Exposure to declining demand in the steel industry, excess production in China, and a slowdown in the global economy
First written in FY2016. 20 of 36 entries say "Worsened", first in FY2017-Q3. Latest entry: 2026-08-10.
Shinagawa Refra moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2019, 1 year before the typical company in this theme (2020).
The whole theme swung hardest in 2024: 8 of 13 companies on the "Worse" side.
1 other company's latest entry also says "Mitigated".
- 2026-08-10MitigatedEarnings presentation
「Domestic crude steel production in the first quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2027 was 20.35 million tons, up 1.0% year on year.」
Domestic crude steel production increased year on year in the first quarter, reversing the declining trend seen previously. However, this does not indicate that overall demand-decline risks have been eliminated. - FY2026WorsenedAnnual report
「Meanwhile, in Japan's steel industry, a major business partner of the Group, demand for construction, automobiles and exports generally remained weak. As a result, full-year domestic crude steel production declined 3.2% year on year to 80.33 million tonnes.」
Demand from Japan's steel industry for construction, automobiles and exports weakened, and domestic crude steel production declined 3.2% year on year. - FY2026-H1WorsenedAnnual report
「Meanwhile, in the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, domestic crude steel production in the interim consolidated accounting period declined 4.2% year on year to 40.08 million tonnes due to factors including weak domestic steel demand from the automotive and construction sectors and for export.」
Weak steel demand from the automotive and construction sectors and for export caused domestic crude steel production to decline 4.2% year on year. Although the business and other risks section states that there have been no significant changes, the deterioration in demand conditions during the interim consolidated accounting period is shown in specific figures. - FY2025WorsenedAnnual report
「In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, domestic crude steel production declined 4.5% year on year to 82.95 million tonnes for the full year due to factors including weak steel demand from domestic manufacturers and the construction sector.」
Weak demand in the steel industry caused domestic crude steel production to decline 4.5% year on year, leading to lower sales volumes of refractories and lower revenue and profit in the refractories segment. - FY2025-H1WorsenedAnnual report
「Domestic crude steel production in the interim consolidated accounting period declined 4.4% year on year to 41.84 million tonnes. In addition to the decline in domestic crude steel production, operating problems occurred at a customer in Australia, while in Brazil customer activity levels declined due to an influx of Chinese-made steel products.」
Domestic crude steel production in the steel industry declined 4.4% year on year, while operating problems at a customer in Australia and lower customer activity levels in Brazil due to an influx of Chinese-made steel products also occurred. This demonstrates deterioration in the external environment related to dependence on steel demand and the global economy. - FY2024WorsenedAnnual report
「In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, automotive steel demand recovered, but export demand for steel remained weak. As a result, full-year domestic crude steel production declined 1.1% year on year to 86.83 million tonnes.」
Although demand for automobiles recovered, weak export demand resulted in a 1.1% year-on-year decline in full-year domestic crude steel production. - FY2024-Q3WorsenedAnnual report
「The global economy remained subject to uncertainty about the outlook due to the impact of global monetary tightening, the prolonged Russian invasion of Ukraine and geopolitical risks related to the situation in the Middle East, despite the recovery of economic activity from the COVID-19 pandemic. In Japan, personal consumption and corporate capital investment and production activity showed signs of recovery amid improving employment conditions. However, somewhat more cautious views of the outlook for business conditions became widespread as the yen remained on a depreciating trend, primarily due to the widening interest-rate differential between Japan and the United States. In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, domestic crude steel production in the cumulative third quarter declined 1.3% year on year to 65.37 million tonnes due to factors including weak export demand for steel, despite a recovery in automotive steel demand.」
The company explains that monetary tightening, the prolonged situation in Ukraine and the situation in the Middle East added to uncertainty, while domestic crude steel production in the steel industry declined 1.3% year on year. - FY2024-Q2RestatedAnnual report
「The global economy remained subject to uncertainty about the outlook due to the unstable international situation, including prolonged inflation in various countries and Russia's protracted invasion of Ukraine, although economic activity was recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic. In Japan, personal consumption and corporate capital investment and production activity showed signs of recovery amid improving employment conditions and the effects of various policies. However, the yen continued to depreciate as the interest-rate differential between Japan and the United States widened, and somewhat more cautious views of the outlook for business conditions became widespread. In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, domestic crude steel production in the cumulative second quarter declined 2.3% year on year to 43.76 million tonnes due to factors including weak construction demand, despite a recovery in steel demand for automobiles.」
