The Semiconductor Market’s Silicon Cycle and Fluctuations in Customer Capital Spending
First written in FY2016. 22 of 41 entries say "Materialised", first in FY2017-Q1. Latest entry: 2026-10-22.
Disco moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2016, 3 years before the typical company in this theme (2019).
The whole theme swung hardest in 2019: 41 of 56 companies on the "Worse" side.
11 other companies' latest entry also says "Restated".
- FY2026MaterialisedAnnual report
「During the current consolidated fiscal year, investment in data centers continued to expand against the backdrop of growing demand for generative AI, and demand for high-performance semiconductors such as advanced logic and HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) remained high. While demand for PCs and smartphones showed a gradual recovery, power semiconductors showed weakness against the backdrop of slowing EV demand, resulting in differences in conditions by application.」
Application-specific fluctuations in the semiconductor market became evident in actual results, with investment in generative AI, advanced logic and HBM applications expanding, while demand for power semiconductors weakened against the backdrop of slowing EV demand. - FY2026-H1MaterialisedAnnual report
「During the current interim consolidated accounting period (the “current period”), demand for semiconductors used in smartphones and PCs had not recovered fully, while high demand continued, led by generative AI applications.」
While demand for semiconductors used in smartphones and PCs had not recovered, application-specific market fluctuations continued to emerge during the current interim consolidated accounting period, with demand concentrated in generative AI applications. - FY2025MaterialisedAnnual report
「During the current consolidated fiscal year (the “current period”), full-scale recovery in demand for end products such as smartphones and PCs remained absent, while high levels of equipment investment continued in certain applications, including power semiconductors for EVs and high-performance semiconductors related to generative AI.」
While demand for smartphones and PCs did not recover, full-year market fluctuations were evident, with investment concentrated in certain applications such as power semiconductors for EVs and generative AI-related applications. - FY2025-H1MaterialisedAnnual report
「During the current interim consolidated accounting period (the “current period”), equipment investment for semiconductors used in smartphones and PCs remained sluggish, while active investment was seen in specific applications, including generative AI-related applications.」
The market showed actual fluctuations, with sluggish equipment investment for smartphones and PCs and investment concentrated in specific applications such as generative AI. Meanwhile, shipments of precision processing equipment and tools remained high. - FY2024MaterialisedAnnual report
「During the current consolidated fiscal year, the semiconductor market was supported by continued demand for power semiconductors against the backdrop of the global shift to EVs and progress in decarbonization, as well as expanding demand related to generative AI, despite weak demand for semiconductors used in smartphones and PCs.」
Application-specific demand fluctuations continued, with weak demand for smartphones and PCs, while power semiconductors and generative AI-related demand supported the market. - FY2024-Q3RestatedAnnual report
「During the first nine months of the current consolidated cumulative period (the “current period”), demand for semiconductors used in smartphones and PCs remained weak, while strong demand for power semiconductors continued against the backdrop of the global shift to EVs and progress in decarbonization. Against this market backdrop, shipments of precision processing equipment remained solid, led by power semiconductor applications. Shipments of precision processing tools, which are consumables, followed an upward trend in line with customers’ equipment utilization rates.」
The market environment continued to reflect the coexistence of weak demand for smartphones and PCs and strong demand for power semiconductors against the backdrop of the shift to EVs and decarbonization. Equipment shipments remained solid, while precision processing tool shipments followed an upward trend in line with customer equipment utilization rates. - FY2024-Q2RestatedAnnual report
「During the first six months of the current consolidated cumulative period (the “current period”), demand for semiconductors used in smartphones and PCs remained weak, while strong demand for power semiconductors continued against the backdrop of the global shift to EVs and progress in decarbonization. Against this market backdrop, shipments of precision processing equipment remained solid, led by power semiconductor applications. Shipments of precision processing tools, which are consumables, followed a gradual upward trend in line with customers’ equipment utilization rates.」
Application-specific market fluctuations continued, with weak demand for smartphones and PCs coexisting with strong demand for power semiconductors. Equipment shipments remained solid, while precision processing tool shipments followed a gradual upward trend in line with customer equipment utilization rates. - FY2024-Q1MaterialisedAnnual report
「During the first quarter of the current consolidated cumulative period (the “current period”), demand for semiconductors used in smartphones and PCs remained weak, while strong demand for power semiconductors continued against the backdrop of the global shift to EVs and progress in decarbonization. Against this market backdrop, shipments of precision processing equipment remained solid, led by power semiconductor applications. Meanwhile, shipments of consumables, namely precision processing tools, which had continued to decline through the previous quarter, turned upward, showing signs of bottoming out.」
