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Airman (6364) · RiskWorsenedLatest Revisions to earnings forecasts (2026-07-30): "Mitigated"

Greater Uncertainty in the Business Environment Due to Trade Frictions and Geopolitical Risks in the Middle East

First written in FY2019-Q1. 9 of 22 entries say "Restated". Latest entry: 2026-07-30.

22entries
9years
2from disclosures
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseRestatedFY2021-Q2 – FY2021WorsenedFY2025 – FY20262018: 120182019: 420192020: 220202021: 120212022: 220222023: 420232024: 320242025: 220252026: 32026
Same theme, other companies
Business uncertainty arising from protectionist trade policies and geopolitical developmentsA theme 359 companies write about · 366 as a headwind · 0 as a tailwind

The whole theme swung hardest in 2022: 104 of 134 companies on the "Worse" side.

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Showing 14 of the 199 companies compared. The sentences above are computed from all 199.Comparing 200 of the theme's 368 threads.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. 2026-07-30MitigatedRevisions to earnings forecasts

    「In terms of profitability, operating income, ordinary income and net income attributable to owners of the parent are all expected to exceed the previous forecast, owing to higher revenue, the effect of the weaker yen and the expected receipt of a refund related to reciprocal tariffs in the United States, among other factors.」

    The expected refund of U.S. reciprocal tariffs was identified as a factor supporting profitability.
  2. FY2026WorsenedAnnual report

    「In Japan, construction demand is expected to lack strength due to soaring raw material prices and continued labor shortages. Overseas, energy-related prices are expected to remain elevated as tensions increase in the Middle East, with continued effects on international logistics and from US tariffs.」

    Heightened tensions in the Middle East, their impact on international logistics, and the effects of US tariffs were specifically identified as continuing risks in the external environment.
  3. 2026-05-11WorsenedEarnings

    「Overseas, the global economic outlook is expected to remain uncertain because of higher energy-related prices resulting from rising tensions in the Middle East and the impact on international logistics.」

    The company indicated that rising tensions in the Middle East were expected to create uncertainty for overseas economies through their impact on energy prices and international logistics.
  4. FY2026-H1WorsenedAnnual report

    「The global economy as a whole remained uncertain. In the United States, investment remained firm, particularly in manufacturing, but the increasing burden of tariffs affected corporate strategies. In Southeast Asia, trade tensions between the United States and China affected countries across the region, with export-dependent countries showing signs of slower growth. In the Middle East, heightened geopolitical risks led to a more cautious stance toward investment.」

    The tariff burden in the United States, slower growth in Southeast Asia due to trade tensions between the United States and China, and heightened geopolitical risks and greater investment caution in the Middle East emerged as specific sources of uncertainty in the external environment.
  5. FY2025WorsenedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, the overseas economy is expected to remain uncertain, with concerns about the lack of visibility on a recovery in the stagnant Chinese and European economies and a sharp slowdown in the global economy resulting from US tariff policies.」

    In addition to geopolitical risks and monetary tightening, stagnation in the Chinese and European economies and concerns about a global economic slowdown resulting from US tariff policies were specifically identified.
  6. FY2025-H1ReframedAnnual report

    「In the global economy, uncertainty about the outlook continued due to prolonged inflation and persistently high policy rates in Europe and the United States, a stagnant real estate market in China, the situation in the Middle East, and the impact of volatility in financial and capital markets.」

    The sources of uncertainty in the overseas business environment have been reorganized from the previous focus on the situation in Ukraine, high resource prices, and logistics disruptions to inflation and high interest rates in Europe and the United States, China's real estate market, the situation in the Middle East, and volatility in financial and capital markets.
  7. FY2024WorsenedAnnual report

    「In the global economy, economic growth slowed against a backdrop of higher resource prices associated with the Ukraine crisis, persistently high policy rates in Europe and the United States, rising government debt and a sluggish real estate market in China, and heightened geopolitical risks resulting from conflict in the Middle East.」

    In addition to the situation in Ukraine, monetary tightening, and concerns about the Chinese economy, geopolitical risks resulting from conflict in the Middle East were specifically identified.
  8. FY2024-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「In the global economy, growth slowed against a backdrop of higher resource prices associated with the Ukraine crisis, persistently high policy rates in Europe and the United States, and rising government debt and a sluggish real estate market in China.」

    Uncertainty in the overseas business environment continues to be identified, including the Ukraine crisis, persistently high policy rates in Europe and the United States, and rising government debt and a sluggish real estate market in China.
  9. FY2024-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「In the global economy, higher resource prices associated with the Ukraine crisis and concerns about an economic downturn caused by persistently high policy rates in Europe and the United States weighed on the outlook, while growth slowed in China against a backdrop of rising government debt and a sluggish real estate market.」

    Uncertainty in the overseas business environment continues to be identified, including the Ukraine crisis, persistently high policy rates in Europe and the United States, and slowing growth in China.
  10. FY2024-Q1RestatedAnnual report

    「During the first quarter of the current consolidated fiscal year (1 April 2023 to 30 June 2023), Japan's economy was moving toward normalization of economic activity as restrictions on behavior related to COVID-19 were eased and COVID-19 was reclassified as a Category V disease under the Infectious Diseases Control Law. However, the outlook remained uncertain due to the prolonged situation in Ukraine, soaring resource and raw material prices, and higher prices resulting from the yen's depreciation.」

