Komori
Signpost (3996) · RiskReframed

Global Economy, Overseas Policies and Geopolitical Uncertainty

First written in FY2018-Q3. 12 of 28 entries say "Worsened", first in FY2019-Q3. Latest entry: FY2027-H1.

28entries
9years
0from disclosures
Share on X
How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseWorsenedFY2020 – FY2022-Q1WorsenedFY2022-Q3 – FY2023-Q3ReframedFY2024-Q1 – FY2025-H12018: 420182019: 420192020: 420202021: 420212022: 320222023: 320232024: 320242025: 220252026: 12026
Same theme, other companies
Business uncertainty arising from protectionist trade policies and geopolitical developmentsA theme 359 companies write about · 366 as a headwind · 0 as a tailwind

Signpost moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2019, 1 year before the typical company in this theme (2020).

The whole theme swung hardest in 2022: 104 of 134 companies on the "Worse" side.

10 other companies' latest entry also says "Reframed".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Showing 14 of the 199 companies compared. The sentences above are computed from all 199.Comparing 200 of the theme's 368 threads.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. FY2027-H1ReframedAnnual report

    「The business environment surrounding the company during the current interim accounting period remained highly uncertain, as solid demand for corporate capital investment and digitalization was offset by price inflation arising from fluctuations in foreign exchange rates and trends in resource prices.」

    The discussion of external-environment risks has been refocused from the previous explanation of international conflicts, trade policies and declining real wages to the normalization of uncertainty caused by foreign exchange fluctuations, resource prices and rising prices.
  2. FY2026-H1WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the interim accounting period, the operating environment surrounding the Company became more uncertain overall due to the effects of protracted international conflicts and US trade policies, making trends in corporate performance difficult to forecast. In Japan, although the income environment has improved, rising prices have reduced real wages, leaving challenges to achieving sustainable growth.」

    External-environment risks cited include protracted international conflicts, US trade policy, and declining real wages due to rising prices, with the disclosure stating that uncertainty across the economy is increasing.
  3. FY2025RestatedAnnual report

    「During the fiscal year, the operating environment surrounding the Company was marked by continued price increases across a broad range of items, including energy and food, resulting in negative real income and sluggish personal consumption. It is also necessary to closely monitor the impact on the Japanese economy of developments in the uncertain economic policies of major foreign countries.」

    Rising prices, negative real income, sluggish personal consumption, and the economic policies of major overseas countries continue to be cited as uncertainties in the external environment.
  4. FY2025-H1ReframedAnnual report

    「During the interim accounting period, the operating environment surrounding the Company improved in terms of income, but personal consumption did not recover due to factors including rising prices and utility costs. In addition, concerns about developments in interest-rate policy and a downturn in the US and European economies have had a significant impact on exchange-rate trends and stock markets.」

    The explanation of external-environment risks has been organized around delayed recovery in personal consumption due to rising prices and utility costs, and the impact on exchange rates and stock markets of interest-rate policy and concerns about a downturn in the US and European economies. quantified is false; materialized is false.
  5. FY2025-Q1ReframedAnnual report

    「As rising prices and developments in monetary policy make the outlook for business sentiment difficult to forecast」

    The explanation of uncertainty in the external environment has been refocused from existing geopolitical, infection, and currency risks to the difficulty of forecasting business sentiment due to rising prices and developments in monetary policy.
  6. FY2024ReframedAnnual report

    「In the financial industry, for which the Company provides consulting services, expectations for improved earnings power are increasing across a broad range of sectors, including banks, securities companies, and investment management companies, in response to changes in interest-rate policy and rising stock markets.」

    The explanation of the external environment surrounding the financial industry has been reorganized to include expectations for improved earnings power from changes in interest-rate policy and rising stock markets, rather than focusing only on pressure from rising interest rates and exchange-rate fluctuations.
  7. FY2024-Q1ReframedAnnual report

    「In the financial industry, for which the Company provides consulting services, rising interest rates overseas and sharp exchange-rate fluctuations are currently putting pressure on earnings.」

    The explanation of external-environment risks has been reorganized to focus on pressure on financial-industry earnings from rising interest rates overseas and sharp exchange-rate fluctuations, in addition to existing risks related to infections, geopolitics, and inflation.
  8. FY2023RestatedAnnual report

    「On the other hand, trends in corporate performance and personal consumption are becoming increasingly uncertain due to inflation caused by sharp exchange-rate fluctuations and soaring energy and raw material prices.」