Application-specific market fluctuations continued, with weak demand for semiconductors used in smartphones and PCs and strong demand for power semiconductors. Shipments of precision processing tools turned upward, indicating signs of a bottom. - FY2023MaterialisedAnnual report
「During the current consolidated fiscal year (the “current period”), applications for high-volume production declined because of weaker demand for consumer devices such as smartphones and PCs. At the same time, demand for semiconductor manufacturers’ research and development applications remained solid, while strong demand for power semiconductors continued against the backdrop of the global shift to EVs and progress in decarbonization.」
While applications for high-volume production declined because of weaker demand for consumer devices, the full-year market showed application-specific variation, with demand for research and development applications and power semiconductors remaining solid. - FY2023-Q3MaterialisedAnnual report
「During the first nine months of the current consolidated cumulative period (the “current period”), the semiconductor market saw a decline in applications for high-volume production due to weaker demand for consumer devices such as smartphones and PCs. Meanwhile, strong demand for power semiconductors continued against the backdrop of the global shift to EVs and progress in decarbonization.」
Demand for high-volume production applications declined because of weaker demand for consumer devices, and application-specific fluctuations in the semiconductor market became evident. Meanwhile, demand for power semiconductors continued. - FY2023-Q2MaterialisedAnnual report
「During the first six months of the current consolidated cumulative period (the “current period”), demand for smartphones and consumer electronics weakened against the backdrop of accelerating global inflation and the slowdown in the Chinese economy, resulting in signs of deceleration in semiconductor applications for high-volume production. At the same time, strong demand for power semiconductors continued, driven by the accelerating shift to EVs, and customers’ investment appetite varied by application. Against this market backdrop, shipments of precision processing equipment remained high, led by grinders, while shipment value for precision processing tools, which are consumables, remained solid.」
The actual market environment reflected slowing demand for smartphones and consumer electronics and differences in customers’ equipment investment appetite by application, against the backdrop of global inflation and the slowdown in the Chinese economy. Meanwhile, demand for power semiconductors and grinder shipments remained strong. - FY2023-Q1RestatedAnnual report
「During the first quarter of the current consolidated cumulative period (the “current period”), customers, which are semiconductor manufacturers, generally maintained solid willingness to invest in equipment against the backdrop of semiconductor demand across a broad range of applications, including ICs and power semiconductors. Against this market backdrop, shipments of dicing saws and grinders, which are precision processing equipment, remained high. Shipment value for precision processing tools, which are consumables, also remained solid in line with customers’ equipment utilization rates and other factors.」
Against the backdrop of demand across a broad range of applications, including ICs and power semiconductors, customer willingness to invest in equipment, equipment shipments and precision processing tool shipments remained solid or high. No disappearance of demand volatility risk from the silicon cycle itself has been indicated. - FY2022RestatedAnnual report
「As our group manufactures and sells products to semiconductor and electronic component manufacturers worldwide, it is affected by customers’ equipment investment and production trends. In particular, semiconductors are a market that changes according to the balance between supply and demand, and semiconductor manufacturers’ performance is affected by these movements, commonly known as the silicon cycle. Accordingly, if customers freeze equipment investment or reduce production because of a downcycle or unexpected market volatility, this could adversely affect our group’s performance.」
Although semiconductor demand and equipment investment were strong during the current period, the company continues to explicitly identify the risk that the silicon cycle and fluctuations in customers’ equipment investment could affect performance. - FY2022-Q3RestatedAnnual report
「During the first nine months of the current consolidated fiscal year (the “current period”), the market environment was affected by supply chain disruptions and supply constraints caused by COVID-19. Nevertheless, robust semiconductor demand continued across a broad range of applications, including 5G-related products and automotive applications, against the backdrop of accelerating global decarbonization. Against this market backdrop, customers, which are semiconductor manufacturers, continued to actively invest in equipment, resulting in high shipment levels for both dicing saws and grinders, which are precision processing equipment. In addition, customers’ equipment utilization rates remained high, supporting continued strong shipment value for precision processing tools, which are consumables.」