    The external environment remains uncertain, including the situation in Ukraine, soaring resource and raw material prices, and higher prices resulting from the yen's depreciation.
  11. FY2023RestatedAnnual report

    「In the global economy, uncertainty about the outlook continued due to the impact of geopolitical risks, including heightened tensions between the United States and China and the prolonged situation in Ukraine. In Europe and the United States, economic slowdown was a concern as monetary policy was rapidly tightened to contain inflation and stabilize prices.」

    The external environment remains uncertain, including relations between the United States and China, the situation in Ukraine, monetary tightening in Europe and the United States, and concerns about an economic slowdown.
  12. FY2023-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「In the global economy, uncertainty about the outlook continued due to the impact of geopolitical risks, including heightened tensions between the United States and China and the prolonged situation in Ukraine. In Europe and the United States, economic slowdown was a concern as monetary policy was tightened to contain inflation.」

    In addition to the situation between Russia and Ukraine and disruptions to logistics, heightened tensions between the United States and China, monetary tightening in Europe and the United States, and concerns about an economic slowdown were identified as sources of uncertainty in the external environment.
  13. FY2023-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「The global economy remained in an uncertain state due to disruptions in logistics caused by lockdowns in various parts of China and the prolonged Russia-Ukraine situation, soaring energy prices and maritime transportation costs, and fluctuations in foreign exchange rates caused by a sharp depreciation of the yen.」

    The external environment remains uncertain, including lockdowns across China, the situation between Russia and Ukraine, disruptions to logistics, higher energy prices and ocean freight rates, and the rapid depreciation of the yen.
  14. FY2023-Q1ReframedAnnual report

    「The global economy remained in an uncertain state due to disruptions in logistics caused by lockdowns in some regions and the prolonged Russia-Ukraine situation, soaring energy prices and maritime transportation costs, and fluctuations in foreign exchange rates caused by a sharp depreciation of the yen.」

    The focus shifted from the previous external risks centered on trade friction and conditions in the Middle East to risks including the prolonged Russia-Ukraine situation, logistics disruptions, and soaring energy prices and maritime transportation costs.
  15. FY2021DroppedAnnual report

    「The principal risks among the matters concerning the business and accounting conditions described in the annual securities report that management recognizes could materially affect the financial position, operating results and cash flows of the consolidated companies are as follows.」

    The geopolitical risks relating to trade friction and the Middle East previously disclosed were not listed separately in this year's list of major risks.
  16. FY2021-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「There were no newly arising business or other risks during the cumulative consolidated period for the second quarter. Nor were there any material changes to the business or other risks described in the securities report for the previous fiscal year.」

    The company stated that there had been no material change in overseas business-environment risks, including trade friction and conditions in the Middle East.
  17. FY2020-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「Although the US economy remained firm, concerns arose over downside risks including a slowdown in the Chinese economy resulting from prolonged trade issues and conditions in the Middle East.」

    A slowdown in the Chinese economy resulting from prolonged trade issues and conditions in the Middle East were explicitly identified as downside risks, making the factors contributing to uncertainty in the external environment more specific.
  18. FY2020-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「Although the US economy remained firm, concerns arose over the impact of tensions surrounding trade issues on the global economy.」

    The company continued to identify the impact of tensions surrounding US trade issues on the global economy as an uncertain factor.
  19. FY2020-Q1RestatedAnnual report

    「Although the US economy remained firm, conditions remained uncertain due to the impact of developments in US trade policy on the global economy and geopolitical risks in the Middle East.」

    The company continued to identify the impact of US trade policy on the global economy and geopolitical risks in the Middle East as uncertain factors.
  20. FY2019WorsenedAnnual report

    「Regarding the recent business environment, demand in the domestic market is expected to remain stable, supported by redevelopment in the Tokyo metropolitan area, infrastructure development and disaster recovery, but overseas risks, including US-China trade friction and the UK's withdrawal from the EU, are a concern.」

    The scope of the risks explicitly identified expanded from the previous concerns about US trade policy to overseas risks including US-China trade friction and the UK's withdrawal from the EU.
  21. FY2019-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「Although the US economy remained firm, concerns arose over the impact on economies around the world of developments in US trade policy.」

    The company continued to express concern about the impact of US trade policy on the global economy.
  22. FY2019-Q1First statedAnnual report

    「Although the global economy was generally on a gradual recovery path, conditions remained uncertain due to concerns about an escalation in trade friction arising from protectionism and geopolitical risks in the Middle East.」

    The company identified concerns about escalating trade friction and geopolitical risks in the Middle East as uncertain factors affecting the external environment for the global economy for the first time.
Moved together

"Foreign-exchange risk associated with overseas sales" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 9 of its 22 moves.

994332★123456
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Foreign-exchange risk associated with overseas sales9×
  3. 2Risk of fluctuations in raw material prices, including iron, copper and crude oil9×
  4. 3Market-Price Volatility Risk in Investment Securities4×
  5. 4Demand Risk from Fluctuations in Construction Investment and Private Capital Investment3×
  6. 5Impact of Labor Shortages on Business Operations3×
  7. 6Revenue, Operating Profit and ROE Targets under Medium-Term Vision 20272×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

When this could move next
No upcoming earnings preview for Airman yet. It last moved in the Revisions to earnings forecasts of 2026-07-30: "Mitigated".
News
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Greater Uncertainty in the Business Environment Due to Trade Frictions and Geopolitical Risks in the Middle East | AIRMAN CORPORATION (6364) | Komori