    Sharp exchange-rate fluctuations, soaring energy and raw material prices, and inflation continue to be described as uncertainties in the external environment.
  9. FY2023-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「On the other hand, conditions remain such that attention is required regarding trends in corporate earnings and personal consumption due to factors including sharp exchange-rate fluctuations and inflation caused by soaring energy and raw material prices.」

    In addition to existing risks related to infections and supply constraints, sharp exchange-rate fluctuations, soaring energy and raw material prices, and inflation are cited as external risks to corporate earnings and personal consumption.
  10. FY2023-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the second quarter cumulative period, the Japanese economy continued to show signs of recovery despite the impact of the spread of COVID-19. On the other hand, uncertainty about the outlook has increased due to supply constraints caused by a semiconductor shortage and other factors, soaring energy prices, and global inflation.」

    In addition to the infection risk, supply constraints caused by the semiconductor shortage, soaring energy prices, and global inflation are cited as factors increasing uncertainty about the outlook.
  11. FY2023-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「On the other hand, concerns remain that supply constraints caused by a global semiconductor shortage and other factors, rising geopolitical risks, and soaring energy and raw material prices will slow the recovery in corporate earnings and personal consumption, leaving the outlook difficult to forecast.」

    In addition to existing risks related to infections and trade policies, rising geopolitical risks, supply constraints caused by the semiconductor shortage, and soaring energy and raw material prices are cited as external factors that could slow the recovery in corporate earnings and personal consumption.
  12. FY2022-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the third quarter cumulative period, a state of emergency declaration was issued in April due to the spread of COVID-19, significantly affecting socioeconomic activity. Although conditions have been moving toward normalization since the declaration was lifted, the difficult-to-forecast economic environment has continued amid supply-side constraints caused by a global semiconductor shortage and other factors, soaring raw material prices, and concerns about the spread of new variants overseas.」

    In addition to the existing infection risk, supply constraints caused by a global semiconductor shortage, soaring raw material prices, and concerns about new variants have been added as uncertainties in the external environment.
  13. FY2022-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「During the second quarter cumulative period, the Japanese economy was affected by the resurgence of COVID-19, which led to the issuance of a state of emergency declaration in April that remained in effect through September. Although vaccination progressed during that period, there was still no sign that the infections would end, and the difficult economic environment continued.」

    The resurgence of infections, the continued state of emergency declaration, and the lack of a clear outlook for the end of the infections continue to be described as risks in the external environment.
  14. FY2022-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the first quarter cumulative period, personal consumption fell sharply after the third state of emergency declaration was issued in April in response to the resurgence of COVID-19 infections. Although economic activity is expected to recover as the number of vaccinated people increases, the infection trend and the pace of economic recovery remain uncertain.」

    The disclosure states that personal consumption fell sharply due to the resurgence of infections and the third state of emergency declaration, and that the infection trend and the pace of economic recovery remain uncertain.
  15. FY2021WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the fiscal year, the Japanese economy rapidly stagnated from April 2020 due to the spread of COVID-19. Although there were signs of a recovery afterward, there was no sign that the infections would end, and the economic outlook remained uncertain.」

    The rapid stagnation of economic activity caused by COVID-19 and the lack of a clear outlook for the end of the infections are described as the external environment for the full fiscal year.
  16. FY2021-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「Although the economy had been recovering gradually as the level of socioeconomic activity was raised, infections began spreading rapidly again in November, raising concerns about the resulting impact on economic activity.」

    The disclosure notes that infections began spreading rapidly again in November and raises concerns about the impact on economic activity, indicating that uncertainty in the external environment has increased again. It also states that there have been no material changes to the risk item itself. The risk has not been quantified. quantified is false; materialized is false.
  17. FY2021-Q2WorsenedAnnual report

    「Although the economy has been recovering gradually as the level of socioeconomic activity has been raised, concerns about the resurgence of infections, continued corporate restraint on investment and deteriorating business performance, and weakness in employment conditions persist, leaving the economic outlook extremely uncertain.」

    In addition to concerns about a resurgence of infections, continued corporate restraint on investment, deteriorating business performance, and weakness in employment conditions are cited, and the economic outlook is described as “extremely uncertain.”
  18. FY2021-Q1WorsenedAnnual report

    「During the first quarter cumulative period, the Japanese economy rapidly stagnated as calls for self-restraint in response to the spread of COVID-19 intensified following the issuance of the state of emergency declaration in April, and people refrained from going out and businesses from operating. Even after the declaration was lifted, behavior based on the new lifestyle, worsening corporate performance and employment conditions, and concerns about a second wave of infections have made the economic outlook even more uncertain.」

