Komori
Tomoku (3946) · RiskWorsened

Uncertain Outlook for Housing Market Amid Wood Shock

First written in FY2022-Q1. 2 of 4 entries say "Worsened", first in FY2023-Q3. Latest entry: FY2023.

4entries
3years
0from disclosures
Share on X
How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseFirst statedFY2022-Q1WorsenedFY2023-Q2 – FY20232021: 120212022: 120222023: 22023
Same theme, other companies
Decline in construction demand due to building-material supply constraints and soaring pricesA theme 21 companies write about · 22 as a headwind · 0 as a tailwind

Tomoku moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2022, the same year as the typical company in this theme.

The whole theme swung hardest in 2025: 9 of 12 companies on the "Worse" side.

6 other companies' latest entry also says "Worsened".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Showing 14 of the 21 companies compared. The sentences above are computed from all 21.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. FY2023WorsenedAnnual report

    「In the housing market, new housing starts remained weak amid higher component and energy prices and the impact of inflation.」

    Higher prices for components, including timber, and energy have continued to appear as weakness in the housing market.
  2. FY2023-Q3WorsenedAnnual report

    「In the housing segment, the company revised selling prices in response to higher material and timber costs, while the number of homes sold fell below the previous year and revenue at ㈱スウェーデンハウス and ㈱玉善 declined. However, the effect on cost of sales of fair-value adjustments included in inventory at the time of the acquisition of ㈱玉善 was eliminated, resulting in higher profit.」

    Higher prices for materials, including timber, led to selling-price revisions and appeared in the housing business as a year-on-year decline in the number of homes sold and lower revenue at Swedish House and 玉善.
  3. FY2023-Q2MaterialisedAnnual report

    「The number of homes sold by ㈱スウェーデンハウス increased year on year, but at ㈱玉善, visitor numbers declined as rising timber prices and semiconductor shortages pushed up the prices of spec homes, resulting in a year-on-year decrease in homes sold.」

    The surge in timber prices associated with the wood shock has appeared in 玉善's actual housing business in the form of higher prices for spec homes, fewer visitors and a decline in the number of homes sold.
  4. FY2022-Q1First statedAnnual report

    「In the housing market, the outlook remains uncertain because of the effects of COVID-19 and the wood shock, while the number of new housing starts continues to increase year on year.」

    The company identified the wood shock for the first time as a factor contributing to uncertainty in the housing market outlook. It also stated that the number of new housing starts was increasing year on year, without indicating any specific effects from the risk.
Moved together

"Increase in logistics costs due to rising fuel prices" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 3 of its 4 moves.

332222★123456
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Increase in logistics costs due to rising fuel prices3×
  3. 2Raw Material Tightness and Cost Pressures Driven by Special Demand in the Chinese Market3×
  4. 3Decline in Homes Sold Due to Delays in Housing Starts2×
  5. 4Increase in demand for corrugated cardboard for processed foods, e-commerce and delivery services2×
  6. 5Revenue pressure from soft corrugated packaging prices2×
  7. 6Solid demand for home purchases underpinned by policy support and low interest rates2×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

When this could move next
Tomoku's next results are scheduled for 2026-10-30. Read the earnings preview
News
No news is linked to this thread yet. When an article touches it, it will appear here by date.