Risk of a Domestic Economic Downturn Due to a Slowdown in Overseas Economies
First written in FY2017-Q1. 21 of 34 entries say "Worsened", first in FY2017-Q2. Latest entry: FY2027-H1.
Ishii Hyoki moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2018, 1 year before the typical company in this theme (2019).
The whole theme swung hardest in 2020: 137 of 154 companies on the "Worse" side.
46 other companies' latest entry also says "Worsened".
- FY2027-H1WorsenedAnnual report
「At the same time, US policy developments and the surge in energy and crude oil-based raw material prices resulting from heightened tensions in the Middle East pose downside risks to the economy, and the outlook remains uncertain.」
In addition to the existing uncertainty surrounding US policy and overseas conditions, the company identified heightened tensions in the Middle East and soaring energy and crude oil-based raw material prices as downside risks to the economy. - FY2026-H1WorsenedAnnual report
「At the same time, prices have continued to rise, while stagnant personal consumption and the impact of US trade policy pose downside risks to the Japanese economy, leaving the outlook uncertain.」
In addition to the previously cited uncertainties concerning overseas conditions, the Chinese economy and foreign exchange, the company explicitly identified rising prices, stagnant personal consumption, and downside risks to the economy from US trade policy. - FY2025WorsenedAnnual report
「At the same time, the outlook remains uncertain owing to the prolonged instability overseas, including the conflict in the Middle East and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the stagnation of the Chinese economy, volatile foreign exchange markets, and future US policy developments.」
In addition to the previously cited uncertainties concerning overseas conditions, the Chinese economy and foreign exchange, the company explicitly identified future US policy developments. - FY2025-H1WorsenedAnnual report
「During the interim consolidated accounting period, the Japanese economy continued to recover moderately, supported by improvements in employment and income conditions and the sustained recovery in inbound demand. At the same time, the outlook remains uncertain owing to the continued instability overseas, including the prolonged conflict in the Middle East and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, developments in policy rates following the Bank of Japan’s review of its monetary policy, and volatile foreign exchange markets.」
In addition to the previously cited Middle East and Ukraine situations, the company explicitly identified developments in policy rates following the Bank of Japan’s review of its monetary policy and volatile foreign exchange markets as uncertainties. - FY2025-Q1WorsenedAnnual report
「The outlook remains uncertain owing to the continued instability overseas, including the prolonged conflict in the Middle East and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, as well as rising prices for raw materials and other items and mounting pressure for higher interest rates against the backdrop of yen depreciation.」
In addition to the Middle East and Ukraine situations and yen depreciation, the company cited rising prices for raw materials and other items and mounting pressure for higher interest rates as uncertainties. - FY2024WorsenedAnnual report
「At the same time, the outlook remains uncertain, owing to the prolonged Russia-Ukraine situation, heightened geopolitical risks in the Middle East, the slowdown in the Chinese economy, and rising prices accompanying the yen’s depreciation.」
In addition to the previously cited Russia-Ukraine situation and yen depreciation, the company explicitly identified the slowdown in the Chinese economy, geopolitical risks in the Middle East, and rising prices accompanying yen depreciation as uncertainties. - FY2024-Q3WorsenedAnnual report
「At the same time, the outlook remains uncertain, owing to the prolonged Russia-Ukraine situation, heightened geopolitical risks in the Middle East, and rising prices accompanying the yen’s depreciation.」
In addition to the previously cited Russia-Ukraine situation and yen depreciation, the company explicitly identified heightened geopolitical risks in the Middle East and rising prices accompanying yen depreciation as uncertainties. - FY2024-Q2ReframedAnnual report
「During the cumulative second quarter under review, progress toward normalizing economic activity accelerated as the classification of COVID-19 under the Infectious Diseases Control Law was changed to Category 5. However, the outlook remained uncertain as geopolitical risks from Russia's invasion of Ukraine and policy rate hikes, particularly in Europe and the United States, continued to pose downside risks to the global economy.」
While economic activity continued to normalize following the reclassification of COVID-19 as a Class 5 infectious disease, the focus of risk has shifted to geopolitical risks arising from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and policy rate hikes in the US and Europe. - FY2024-Q1WorsenedAnnual report
「During the cumulative first quarter under review, Japan's economy moved toward normalization as restrictions on activity due to COVID-19 were eased. However, the continued rise in resource prices caused by Russia's invasion of Ukraine and financial concerns originating in the United States posed downside risks to the global economy, and the outlook remained uncertain.」
While the easing of activity restrictions and progress toward economic normalization were noted, the continued rise in resource prices caused by Russia's invasion of Ukraine and financial concerns originating in the United States were specified as new downside risks to the global economy. - FY2023RestatedAnnual report
「During the consolidated fiscal year under review, Japan's economy showed signs of a gradual recovery as restrictions on activity due to COVID-19 were eased. However, the outlook remained uncertain due to higher energy and raw material prices associated with international conditions, including Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and significant foreign exchange fluctuations caused by US policy rate hikes.」
