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Ahc Group (7083) · RiskThe impact of infectious diseases has eased, but uncertainty remains

Natural Disaster and Infectious Disease Risks Associated with Concentration in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area

First written in FY2019. 8 of 13 entries say "Worsened", first in FY2020-Q2. Latest entry: FY2023-Q2.

13entries
4years
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseMaterialisedFY2020-Q1 – FY2020-Q2RestatedFY2020-Q3WorsenedFY2021-Q1 – FY2022-Q1WorsenedFY2022-Q3 – FY2023-Q12020: 420202021: 320212022: 420222023: 22023
Same theme, other companies

Ahc Group moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2020.

The whole theme swung hardest in 2020: 3 of 6 companies on the "Worse" side.

1 other company's latest entry also says "Other".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. FY2023-Q2The impact of infectious diseases has eased, but uncertainty remainsAnnual report

    「During the cumulative second quarter of the fiscal year, the Japanese economy continued to normalize economic activity, partly because COVID-19 was reclassified under the Infectious Diseases Act and various policies took effect. However, the outlook for the economy remained uncertain due to factors including fluctuations in foreign exchange rates and soaring energy prices.」

    It states that economic activity was normalizing, including through the reclassification of COVID-19 under Category 5, while uncertainty remained in the post-pandemic business environment.
  2. FY2023-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「In the nursing-care business, the ramp-up of establishments opened in the previous fiscal year progressed smoothly, but existing establishments experienced an increase in cancellations by users due to COVID-19 and other factors.」

    While activity restrictions were gradually eased, the increase in cancellations due to infectious diseases and other factors at existing nursing-care establishments is identified as an actual operating-performance factor.
  3. FY2022-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「From mid-July, the seventh wave of COVID-19 caused human mobility and personal consumption in the food-service industry to stagnate again. In addition, the industry environment remains unpredictable due to soaring raw-material prices and a decline in various subsidies resulting from the absence of government-issued activity restrictions, and we have still been unable to identify a path to recovery in operating performance.」

    The seventh wave of COVID-19 caused human mobility and personal consumption to stagnate again, and the food-service business still had no clear path to recovery in operating performance. The impact of infectious-disease risk has continued and intensified.
  4. FY2022-Q2The infection situation and activity restrictions have eased, but their impact continuesAnnual report

    「Although activity restrictions in the food-service industry have gradually been eased as the number of COVID-19 cases has declined, this has not led to a fundamental recovery in business activity, and the industry remains in an extremely challenging environment.」

    While referring to the decline in cases and the easing of activity restrictions, it explains that the environment for the food-service business remains extremely challenging.
  5. FY2022-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「In the business environment surrounding the Group, the number of people with disabilities in the welfare sector has been trending upward. As of November 2021, the number of users of disability welfare services and services for children with disabilities had also increased 6.2% year on year to 1.383 million (Source: Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, “Usage of Disability Welfare Services, etc.”), and we expect this increase to continue. In the nursing-care sector, the population aged 65 and over is projected to reach 36.77 million in 2025, when the baby-boomer generation will be aged 75 and over, and 39.35 million in 2042, when all members of the baby-boomer junior generation will be aged 65 and over (Source: Cabinet Office, “White Paper on the Ageing Society 2021”). Demand is expected to continue increasing and expanding as the elderly population grows. At the same time, the sector faces a shortage of nursing-care personnel. In the food-service industry, the operating environment became challenging as the government and local authorities imposed significant restrictions, including requests to refrain from going out and to shorten operating hours, to prevent the spread of COVID-19.」

    It explains that operating restrictions associated with infectious-disease risk continued and that the operating environment for the food-service business remained challenging due to the rapid spread of the Omicron variant and the quasi-emergency measures.
  6. FY2021WorsenedAnnual report

    「In the food-service business, we continued operating while complying with significant restrictions, including requests to refrain from serving alcoholic beverages and to shorten operating hours, in response to the ongoing issuance of quasi-emergency measures and state-of-emergency declarations, mainly in urban areas. As a result, revenue was ¥354.770 million, a decrease of ¥294.102 million, or 45.3%, from the previous fiscal year, and the business reported an operating loss of ¥187.260 million, compared with an operating loss of ¥56.405 million in the previous fiscal year.」

    The impact of infectious diseases and government requests on the food-service business became evident over the full year. Revenue fell 45.3%, and the operating loss widened from ¥56.405 million to ¥187.260 million.
  7. FY2021-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「In the food-service business, we closed izakaya stores in response to the quasi-emergency measures and the state-of-emergency declaration. In these circumstances, as a response designed with the COVID-19 environment in mind, we opened takeout-only stores specializing in yakitori and karaage. As a result, revenue was ¥197.535 million, down ¥278.181 million, or 58.5%, from the same period of the previous year, and the business reported an operating loss of ¥157.546 million, compared with an operating loss of ¥49.694 million in the same period of the previous year.」