Although the impact of supply constraints was evident, semiconductor demand, customer equipment investment and equipment utilization rates remained high, and shipments of equipment and precision processing tools remained strong. No disappearance of market-cycle volatility risk itself has been indicated. - FY2022-Q2RestatedAnnual report
「Against this market backdrop, customers, which are semiconductor manufacturers, continued to actively invest in equipment. Shipments of dicing saws and grinders, which are precision processing equipment, remained at high levels, particularly in Asia. In addition, customers’ equipment utilization rates remained high, supporting continued solid shipment value for precision processing tools, which are consumables.」
Semiconductor manufacturers’ equipment investment and customer equipment utilization rates remained high, while shipments of equipment and precision processing tools also continued at high or solid levels. No disappearance of market volatility risk itself has been indicated. - FY2022-Q1Quarterly record sales driven by expanding semiconductor demand and equipment shipmentsAnnual report
「During the first quarter of the current consolidated cumulative period (the “current period”), semiconductor demand continued to expand from the previous quarter across a broad range of applications, including consumer electronics and automotive, driven by the spread of 5G and growing stay-at-home demand amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Against this market backdrop, customers, which are semiconductor manufacturers, continued to show strong willingness to invest in equipment. Shipments of dicing saws and grinders, which are precision processing equipment, remained strong, particularly in Asia, and shipment value reached a new quarterly high. In addition, customers’ equipment utilization rates remained high, supporting solid shipment value for precision processing tools, which are consumables.」
Semiconductor demand expanded against the backdrop of 5G adoption and growing stay-at-home demand, while customers’ willingness to invest in equipment and equipment utilization rates remained high. Shipment value for precision processing equipment reached a new quarterly high, although no disappearance of market volatility risk itself has been indicated. - FY2021Record performance driven by robust capital investment and high equipment utilizationAnnual report
「Against this market backdrop, semiconductor manufacturers, our customers, maintained strong investment appetite throughout the fiscal year, and shipments of dicing saws and grinders, which are precision machining equipment, remained strong, mainly for Asia. In addition, shipments of precision machining tools, which are consumables, increased substantially as customer equipment utilization remained high.」
Semiconductor manufacturers' investment appetite and customer equipment utilization remained high throughout the fiscal year, and shipments of equipment and tools were strong. The disclosure does not indicate that market fluctuation risks themselves have disappeared. - FY2021-Q3RestatedAnnual report
「During the cumulative third quarter of the current fiscal year (the "period"), shipments of both dicing saws and grinders, which are precision machining equipment, continued at high levels, mainly for semiconductor mass-production applications in Asia, as 5G-related markets expanded. Shipments of precision machining tools, which are consumables, remained firm as customer equipment utilization increased.」
Against a backdrop of expanding 5G-related markets, equipment shipments for semiconductor mass-production applications continued at high levels, while shipments of precision machining tools remained firm as customer equipment utilization increased. - FY2021-Q2High-level shipments driven by 5G-related demand and customer inventory build-upAnnual report
「During the cumulative second quarter of the current fiscal year (the "period"), shipments of both dicing saws and grinders, which are precision machining equipment, continued at exceptionally high levels for semiconductor mass-production applications against a backdrop of expanding 5G-related markets, mainly in Asia. Shipments of precision machining tools, which are consumables, also remained at a high level, as customers not only maintained high equipment utilization but also increased inventories in response to the impact of the novel coronavirus and other factors.」
Shipments of equipment for semiconductor mass-production applications remained at high levels against a backdrop of expanding 5G-related markets. Customer inventory build-up due to the impact of the novel coronavirus and other factors was also cited as a factor behind the high level of precision machining tool shipments. - FY2021-Q1High-level shipments driven by 5G-related demandAnnual report
「During the period, demand increased across the semiconductor industry, particularly for smartphones and base stations related to 5G, and customer capital investment remained at a high level. Although the impact of the novel coronavirus was a concern, customers did not alter their investment plans. As a result, shipments of our precision machining equipment increased substantially, mainly for semiconductor mass-production applications, reaching a record quarterly shipment value. Shipments of precision machining tools, which are consumables, continued at high levels for both dicing blades and grinding wheels, as demand steadily increased in line with customers' high equipment utilization.」
Semiconductor demand, including 5G-related demand, and customer capital investment remained at high levels, and equipment shipments for mass-production applications reached a quarterly record. The disclosure does not indicate that market-cycle fluctuation risks themselves have disappeared. - FY2020RestatedAnnual report