While the easing of activity restrictions and signs of an economic recovery were noted, the situation in Ukraine, higher energy and raw material prices and foreign exchange fluctuations caused by US rate hikes continued to be identified as sources of uncertainty. - FY2023-Q3WorsenedAnnual report
「During the cumulative third quarter under review, restrictions on economic activity were gradually eased as measures to control COVID-19 were relaxed, but the outlook remained uncertain due to higher energy and raw material prices associated with international conditions, including intermittent restrictions on economic activity in China and Russia's invasion of Ukraine, as well as significant foreign exchange fluctuations caused by US policy rate hikes. As new infections increased again, concern grew that the pandemic was entering its eighth wave, requiring attention to its potential impact on future economic activity.」
In addition to restrictions on economic activity in China, higher energy and raw material prices related to the invasion of Ukraine and significant foreign exchange fluctuations caused by US rate hikes, concern about the eighth wave was specified, expanding the factors contributing to uncertainty in the external environment. - FY2023-Q2WorsenedAnnual report
「During the cumulative second quarter under review, Japan's economy was expected to move toward normalization as restrictions on activity to control COVID-19 were eased. However, the outlook remained uncertain due to a weaker yen related to international conditions, including restrictions on economic activity in China and the prolonged situation in Ukraine, as well as higher energy and raw material prices.」
Restrictions on economic activity in China, the prolonged situation in Ukraine, yen depreciation and higher energy and raw material prices were additionally specified as factors contributing to uncertainty about the outlook. - FY2023-Q1WorsenedAnnual report
「During the cumulative first quarter under review, expectations for an economic recovery increased as activity restrictions were eased, including through the lifting of priority preventive measures. However, the outlook remained uncertain due to the global semiconductor shortage, Russia's invasion of Ukraine and surging crude oil and raw material prices.」
In addition to the previously identified infectious disease and supply constraints, uncertainty factors including Russia's invasion of Ukraine and surging crude oil and raw material prices were specified. - FY2022-Q3ReframedAnnual report
「During the cumulative third quarter under review, Japan's economy remained in difficult conditions as the impact of COVID-19 continued intermittently. However, infections declined in September and the state of emergency was lifted from October, raising expectations for more active economic activity. At the same time, close attention is required to increasing downside risks to production activity from shortages of electronic components, including semiconductors, and surging crude oil and natural gas prices.」
The focus of the risks has shifted from economic deterioration and uncertainty caused by COVID-19 to downside risks to production activity from supply shortages and surging energy prices, while expectations for more active economic activity have emerged as infections declined and the state of emergency was lifted. - FY2022-Q2WorsenedAnnual report
「Japan's domestic economy is expected to recover as vaccinations become more widespread, but conditions remain extremely uncertain, including because the fourth state of emergency was declared in July following a renewed spread of infections.」
While recovery is expected from vaccinations, the fourth state of emergency was declared following a renewed spread of infections, making the outlook extremely uncertain. - FY2022-Q1WorsenedAnnual report
「Looking ahead, Japan's economy is expected to recover as overseas economies, particularly those of China and the United States, improve and economic activity normalizes with the start of vaccinations. However, close attention remains necessary to the increasing downside risk from the spread of infection in Japan and overseas.」
While recovery is expected from improvements in overseas economies and vaccinations, the increasing downside risk from the spread of infection in Japan and overseas continues to be specified. - FY2021-Q2RestatedAnnual report
「During the cumulative second quarter under review, Japan's economy contracted rapidly as economic activity was restricted, including through the issuance of a state of emergency in response to the spread of COVID-19. After the state of emergency was lifted, economic activity was gradually ramped up, but uncertainty about the outlook continued due to concerns about a further spread of COVID-19 and the lack of visibility on when it would be contained.」
Restrictions on economic activity, an economic downturn and the lack of visibility on when the infectious disease would be contained continue to be identified as external-environment risks. - FY2021-Q1WorsenedAnnual report
「During the cumulative first quarter under review, Japan's economy deteriorated rapidly due to the global spread of COVID-19. The timing of containment remained uncertain, raising concerns that the adverse impact on the economy could be prolonged.」
The domestic economy deteriorated rapidly due to the global spread of COVID-19, and the uncertain timing of containment raised concerns about a prolonged adverse impact. - FY2020WorsenedAnnual report
「During the consolidated fiscal year under review, Japan's economy remained on a moderate recovery trend as employment and income conditions continued to improve. However, uncertainty increased further amid concerns about a slowdown in the global economy due to the consumption tax rate increase, US-China trade friction and the spread of COVID-19.」
In addition to the previously noted US-China trade friction and slowdown in the Chinese economy, growing concerns about a slowdown in the global economy and heightened uncertainty due to the spread of COVID-19 were specified. - FY2020-Q3WorsenedAnnual report