While international instability and inflation continued, the steel industry saw a recovery in demand for automobiles coexist with weak construction demand, and domestic crude steel production declined 2.3% year on year. - FY2024-Q1WorsenedAnnual report
「The global economy remained subject to uncertainty about the outlook due to accelerating inflation in various countries, the prolonged situation in Ukraine and geopolitical risks in East Asia.」
Inflation, the prolonged situation in Ukraine and geopolitical risks in East Asia are cited as sources of uncertainty in the external environment. In addition, domestic crude steel production declined 3.4% year on year to 22.21 million tonnes. - FY2023-Q3WorsenedAnnual report
「The global economy showed signs of recovery from the downturn caused by COVID-19, but remained unstable due to inflation, primarily in resource prices, arising from the prolonged situation in Ukraine, tighter lockdowns in China and other factors. The Japanese economy also showed continued signs of recovery in corporate capital investment and personal consumption, with corporate earnings tending to improve. However, corporate and consumer prices rose, and somewhat more cautious views of the outlook for business conditions became widespread due to the rapid depreciation of the yen accompanying tighter financial conditions in major Western countries. In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, domestic crude steel production in the cumulative third quarter declined 8.8% year on year to 66.22 million tonnes, partly due to the impact of automobile production cuts resulting from semiconductor supply constraints.」
The company explains that factors contributing to global economic instability continued, while domestic crude steel production in the steel industry, the largest source of demand, declined 8.8% year on year. - FY2023-Q2WorsenedAnnual report
「The global economy showed signs of recovery from the downturn caused by COVID-19, but remained unstable due to inflation, primarily in resource prices, arising from the prolonged situation in Ukraine, tighter lockdowns in China and other factors. In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, domestic crude steel production in the cumulative second quarter declined 7.5% year on year to 44.80 million tonnes, partly due to the impact of automobile production cuts resulting from semiconductor component supply constraints.」
The company explains that the prolonged situation in Ukraine, lockdowns in China, and rising resource prices and inflation contributed to a 7.5% year-on-year decline in domestic crude steel production in the steel industry, the largest source of demand. - FY2023-Q1WorsenedAnnual report
「The global economy showed signs of recovery from the downturn caused by COVID-19, but uncertainty about the outlook continued due to ongoing infections, primarily from new variants, rising resource prices and supply constraints arising from the prolonged situation in Ukraine, and volatility in financial and capital markets and foreign exchange markets. The Japanese economy also showed continued signs of recovery in corporate capital investment and personal consumption, with corporate earnings tending to improve. However, corporate and consumer prices rose, and somewhat more cautious views of the outlook for business conditions became widespread. In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, domestic crude steel production in the cumulative first quarter declined 5.6% year on year to 22.99 million tonnes, partly due to the impact of automobile production cuts resulting from semiconductor component supply constraints.」
The prolonged situation in Ukraine, rising resource prices and supply constraints continued, while domestic crude steel production in the steel industry, the largest source of demand, declined 5.6% year on year. - FY2022WorsenedAnnual report
「The global economy showed signs of recovery from the downturn caused by COVID-19, but uncertainty about the outlook continued due to ongoing infections, primarily from new variants, rising resource prices and supply constraints arising from the situation in Ukraine, and volatility in financial and capital markets and foreign exchange markets.」
Although the economy showed signs of recovery, ongoing infections, the situation in Ukraine, rising resource prices, supply constraints and market volatility added to external-environment risks. - FY2022-Q3RestatedAnnual report
「The global economy showed signs of recovery from the downturn caused by COVID-19, but uncertainty about the outlook continued due to renewed infections, primarily from new variants, semiconductor shortages and supply chain disruptions. The Japanese economy also remained subject to these uncertainties, although signs of recovery began to emerge in personal consumption, corporate capital investment and production activity. In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, domestic crude steel production in the cumulative third quarter increased 22.9% year on year to 72.62 million tonnes.」
The company explains that although economic activity and domestic crude steel production showed signs of recovery, uncertainty about the outlook continued due to new variants, semiconductor shortages and supply chain disruptions. - FY2022-Q2Demand recovery coexisting with supply constraints and an uncertain outlookAnnual report
「The global economy showed signs of recovery from the downturn caused by COVID-19, but the outlook remained uncertain due to renewed infections, semiconductor shortages and supply chain disruptions. These uncertainties also affected the Japanese economy, although signs of recovery began to emerge in corporate capital investment and production activity. In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, domestic crude steel production in the first half increased 30.6% year on year to 48.42 million tonnes.」
