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Kotobukiya (7809) · RiskMaterialised

Changing trends and short product life cycles

First written in FY2017. 10 of 14 entries say "Materialised", first in FY2018. Latest entry: FY2025.

14entries
9years
0from disclosures
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseMaterialisedFY2018 – FY2020RestatedFY2021 – FY20242017: 12018: 220182019: 420192020: 220202021: 120212022: 120222023: 020232024: 120242025: 22025
Same theme, other companies
Product supply risk arising from changes in fashion trends and consumer preferencesA theme 11 companies write about · 11 as a headwind · 0 as a tailwind

Kotobukiya moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2018, 1 year before the typical company in this theme (2019).

The whole theme swung hardest in 2019: 4 of 6 companies on the "Worse" side.

0 other companies' latest entry also says "Materialised".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. FY2025MaterialisedAnnual report

    「For figure products, the Company launched “HORROR美少女 Sadako” based on another company’s IP, “Manhattan Cafe” from “Uma Musume: Pretty Derby,” “Frieren” from “Frieren: Beyond Journey’s End” and “Hand Model/L-GRAY-” from its own IP “ARTIST SUPPORT ITEM.” Although these products contributed to sales in the category, the number of hit products driving sales declined from the previous fiscal year, and sales for the category as a whole remained sluggish.」

    Although the company launched new products, figure-category sales remained sluggish because the number of hit products driving sales declined.
  2. FY2025-H1MaterialisedAnnual report

    「In the bishoujo plastic model market, sales for the category as a whole remained sluggish because competition among companies remained intense and the number of products sold during the period declined. Sales for the category as a whole also remained sluggish because the number of hit products driving sales declined compared with the same period of the previous year.」

    The decline in the number of products sold and in the number of hit products driving sales actually manifested as sluggish sales in the plastic model and figure categories.
  3. FY2024Update to the planning-to-sales period and wholesale ratioAnnual report

    「Because approximately 1 to 2 years is required from planning through sales, the company may be unable to offer products that reflect changes in customer preferences, or may be delayed in doing so. In addition, a sharp deterioration in economic conditions that significantly curtails consumer purchasing activity could affect the company's performance. The wholesale business, which accounts for approximately 60% of the company's sales, is basically an order-based business. The company is taking steps to avoid significantly misjudging sales volumes, or market demand, relative to production volumes and ending up with excess inventory. However, if it becomes necessary to record impairment losses or disposal losses on manufactured products, this could affect the company's performance.」

    The company updated the planning-to-sales period from approximately 1 year to approximately 1 to 2 years, and disclosed that the wholesale business accounts for approximately 60% of sales, along with the risks of inventory write-downs and disposal losses.
  4. FY2022RestatedAnnual report

    「In terms of changes in trends and economic fluctuations, hobby-related products such as the characters handled by the company tend to be subject to rapidly changing trends and short product life cycles. To address these factors, the company continually plans, manufactures and sells new proprietary products. However, because approximately one year is required from planning through sales, the company may be unable to offer products that reflect changes in customer preferences, or may be delayed in doing so. In addition, a sharp deterioration in economic conditions that significantly curtails consumer purchasing activity could affect the company's performance.」

    The company discloses risks arising from changing trends, the approximately one-year planning-to-sales period and economic fluctuations, as well as seasonality and the risk that sales volumes may decline over time even for long-running content.
  5. FY2021RestatedAnnual report

    「Because the hobby products featuring characters and other properties handled by the company are subject to rapidly changing trends, their product life cycles tend to be short. To address this, the company is constantly planning, manufacturing and selling new proprietary products. However, because it takes approximately 1 year from planning to sales, the company may be unable to provide products that reflect changes in customer preferences, or may be delayed in doing so. A sharp economic downturn that significantly curtails consumer purchasing activity could also affect the company's operating results.」

    The company continues to disclose risks of demand fluctuations arising from the rapid pace of changing trends, short product life cycles and the approximately one-year period required from planning to sales.
  6. FY2020MaterialisedAnnual report

    「As a result, net sales for the fiscal year were ¥7,374.415 million, down 11.1% year on year; operating income was ¥228.451 million, down 16.1%; ordinary income was ¥231.434 million, down 5.4%; and net income was ¥75.390 million, down 45.2%, partly due to the recording of ¥109.740 million in impairment loss as an extraordinary loss.」

    In addition to fluctuations in product demand and content popularity, the impact of the spread of infectious disease also contributed to lower revenue and profit for the full year.
  7. FY2020-Q2MaterialisedAnnual report

    「As a result, during the second quarter cumulative period, the company actively pursued the initiatives described above, and figure sales performed steadily, but model kit sales struggled to grow. Net sales were ¥3,557.830 million, down 13.9% year on year; operating loss was ¥51.542 million, compared with operating income of ¥78.371 million in the same quarter of the previous year; ordinary loss was ¥72.076 million, compared with ordinary income of ¥54.813 million; and quarterly net loss was ¥52.116 million, compared with quarterly net income of ¥33.466 million.」

    Although the company advanced initiatives involving its proprietary IP and new products, plastic model sales remained sluggish, with fluctuations in product demand manifesting as lower revenue and operating, ordinary and net losses.
  8. FY2020-Q1MaterialisedAnnual report