「Although semiconductor manufacturers, our customers, remained cautious about capital investment in the first half, shipments of precision machining equipment remained firm as investment resumed in some high-volume production applications from the second half. In addition, shipments of precision machining tools, which are consumables, remained at a high level as customer equipment utilization showed signs of recovery.」
Semiconductor manufacturers were cautious about capital investment in the first half, but investment resumed in some high-volume production applications in the second half, and equipment utilization also recovered. The disclosure does not indicate that market fluctuation risks themselves have disappeared. - FY2020-Q3Investment resumed in some high-volume production applications, and equipment utilization recoveredAnnual report
「Although semiconductor manufacturers, our customers, continued to take a cautious approach to capital investment in the first half, shipments of precision machining equipment remained firm as investment resumed in some high-volume production applications from the second half. Precision machining tools, which are consumables, remained at a relatively high level as the recovery in customer equipment utilization became more pronounced.」
Although the cautious approach to capital investment continued in the first half, investment resumed in some high-volume production applications in the second half, and customer equipment utilization also recovered. The disclosure does not indicate that market fluctuation risks have disappeared, but equipment shipments and tool demand remained firm. - FY2020-Q2MaterialisedAnnual report
「During the period, semiconductor manufacturers continued to take a cautious approach to capital investment, but some applications and projects provided support, keeping shipments of precision machining equipment firm. Precision machining tools, which are consumables, remained at a relatively high level as customers' equipment utilization showed signs of recovery.」
Semiconductor manufacturers continued to take a cautious approach to capital investment, and demand fluctuation risks related to the market cycle continued to be reflected in results. Meanwhile, some applications and projects, together with recovering customer equipment utilization, supported demand for equipment and tools. - FY2020-Q1MaterialisedAnnual report
「During the period, investment appetite declined across the semiconductor market, but some applications and projects provided support, keeping shipments of precision machining equipment firm. Precision machining tools, which are consumables, remained at a relatively high level as equipment utilization showed signs of recovery in some regions and applications.」
Although a decline in investment appetite actually occurred across the semiconductor market, some applications and projects, together with recovering equipment utilization in certain regions and applications, supported demand for equipment and tools. - FY2019MaterialisedAnnual report
「During the consolidated fiscal year (the "period"), capital investment was seen across a broad range of applications, mainly memory, in the first half, but investment appetite declined across the semiconductor industry from the second half. In addition, the absence of large-scale projects like those in the previous fiscal year contributed to a decline of just under 20% in sales of precision machining equipment, including blade dicing machines, grinders and laser saws.」
The decline in semiconductor manufacturers' investment appetite, the absence of large-scale projects and lower customer equipment utilization were reflected in actual results through lower sales of precision machining equipment and tools. - FY2019-Q3MaterialisedAnnual report
「Capital investment by semiconductor manufacturers during the cumulative third quarter (April-December; the "period") remained firm in the first half, but investment appetite declined in the second half due to seasonality and the impact of memory prices. As a result, although sales of precision machining equipment declined in the third quarter (October-December), demand remained firm in specific applications such as LEDs and power semiconductors.」
In the second half, semiconductor manufacturers' investment appetite declined due to seasonality and the impact of memory prices, and market fluctuation risks were reflected in actual results through lower sales of precision machining equipment. Meanwhile, demand remained firm in specific applications such as LEDs and power semiconductors. - FY2019-Q2MaterialisedAnnual report
「Because there were no large-scale projects of the kind seen in the previous year, sales of both precision cutting equipment (dicing machines) and precision grinding equipment (grinders) declined, and sales of precision machining equipment fell approximately 10% year on year.」
Although capital investment by semiconductor manufacturers remained relatively high, sales of precision machining equipment fell approximately 10% year on year because there were no large-scale projects as in the previous year. Fluctuations in market demand are reflected in results. - FY2019-Q1MaterialisedAnnual report
「During the cumulative first quarter of the current fiscal year (the "period"), demand was strong across semiconductor applications, particularly data centers, and semiconductor manufacturers' capital investment remained at a high level. However, equipment sales declined, mainly for blade dicing machines, because some customers reviewed the timing of their capital investment and there were no large-scale projects of the kind seen in the previous year.」