The global and Japanese economies showed signs of recovery, and domestic crude steel production also increased 30.6% year on year. At the same time, the report notes continued uncertainty about the outlook due to renewed infections, semiconductor shortages and supply chain disruptions. - FY2022-Q1Steel production recovered year on yearAnnual report
「In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, domestic crude steel production in the cumulative first quarter increased 34.4% year on year to 24.35 million tonnes, reflecting the recovery of overseas economies from the sharp decline in steel demand in the previous year's corresponding period.」
Against the backdrop of recovering overseas economies, domestic crude steel production in the steel industry, the largest source of demand, increased 34.4% year on year. Meanwhile, disruption and concerns caused by new COVID-19 variants continued to affect the global economy. - FY2021WorsenedAnnual report
「In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, steel demand, particularly from the automotive sector, recovered from the second half, but this was insufficient to make up for the decline in the first half. Full-year domestic crude steel production was 82.79 million tonnes, down 15.9% from the previous fiscal year, when production fell below 100 million tonnes for the first time in 10 years.」
Although some recovery in steel demand was seen, domestic crude steel production declined 15.9% from the previous fiscal year, demonstrating the full-year deterioration in demand conditions at the largest source of demand. - FY2021-Q3RestatedAnnual report
「The global economy remained subject to concerns about the outlook as economic activity stagnated due to the renewed spread of COVID-19, despite signs of recovery in some areas, including China. The Japanese economy also remained challenging due to the impact of COVID-19, although signs of recovery began to emerge in corporate production activity and exports. In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, domestic crude steel production in the cumulative third quarter declined 20.5% year on year to 59.08 million tonnes.」
The company explains that economic activity remained sluggish and concerns about the outlook continued due to the renewed spread of infections, while the decline in domestic crude steel production in the steel industry also continued. - FY2021-Q2WorsenedAnnual report
「The global economy was beginning to recover from the downturn in economic activity caused by the spread of COVID-19, but a serious situation emerged as infections began to spread again, particularly in Europe, raising concerns about the outlook. The Japanese economy also remained challenging due to the impact of COVID-19, although signs of recovery began to emerge in personal consumption, corporate production activity and exports. In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, domestic crude steel production in the first half declined 26.8% year on year to 37.10 million tonnes.」
The company explains that renewed concerns about the spread of infections emerged, while domestic crude steel production in the steel industry, the largest source of demand, also declined 26.8% year on year. - FY2021-Q1WorsenedAnnual report
「The global economy was in an extremely challenging condition during the cumulative first quarter as economic activity stagnated amid the global spread of COVID-19. The Japanese economy remained weak, with personal consumption and exports declining due to the impact of the infection, while corporate capital investment also softened. In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, domestic crude steel production in the cumulative first quarter declined 30.7% year on year to 18.10 million tonnes.」
The company explains that the global and Japanese economies stagnated due to the spread of COVID-19, while domestic crude steel production in the steel industry, the largest source of demand, also declined 30.7% year on year. - FY2020-Q3WorsenedAnnual report
「In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, domestic crude steel production in the cumulative third quarter declined 4.6% year on year to 74.31 million tonnes due to the sharp decline in demand for steel products since the second half of 2019.」
The company explains that demand for steel products fell sharply from the second half of 2019 and domestic crude steel production declined 4.6% year on year, demonstrating the deterioration in the external environment affecting steel demand. - FY2020-Q2WorsenedAnnual report
「In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, domestic crude steel production in the first half declined 3.0% year on year to 50.67 million tonnes due to the impact of natural disaster damage and other factors.」
Domestic crude steel production in the first half declined 3.0% year on year due to the impact of natural disaster damage and other factors, specifically indicating deterioration in the external environment affecting steel demand. - FY2020-Q1WorsenedAnnual report
「Crude steel production in the cumulative first quarter declined 1.7% year on year to 26.11 million tonnes.」
Weak exports, partly due to the impact of US-China trade friction, are noted, while crude steel production also declined 1.7% year on year. This specifically indicates deterioration in the external environment affecting steel demand. - FY2019-Q3RestatedAnnual report
「In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, demand from the automotive and construction materials sectors remained strong. However, production stoppages caused by natural disasters and equipment problems weighed on production, and crude steel production in the cumulative third quarter declined slightly year on year to 77.92 million tonnes (down 0.6%).」