    「As a result, during the first quarter cumulative period, the company actively pursued the initiatives described above for its proprietary IP products, and figure sales performed steadily, but model kit sales struggled to grow. Net sales were ¥1,600.860 million, down 6.8% year on year; operating loss was ¥97.793 million, compared with an operating loss of ¥112.075 million in the same quarter of the previous year; ordinary loss was ¥105.517 million, compared with an ordinary loss of ¥121.303 million; and quarterly net loss was ¥76.450 million, compared with a quarterly net loss of ¥87.346 million.」

    Although the company advanced initiatives involving its proprietary IP, plastic model sales remained sluggish, with fluctuations in product demand continuing to manifest as lower revenue and losses.
  9. FY2019MaterialisedAnnual report

    「Although the company actively pursued the proprietary IP initiatives described above, net sales for the fiscal year were ¥8,294.627 million, down 5.9% year on year; operating income was ¥272.177 million, down 60.0%; ordinary income was ¥244.573 million, down 60.3%; and net income was ¥137.558 million, down 67.2%.」

    Although the company advanced the development of its proprietary IP, it was unable to maintain the previous year's level of content demand, resulting in lower revenue and a substantial decline in profit for the full year. Risks related to changes in trends and short product life cycles have manifested as fluctuations in performance.
  10. FY2019-Q3MaterialisedAnnual report

    「As a result, despite actively pursuing the initiatives described above for the company's proprietary IP products, sales did not reach the level of sales of products related to the anime series "Frame Arms Girl" in the same quarter of the previous year. Net sales were ¥5,743.100 million, down 12.7% year on year; operating income was ¥25.881 million, down 94.6%; ordinary income was ¥4.142 million, down 99.0%; and quarterly net loss was ¥3.269 million, compared with quarterly net income of ¥291.566 million in the same quarter of the previous year.」

    Sales fell below those of anime-related products that were hits in the same period of the previous year, with changes in content popularity and product life cycles reflected in lower revenue, a substantial decline in profit and a quarterly net loss.
  11. FY2019-Q2MaterialisedAnnual report

    「As a result, despite actively pursuing the initiatives described above for the company's proprietary IP products, sales did not reach the level of sales of products related to the anime series "Frame Arms Girl" in the same quarter of the previous year. Net sales were ¥4,130.227 million, down 12.2% year on year; operating income was ¥78.371 million, down 80.6%; ordinary income was ¥54.813 million, down 84.6%; and quarterly net income was ¥33.466 million, down 86.2%.」

    Sales fell below those of anime-related products that were hits in the same period of the previous year, with changes in content popularity and product life cycles continuing to manifest as lower revenue and a substantial decline in profit.
  12. FY2019-Q1MaterialisedAnnual report

    「Although the company actively pursued the above initiatives for its proprietary IP products, sales did not reach the level recorded for products related to the anime series "Frame Arms Girl" in the same period of the previous year. Net sales were ¥1,718.167 million, down 28.3% year on year.」

    Sales fell below those of the anime-related products that were hits in the same period of the previous year, with changes in content popularity and product life cycles reflected in lower sales for the quarter.
  13. FY2018MaterialisedAnnual report

    「In North America and Europe, the latest Star Wars film, "The Last Jedi," was released in December 2017, but interest in Star Wars temporarily levelled off, while products related to the American comic franchise DC COMICS performed steadily. Because the wholesale business, which accounts for 70% of the company's sales, is basically an order-based business, the company is working to avoid situations in which it significantly misjudges sales volume, or market demand, and production volume and is left with excessive inventory. However, if it becomes unavoidable to write down or dispose of manufactured products, this may also affect the company's performance.」

    The risk of content popularity levelling off over time was reflected in Star Wars sales, and the company also discloses that its wholesale business accounts for 70% of sales and that it faces inventory risk.
  14. FY2017First statedAnnual report

    「Because the hobby products featuring characters and other properties handled by the company are subject to rapidly changing trends, their product life cycles tend to be short. To address this, the company is constantly planning, manufacturing and selling new proprietary products. However, because it takes approximately 1 year from planning to sales, the company may be unable to provide products that reflect changes in customer preferences, or may be delayed in doing so. A sharp economic downturn that significantly curtails consumer purchasing activity could also affect the company's operating results.」

    The company identifies as risks the approximately one-year period from planning to sales and the effects of changes in demand and inventory write-downs.
Moved together

"Economic Uncertainty Due to Policy Changes, Asian Economic Conditions, Natural Disasters, and Consumption Tax Increases" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 4 of its 14 moves.

4332★1234
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Economic Uncertainty Due to Policy Changes, Asian Economic Conditions, Natural Disasters, and Consumption Tax Increases4×
  3. 2Risk of Monetizing Television Animation Investments3×
  4. 3Labor and Raw-Material Costs and Geopolitical Risks in China3×
  5. 4Reliance on Interest-Bearing Debt and Financing2×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

When this could move next
No upcoming earnings preview for Kotobukiya yet.
News
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Changing trends and short product life cycles | KOTOBUKIYA CO.,LTD. (7809) | Komori