant impact on our operating results, but it is difficult to predict the impact if the situation becomes protracted.」

    In addition to the previously identified global economic and geopolitical risks, inflation, war, the Russia-Ukraine situation, and trade and technology friction between the US and China were identified as specific external-environment risks.
  6. FY2022-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「We will continue to monitor developments concerning the impact of COVID-19 on the ORIX Group's business, financial condition and operating results.」

    The Group indicated that it will continue to monitor the impact of COVID-19 on its business, financial condition and operating results.
  7. FY2021MaterialisedAnnual report

    「Since the beginning of 2020, COVID-19 has spread worldwide, and governments in various countries have taken measures including restrictions on the movement of people to prevent its spread. As a result, demand disappeared and supply chains were disrupted, causing the global economy to deteriorate significantly.」

    The previously identified risks of global economic weakness and financial market volatility materialized in the form of the spread of infectious disease, disappearing demand, supply chain disruptions and a downturn in the global economy.
  8. FY2020MaterialisedAnnual report

    「Since the beginning of this year, the novel coronavirus disease has spread worldwide, and governments in various countries have imposed measures including restrictions on the movement of people to prevent its spread. As a result, we faced disappearing demand and supply chain disruptions, while prices of risk assets fluctuated sharply worldwide amid concerns over an economic recession.」

    The previously identified risks of global economic weakness and financial market volatility materialized in the form of the global spread of COVID-19, disappearing demand, supply chain disruptions and sharp fluctuations in risk asset prices.
  9. FY2020-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「ORIX will maintain a cautious management stance in light of the current situation, in which asset prices remain elevated and the risks of an economic downturn and regional and political risks are increasing.」

    Elevated asset prices and rising economic downturn and regional and political risks were explicitly identified as the current management environment.
  10. FY2019MaterialisedAnnual report

    「During the current consolidated fiscal year, the global economy remained firm in the first half, supported by the US economy, but uncertainty intensified in the second half as stock prices fell sharply toward the end of 2018 due to escalating US-China trade friction and tighter financial conditions.」

    The previously identified risks of global economic weakness and financial market volatility materialized in the form of US-China trade friction, tighter financial conditions and falling stock prices.
  11. FY2018-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「Interest rates remain globally low, but expectations have strengthened that monetary easing in developed countries will be scaled back going forward. Political and geopolitical tensions in certain regions also continue to require close monitoring.」

    Global low interest rates, expectations for reduced monetary easing, and political and geopolitical tensions continue to be identified as business-environment risks.
  12. FY2018-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「Interest rates remain globally low, but expectations have strengthened that monetary easing in developed countries will be scaled back going forward. Political and geopolitical tensions in certain regions also continue to require close monitoring.」

    Global low interest rates, expectations for reduced monetary easing, and political and geopolitical tensions continue to be identified as business-environment risks.
  13. FY2017RestatedAnnual report

    「The global economy remains on a recovery path in the US, supported by improving employment and income conditions. Europe is recovering moderately, the Chinese economy remains in an adjustment phase, and economic conditions in emerging and resource-producing countries have bottomed out. Although interest rates remain globally low, expectations for rate increases have strengthened in the US and elsewhere. Political and geopolitical tensions in certain regions also continue to require close monitoring.」

    Regional disparities in the global economy, low interest rates, expectations for higher interest rates in the US, and political and geopolitical tensions continue to be identified as risks.
  14. FY2017-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「The global economy was on a path of moderate expansion in the US, where interest rates and stock prices rose after the November presidential election on expectations for the new administration's economic policies. Europe moved sideways, the Chinese economy remained in an adjustment phase, and economic conditions in emerging and resource-producing countries bottomed out. Interest rates remained globally low against a backdrop of monetary easing in various countries. Political and geopolitical tensions in certain regions also continue to require close monitoring.」

    Economic conditions in the US, Europe, China and emerging markets, low interest rates and geopolitical tensions continue to be identified as business-environment risks.
  15. FY2017-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「The global economy remains unstable and generally lacks momentum, although economic conditions in emerging and resource-producing countries have bottomed out, the US is recovering moderately and Europe is moving sideways. Interest rates remain globally low against a backdrop of monetary easing in various countries. Political and geopolitical tensions in certain regions also continue to require close monitoring.」

    Global economic instability, low interest rates and geopolitical tensions continue to be identified as business-environment risks.
  16. FY2017-Q1MaterialisedAnnual report

    「While the slowdown in the global economy, particularly in emerging and resource-producing countries, has begun to level off, political and financial market turmoil related to the UK's withdrawal from the EU has weighed on the economy, which remains lacklustre. Long-term interest rates have declined globally against a backdrop of monetary easing in various countries and moves toward safe-haven assets. Political and geopolitical tensions in certain regions also continue to require close monitoring.」

    Political and financial market turmoil associated with the UK's withdrawal from the EU occurred, and uncertainty in the global economy and geopolitical tensions continue to be identified as business-environment risks.
  17. FY2016First statedAnnual report

    「The global economy experienced subdued economic activity and low growth due to factors including declines in crude oil and other prices and financial market volatility. While moderate growth is expected in developed economies, economic activity in emerging and developing markets remains weak, and national economies are becoming increasingly diverse. Political and geopolitical tensions in certain regions also require close monitoring.」

    Declines in crude oil prices, financial market volatility, slowing growth in emerging markets and geopolitical tensions are identified as business-environment risks.
Moved together

"Fluctuations in Interest Rates, Foreign Exchange Rates, Stock Prices and Bond Prices" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 8 of its 17 moves.

855533★123456
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Fluctuations in Interest Rates, Foreign Exchange Rates, Stock Prices and Bond Prices8×
  3. 2Annual net income growth of 4–8% through the fiscal year ending March 2021; ROE of 11% or higher5×
  4. 3Allowance for Doubtful Accounts Shortfall and Increase in Credit-Related Expenses5×
  5. 4Asset Value Fluctuations, Including Ships, Aircraft and Real Estate5×
  6. 5Domestic and International Expansion of the Environmental Energy Business3×
  7. 6Liquidity Risk from Deteriorating Funding Conditions and Credit Downgrades3×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

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