    Izakaya store closures due to the quasi-emergency measures and the state-of-emergency declaration continued. Revenue in the food-service business fell 58.5% year on year, and the operating loss was ¥157.546 million.
  8. FY2021-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「In the food-service business, the state-of-emergency declaration was lifted temporarily in late March, but the spread of new variants led to the reissuance of the quasi-emergency measures and the state-of-emergency declaration from early April onward. In response to requests from the government and local authorities, izakaya stores were closed during the state of emergency. As a result, revenue was ¥149.556 million, down ¥204.006 million, or 57.7%, from the same period of the previous year, and the business reported an operating loss of ¥91.939 million, compared with an operating loss of ¥20.555 million in the same period of the previous year.」

    The spread of new variants and the reissuance of the state-of-emergency declaration led to the closure of izakaya stores. Revenue in the food-service business fell 57.7% year on year, and the operating loss widened.
  9. FY2021-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「In the food-service business, in response to requests to refrain from operating due to the spread of COVID-19, we shortened operating hours to 20:00. Following the reissuance of the state-of-emergency declaration on 7 January 2021, izakaya stores were closed from 10 January. As a result, revenue was ¥75.016 million, a decrease of ¥196.654 million, or 72.4%, from the same period of the previous year, and the business reported an operating loss of ¥46.079 million, compared with operating income of ¥26.845 million in the same period of the previous year.」

    The reissuance of the state-of-emergency declaration led to the closure of izakaya stores. Revenue in the food-service business fell 72.4% year on year, and the business moved into an operating loss. The impact of infectious-disease risk on operating performance has become more specific and more severe.
  10. FY2020-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「Although the spread of COVID-19 was beginning to subside, with developments including the lifting of the government's state-of-emergency declaration, the situation remained unpredictable. Depending on the future infection situation, the Company's results may be affected by requests from government authorities to suspend or scale back services, temporary closures of establishments due to infections among employees, users or customers, an increase in service cancellations, and the timing of a recovery in consumer trends.」

    While referring to developments toward containment, including the lifting of the state-of-emergency declaration, it states that uncertainty remains over service suspensions or reductions, temporary closures, increased cancellations and the timing of a recovery in consumer spending.
  11. FY2020-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「Depending on the future infection situation, the Company's results may be affected by requests from government authorities to suspend or scale back services, temporary closures of establishments due to infections among employees, users or customers, an increase in service cancellations, and the timing of a recovery in consumer spending. However, we believe that it is difficult to reasonably estimate the impact at this time.」

    In addition to the temporary closures of food-service stores, the potential impact factors have become more specific and broader, including service suspensions or reductions, temporary closures, increased cancellations and uncertainty over the timing of a recovery in consumer spending.
  12. FY2020-Q1MaterialisedAnnual report

    「In response to the declaration of a state of emergency issued by the government on 7 April 2020 following the spread of COVID-19 from late February 2020, we decided to temporarily close our food-service operations for approximately one month. As of the filing date, however, it was difficult to reasonably calculate the amount of the impact on the Group's financial condition, operating results and cash flows.」

    The general infectious-disease risk previously identified materialized as temporary closures in the food-service business due to COVID-19. As of the filing date, the amount of the impact was considered difficult to calculate.
  13. FY2019First statedAnnual report

    「Because many of the establishments and stores operated by the Group's businesses are concentrated in the Tokyo metropolitan area, a large-scale natural disaster such as an earthquake or typhoon in these regions, or an outbreak of an infectious disease such as influenza or measles, could prevent users from visiting and employees from reporting to work. Operations at establishments and stores could also be suspended if infrastructure such as electricity, gas, water or the internet were disrupted.」

    It identifies the regional concentration of locations and the resulting impact on users, employees and infrastructure as risks.
Moved together

"Reliance on Interest-Bearing Debt and Financing and Interest-Rate Risks" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 8 of its 13 moves.

876433★123456
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Reliance on Interest-Bearing Debt and Financing and Interest-Rate Risks8×
  3. 2Risk of Dilution for Existing Shareholders from the Exercise of Stock Acquisition Rights7×
  4. 3Improved performance driven by expansion of operating locations and higher utilization6×
  5. 4Accounting Estimates Based on Assumptions Regarding the Timing of COVID-19 Containment and Recovery4×
  6. 5Rising raw material, personnel and recruitment costs in the food-service business3×
  7. 6Risk of Closing Loss-Making Locations and Impairment Losses3×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

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Natural Disaster and Infectious Disease Risks Associated with Concentration in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area | AHC GROUP INC. (7083) | Komori