「During the cumulative third quarter under review, Japan's economy remained on a moderate recovery trend. However, the outlook remained uncertain due to growing concerns about a slowdown in the Chinese economy associated with the prolonged US-China trade friction, uncertainty surrounding the UK's withdrawal from the EU and trends in consumer sentiment following the consumption tax increase.」
In addition to growing concerns about a slowdown in the Chinese economy, the UK's withdrawal from the EU and consumer sentiment following the consumption tax increase were specified as new sources of uncertainty, and conditions were described as remaining uncertain. - FY2020-Q2WorsenedAnnual report
「During the cumulative second quarter under review, Japan's economy maintained a moderate recovery trend, but uncertainty about the outlook increased as the slowdown in the Chinese economy associated with the prolonged US-China trade friction became apparent. Continued close attention is required to the course of US-China trade negotiations and developments in US monetary policy.」
The slowdown in the Chinese economy became apparent, and the course of US-China trade negotiations and developments in US monetary policy were newly identified as matters requiring close attention. - FY2020-Q1MaterialisedAnnual report
「In the printed circuit board business, the company is pursuing orders focused on direct sales by using overseas subsidiaries and cooperating with distributors. However, amid concerns about a slowdown in the Chinese economy, delays in capital investment have begun to emerge, requiring attention to future developments.」
The previously noted concerns about a slowdown in the Chinese economy and uncertainty in overseas economies are described as an actual situation in which delays in capital investment have emerged. - FY2019-Q3RestatedAnnual report
「However, attention is required to the impact of developments in trade issues on the global economy, uncertainty in overseas economies and volatility in financial and capital markets. In addition, close attention is required to the economic impact of the successive natural disasters.」
In addition to trade issues, uncertainty in overseas economies and volatility in financial and capital markets, the economic impact of successive natural disasters continues to be identified as an external-environment risk. - FY2019-Q2WorsenedAnnual report
「Looking ahead, a gradual recovery is expected to continue as employment and income conditions improve, supported by the effects of various policies. However, attention is required to the impact of trade issues on the global economy, uncertainty in overseas economies and volatility in financial and capital markets. In addition, close attention is required to the economic impact of the heavy rains in July 2018.」
In addition to the previously identified uncertainty in overseas economies and volatility in financial and capital markets, the economic impact of trade issues and the heavy rains in July 2018 was newly specified. - FY2019-Q1RestatedAnnual report
「However, it is necessary to remain mindful of the impact of uncertainty in overseas economies and volatility in financial and capital markets.」
Uncertainty in overseas economies and volatility in financial and capital markets continue to be treated as external-environment risks. - FY2018WorsenedAnnual report
「However, attention is required to the impact of uncertainty in overseas economies, volatility in financial and capital markets and geopolitical risks.」
Geopolitical risks were specified in addition to the previously identified uncertainty in overseas economies and volatility in financial and capital markets. - FY2018-Q3RestatedAnnual report
「However, it is necessary to remain mindful of the impact of uncertainty in overseas economies and volatility in financial and capital markets.」
Uncertainty in overseas economies and volatility in financial and capital markets continue to be treated as external-environment risks. - FY2018-Q2RestatedAnnual report
「However, it is necessary to remain mindful of the impact of uncertainty in overseas economies and volatility in financial and capital markets.」
Uncertainty in overseas economies and volatility in financial and capital markets continue to be identified as risks. - FY2017RestatedAnnual report
「Looking ahead, a gradual recovery is expected as employment and income conditions continue to improve, supported by the effects of various policies. However, attention is required to the impact of uncertainty in overseas economies and volatility in financial and capital markets.」
Uncertainty in overseas economies and volatility in financial and capital markets were identified as external-environment risks for the full year as well. - FY2017-Q3RestatedAnnual report
「Weakness has emerged in overseas economies, and attention is required to the risk that an economic downturn in emerging Asian economies, including China, could weigh on Japan's economy, as well as to the impact of growing uncertainty in overseas economies, including the UK's withdrawal from the EU, and volatility in financial and capital markets.」
An economic downturn in China and emerging Asian economies, the UK's withdrawal from the EU, uncertainty in overseas economies and volatility in financial and capital markets continue to be identified as risks. - FY2017-Q2WorsenedAnnual report
「Weakness has emerged in overseas economies, and attention is required to the risk that an economic downturn in emerging Asian economies, including China, and resource-rich countries could weigh on Japan's economy, as well as to the impact of growing uncertainty in overseas economies, including the UK's withdrawal from the EU, and volatility in financial and capital markets.」
In addition to the previously identified risk of an economic downturn in China and emerging Asian economies, the UK's withdrawal from the EU, uncertainty in overseas economies and volatility in financial and capital markets were specified. - FY2017-Q1First statedAnnual report
「Weakness has emerged in overseas economies, and attention is required to the risk that an economic downturn in emerging Asian economies, including China, and resource-rich countries could weigh on Japan's economy.」
A downturn in China, emerging Asian economies and resource-rich countries was identified as an external-environment risk.