    The disclosure cites the rapid stagnation of economic activity, deterioration in corporate performance and employment conditions, and concerns about a second wave of COVID-19, indicating that uncertainty in the external environment has increased further.
  19. FY2020WorsenedAnnual report

    「On the other hand, in the second half, in addition to fluctuations in personal consumption caused by the consumption tax increase and the impact of foreign governments' trade policies on exports and production, the global spread of COVID-19 has had a significant impact on the global economy and financial markets, making the economic outlook even more uncertain.」

    In addition to the existing risks related to economic conditions and trade policies, the global spread of COVID-19 is affecting the global economy and financial markets, further increasing uncertainty about the outlook.
  20. FY2020-Q3RestatedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, the economic outlook remains difficult to predict, as fluctuations in personal consumption due to the consumption-tax increase and developments in trade policies between foreign governments affect exports and production.」

    The consumption-tax increase and trade policies between foreign governments continue to be cited as factors making the economic outlook uncertain.
  21. FY2020-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, conditions remain in which the increasingly pronounced slowdown in overseas economies and the trade policies of foreign governments make the economic outlook uncertain.」

    The increasingly pronounced slowdown in overseas economies and trade policies of foreign governments continue to be cited as external-environment risks creating uncertainty about the economic outlook.
  22. FY2020-Q1RestatedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, conditions remain in which the slowdown in overseas economies and the trade policies of foreign governments make the economic outlook uncertain.」

    The slowdown in overseas economies and trade policies of foreign governments continue to be cited as external-environment risks creating uncertainty about the economic outlook.
  23. FY2019MaterialisedAnnual report

    「Although exports were weak in some areas due to trade disputes involving foreign governments and a slowdown in the global economy, economic activity overall remained solid as improvements in corporate earnings and the employment environment flowed through to capital investment and personal consumption.」

    Trade disputes involving foreign governments and a slowdown in the global economy are identified as having affected exports, indicating that these external risks affected economic activity.
  24. FY2019-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, concern is mounting that trade issues between foreign governments and the global economic slowdown will affect the Japanese economy.」

    The company states that concerns about the impact on Japan’s economy of trade disputes between foreign governments and a slowdown in the global economy are “growing,” indicating heightened caution regarding factors making the outlook uncertain.
  25. FY2019-Q2RestatedAnnual report

    「Meanwhile, the outlook for the economy remains uncertain due to the impact on Japan’s economy of protectionist trade policies adopted by foreign governments and a succession of natural disasters in various parts of Japan.」

    Protectionist trade policies of foreign governments and natural disasters in Japan are cited as factors making the economic outlook uncertain.
  26. FY2019-Q1RestatedAnnual report

    「However, concerns remain about the impact of uncertainty in overseas economies and volatility in financial and capital markets, leaving the outlook uncertain.」

    Uncertainty in overseas economies and volatility in financial and capital markets continue to be cited as factors making the outlook uncertain.
  27. FY2018RestatedAnnual report

    「During the fiscal year, Japan’s economy remained on a moderate recovery trend, with corporate earnings and employment continuing to improve against the backdrop of government economic policies and other factors. However, the outlook for the economy remained uncertain, as foreign exchange rates and share prices continued to be unstable amid developments in US policies and concerns about slower economic growth in China and emerging Asian economies.」

    Uncertainty arising from the global economy and overseas policies continues to be cited, with specific factors identified as US policies and concerns about slower growth in China and emerging Asian economies.
  28. FY2018-Q3First statedAnnual report

    「However, uncertainty in the global economy remains high, and the outlook continues to be uncertain due to developments in policies under the new US administration, future political developments in EU countries, uncertainty in overseas economies and geopolitical risks related to the North Korea issue.」

    Political developments in the US and EU, overseas economies and geopolitical risks related to the North Korea issue are cited as factors making the outlook uncertain.
Moved together

"Dilution of Share Value Due to Exercise of Share Acquisition Rights" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 12 of its 28 moves.

12107665★123456
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Dilution of Share Value Due to Exercise of Share Acquisition Rights12×
  3. 2Declining Profitability of Regional Financial Institutions Due to Low Interest Rates and Population Decline, and the Development of New Business Models10×
  4. 3Growth Opportunities in the Financial IT, Fintech and AI Markets7×
  5. 4Growth in Revenue and Profit6×
  6. 5Risk of impairment losses on fixed assets and software6×
  7. 6Allocation of Management Resources to Strengthen the Innovation Business5×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

When this could move next
No upcoming earnings preview for Signpost yet.
News
No news is linked to this thread yet. When an article touches it, it will appear here by date.