Steel industry demand and production trends continue to be described as external factors. Crude steel production declined slightly year on year due to production stoppages caused by natural disasters and equipment problems. - FY2019-Q2RestatedAnnual report
「In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, demand for automobiles and redevelopment projects ahead of the Tokyo Olympic and Paralympic Games continued. Crude steel production in the first half was approximately in line with the previous year's level at 52.21 million tonnes (+0.3%).」
Steel industry production and demand trends continue to be described as external factors affecting demand for refractories. - FY2019-Q1RestatedAnnual report
「In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, demand for steel products from domestic manufacturers and for construction related to the Tokyo Olympics remained strong. Crude steel production in the cumulative first quarter increased 1.8% year on year to 26.57 million tonnes.」
Demand from domestic manufacturers and for Tokyo Olympics-related construction was strong, and crude steel production also increased. However, the framework of treating steel industry trends as an external business-environment risk remains unchanged. - FY2018RestatedAnnual report
「In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, domestic demand, primarily from the automotive and industrial machinery sectors, remained firm. However, steel exports declined, resulting in full-year crude steel production of 104.84 million tonnes, down 0.3% year on year.」
While domestic demand remained firm, the company reconfirms the decline in steel exports and the slight decrease in crude steel production as business-environment factors arising from its dependence on the steel industry. - FY2018-Q3RestatedAnnual report
「Although exports declined for the 11th consecutive month year on year, domestic construction demand and demand for steel products from manufacturers remained solid. Crude steel production in the cumulative third quarter therefore declined 0.6% year on year to 78.43 million tonnes, remaining almost at the same level.」
The company explains that although exports continued to decline, domestic demand remained solid and crude steel production fell only 0.6% year on year. It reiterates its existing risk assessment regarding demand conditions in the steel industry. - FY2018-Q2RestatedAnnual report
「In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, domestic demand for steel products for construction and manufacturing remained firm. However, exports lacked some strength, continuing to decline year on year, and crude steel production in the cumulative second quarter fell 1% year on year to 52.03 million tonnes.」
Domestic demand is described as firm, while weak exports and the year-on-year decline in crude steel production are cited as external factors affecting demand for refractories. - FY2018-Q1RestatedAnnual report
「In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, domestic demand for steel products for automobiles and domestic manufacturing industries, including industrial machinery, remained firm. However, exports lacked strength, continuing to decline year on year, and crude steel production in the cumulative first quarter fell 0.5% year on year to 26.08 million tonnes.」
Domestic demand in the steel industry is described as firm, while weak exports and the year-on-year decline in crude steel production are cited as external factors affecting demand for refractories. - FY2017-Q3WorsenedAnnual report
「In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, there were signs of recovery, including improving export-led market conditions and expectations for construction demand ahead of the Tokyo Olympic and Paralympic Games. However, crude steel production in the cumulative third quarter was 78.93 million tonnes, up 0.7% year on year, while profitability conditions have become more challenging recently due to sharp increases in coking coal and iron ore prices.」
The company explains that although there are signs of recovery in the steel industry, growth in crude steel production is limited and profitability conditions have worsened due to sharp increases in coking coal and iron ore prices. - FY2017-Q2RestatedAnnual report
「In the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, crude steel production began to recover from the previous year's production cuts resulting from inventory adjustments. However, demand related to construction and automobiles lacked strength, and crude steel production in the cumulative second quarter was 52.54 million tonnes, up 0.9% year on year.」
Steel industry production and demand trends continue to be described as external factors affecting demand for refractories. - FY2017-Q1RestatedAnnual report
「Crude steel production in the steel industry, the largest source of demand for the refractories industry, remained limited to 26.20 million tonnes in the cumulative first quarter, up 1.3% year on year.」
Steel industry production trends continue to be described as an external factor affecting demand for refractories. The company states that there have been no significant changes in business and other risks. - FY2016First statedAnnual report
「Exports failed to grow because overseas market conditions deteriorated due to China's overproduction and demand for related steel products, including steel pipes, declined amid lower crude oil prices. Domestic demand from the automotive and construction sectors also fell. As a result, full-year crude steel production declined 5.2% year on year to 104.18 million tonnes, and the business environment surrounding the Group remained challenging.」
The decline in crude steel production during the period and China's slowing growth are described as external factors leading to lower revenue.