Although semiconductor demand and capital investment remained at high levels, equipment sales, mainly of blade dicing machines, actually declined because some customers reviewed the timing of their investments and there were no large-scale projects. - FY2018Robust demand and capital investmentAnnual report
「During the consolidated fiscal year (the "period"), demand for semiconductors and electronic components for smartphones and data centers was robust, resulting in strong capital investment from the beginning of the year.」
The disclosure does not indicate that market fluctuation risks have disappeared, but demand and capital investment for smartphones and data centers were robust during the period. - FY2018-Q3Sustained high-level demandAnnual report
「During the cumulative third quarter of the current fiscal year (the "period"), semiconductor manufacturers maintained strong investment appetite against a backdrop of robust semiconductor demand. Although investment declined due to seasonality after the start of the second half, capital investment remained active and substantially above the level seen in a typical year.」
Although investment declined from the previous quarter due to seasonality, semiconductor demand and capital investment remained at high levels, substantially above typical annual levels. The disclosure does not indicate that market-cycle fluctuation risks have disappeared. - FY2018-Q2Recovery in demand conditionsAnnual report
「During the cumulative second quarter of the current fiscal year (the "period"), capital investment was active across Japan, the United States and Europe, as well as Asia. Sales of precision machining equipment increased approximately 50% year on year, as shipments of both precision cutting equipment (dicing machines) and precision grinding equipment (grinders) remained firm across a broad range of semiconductor and non-semiconductor applications, particularly memory applications.」
The geographic and application mix of customer capital investment broadened, and sales of precision machining equipment increased approximately 50% year on year. The company did not state that market fluctuation risks had disappeared or diminished, but demand conditions improved during the quarter. - FY2017MaterialisedAnnual report
「Although both precision cutting equipment (dicing machines) and precision grinding equipment (grinders) remained firm for memory applications, sales of precision machining equipment declined approximately 4% due to decreases in applications for electronic components and optoelectronics, which had performed well in the previous fiscal year.」
Changes in customers' capital investment and demand mix were reflected in full-year results. Sales of precision machining equipment fell approximately 4% as the decline in electronic component and optoelectronics applications outweighed firm memory demand. - FY2017-Q3MaterialisedAnnual report
「Capital investment for memory applications, which became active mainly in Asia during the first half, remained firm from October onward. Sales of precision machining equipment in the third quarter (October-December) declined from the previous quarter, but shipments for memory applications supported both precision cutting equipment (dicing machines) and precision grinding equipment (grinders), keeping sales at a relatively high level.」
Fluctuations in customer capital investment continued, and investment for memory applications remained firm, while third-quarter sales of precision machining equipment declined from the previous quarter. Changes in the demand mix resulting from the market cycle are reflected in results. - FY2017-Q2MaterialisedAnnual report
「During the cumulative second quarter of the current fiscal year (the "period"), capital investment by semiconductor manufacturers became more active, mainly in Asia. Although demand for electronic component applications was weak during the period, demand for precision cutting equipment (dicing machines) and precision grinding equipment (grinders), mainly for memory applications, remained firm, resulting in precision machining equipment sales declining approximately 10% year on year.」
Although capital investment became more active in Asia, demand for electronic component applications was weak, and sales of precision machining equipment fell approximately 10% year on year. Changes in customers' capital investment and demand mix continue to be reflected in results. - FY2017-Q1MaterialisedAnnual report
「Capital investment gradually picked up in some parts of Asia. Sales of precision machining equipment fell approximately 20% year on year, as shipments of precision cutting equipment (dicing machines) and precision grinding equipment (grinders) were firm for logic IC applications, while shipments for electronic components and memory applications were weak.」
Variations in customers' capital investment and production trends were reflected in actual shipments, with sales of precision machining equipment falling approximately 20% year on year, mainly for electronic component and memory applications. - FY2016First statedAnnual report
「Because our group manufactures and sells products to semiconductor and electronic component manufacturers worldwide, we are affected by trends in customers' capital investment and production. In particular, the semiconductor market changes according to the balance between supply and demand, and the performance of semiconductor manufacturers is affected by these movements, known as the silicon cycle.」
The company identifies a downturn in the market cycle leading to customers freezing capital investment and cutting production as a major risk to performance.