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Commerce One Holdings (4496) · RiskMaterialised

Risk of Slower E-Commerce Market Growth Due to Domestic Economic Conditions and Consumer Spending Trends

First written in FY2020. 6 of 12 entries say "Worsened", first in FY2021-Q1. Latest entry: FY2023-Q3.

12entries
4years
0from disclosures
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseWorsenedFY2021-Q1 – FY2021RestatedFY2022-Q1 – FY2022-Q2WorsenedFY2022-Q3 – FY2022RestatedFY2023-Q1 – FY2023-Q22020: 320202021: 420212022: 420222023: 12023
Same theme, other companies
Weakening of the Business Base Due to Slower E-Commerce Market GrowthA theme 14 companies write about · 15 as a headwind · 0 as a tailwind

Commerce One Holdings moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2020.

The whole theme swung hardest in 2023: 2 of 6 companies on the "Worse" side.

0 other companies' latest entry also says "Materialised".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. FY2023-Q3MaterialisedAnnual report

    「As consumers returned to brick-and-mortar stores following the easing of recent activity restrictions, the growth rate of brick-and-mortar stores exceeded that of e-commerce for the first time in several years.」

    It is stated that consumers’ return to brick-and-mortar stores actually caused e-commerce growth to fall below that of brick-and-mortar stores, bringing the previously identified risk of slower e-commerce market growth to fruition.
  2. FY2023-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「On the other hand, global inflation accelerated due to surging raw-material prices and supply constraints resulting from the prolonged situation in Ukraine. Although monetary authorities in various countries implemented monetary tightening, prices continued to rise. In addition, the yen weakened substantially, primarily due to interest-rate differentials arising from differences in domestic and overseas monetary policies, and the outlook for Japan’s economy remained uncertain.」

    The outlook for Japan’s economy remained uncertain due to the situation in Ukraine, raw-material prices and supply constraints, inflation, monetary tightening and the weaker yen.
  3. FY2023-Q1RestatedAnnual report

    「During the three-month period ended the first quarter, Japan’s economy showed signs of recovery as restrictions on economic and social activity associated with the COVID-19 pandemic were eased. On the other hand, inflation accelerated due to higher raw-material prices related to the situation in Ukraine and the weaker yen. As countries significantly shifted their monetary policies in response to this global inflation, disruption in the financial and foreign exchange markets continued, and the outlook remained uncertain.」

    While economic recovery was evident, the outlook remained uncertain due to the situation in Ukraine, higher raw-material prices, the weaker yen, inflation and disruption in the financial and foreign exchange markets.
  4. FY2022WorsenedAnnual report

    「An uncertain outlook continued due to factors including accelerating inflation caused by surging crude oil and other raw-material prices resulting from economic sanctions against Russia, led by the G7 countries, following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in late February.」

    In addition to COVID-19, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, economic sanctions, surging raw-material prices and inflation were newly identified as external-environment risks.
  5. FY2022-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the nine-month period ended the third quarter, Japan’s economy remained in an uncertain situation due to the spread of COVID-19, although signs of recovery emerged in various areas against the backdrop of a recovery in the global economy and progress in vaccinations. However, uncertainty in the near term increased with the recent rapid spread of the Omicron variant.」

    It is stated that, in addition to COVID-19, the rapid spread of the Omicron variant had increased uncertainty regarding the economic outlook and near-term uncertainty.
  6. FY2022-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「During the six-month period ended the second quarter, Japan’s economy remained in a difficult situation as the emergence of COVID-19 variants increased the number of new infections, leading to the issuance of states of emergency and priority preventive measures in some areas and restricting economic activity. On the other hand, expectations for the normalization of economic activity in Japan and overseas increased as the implementation of infection-control measures and vaccinations progressed and the number of new infections declined.」

    It is stated that, while the spread of infections caused by variants and restrictions on economic activity due to states of emergency and other measures continued, expectations for normalization were also increasing against the backdrop of vaccinations and other factors.
  7. FY2022-Q1RestatedAnnual report

    「During the three-month period ended the first quarter, Japan’s economy remained in a difficult situation as the renewed spread of COVID-19 led to the reissuance of states of emergency in some regions and economic activity remained stagnant due to voluntary business closures, particularly in the food service industry. Although there were positive developments, including the expansion of vaccinations and the reopening of economic activity in Europe and the United States, the outlook remained uncertain.」

    The external environment is described as one in which the renewed spread of COVID-19, states of emergency, stagnant economic activity and an uncertain outlook continue.
  8. FY2021WorsenedAnnual report

    「Japan’s economy remained in a difficult situation during the fiscal year due to the impact of the spread of COVID-19, which had continued since the beginning of the fiscal year. In addition, the outlook remained uncertain due to the renewed spread of COVID-19, particularly in major metropolitan areas, during the fourth quarter and delays in the rollout of COVID-19 vaccinations in Japan.」

    In addition to the renewed spread of infections, delays in the domestic vaccination rollout were noted, with uncertainty regarding domestic economic conditions and consumer spending trends continuing.
  9. FY2021-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the nine-month period ended the third quarter, Japan’s economy remained in a difficult situation due to the so-called third wave of COVID-19, centered on renewed infections in major metropolitan areas. In addition, the overseas environment remained uncertain due to renewed infections, particularly in Europe and the United States.」

    It is stated that renewed infections in Japan had materialized as the “third wave” and that renewed infections overseas, particularly in Europe and the United States, were continuing, underscoring persistent uncertainty regarding economic conditions and consumer spending trends.
  10. FY2021-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the six-month period ended the second quarter, Japan’s economy remained in a difficult situation due to the impact of COVID-19. In addition, concerns about a renewed global spread of infections could not be dispelled, and an uncertain outlook continued.」

    It is stated that difficult economic conditions caused by COVID-19 continued, accompanied by concerns about a renewed global spread of infections.
  11. FY2021-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「In the internet retailing sector surrounding our group, the rapid expansion in the merchandise segment of Japan’s domestic B2C e-commerce market paused last year, although the market continued to grow alongside a rising e-commerce penetration rate. Meanwhile, concerns about a decline in domestic consumption increased following the declaration of a state of emergency in April this year due to the spread of COVID-19 in Japan.」

    The spread of COVID-19 and the state of emergency increased concerns about a decline in domestic consumption, indicating heightened external risks related to domestic economic conditions and consumer spending trends.
  12. FY2020First statedAnnual report

    「Although the domestic e-commerce market is expected to expand as described above, we recognize that it is a market in which business conditions are affected by the domestic economic environment, particularly the macroeconomic environment reflected in consumer spending trends. Accordingly, if the growth rate of the domestic e-commerce market slows or growth stagnates due to a deterioration in the domestic economic environment or other factors, this could affect our group’s financial results through a deterioration in the business conditions of the e-commerce operators that are our customers.」

    The risk that e-commerce market growth may be affected by the domestic economy and consumer spending trends is described.
Moved together

"Market Price Volatility and Investee Performance Risk Related to Strategic Shareholdings" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 3 of its 12 moves.

33★12
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Market Price Volatility and Investee Performance Risk Related to Strategic Shareholdings3×
  3. 2Business Continuity Risks Arising from Infectious Diseases, Natural Disasters, and Other Events3×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

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Risk of Slower E-Commerce Market Growth Due to Domestic Economic Conditions and Consumer Spending Trends | Commerce One Holdings Inc. (4496) | Komori