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Seigakusha (2179) · RiskWorsened

Demand contraction driven by the declining birthrate and fewer children on childcare waiting lists

First written in FY2016. 4 of 7 entries say "Restated". Latest entry: FY2024.

7entries
9years
0from disclosures
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How it moved
ProgressHeldSoftenedWorseRestatedFY2016 – FY2021WorsenedFY2023 – FY20242016: 120162017: 120172018: 120182019: 120192020: 020202021: 120212022: 020222023: 120232024: 12024
Same theme, other companies
Compound changes in the education and childcare environment caused by declining birthratesA theme 4 companies write about · 4 as a headwind · 0 as a tailwind

Seigakusha moved to the "Worse" side of this theme in 2023, 3 years after the typical company in this theme (2020).

0 other companies' latest entry also says "Worsened".

Ridges = years it wrote progress, valleys = years it wrote worse. Most hopeful companies at the back. Drag to turn, scroll to zoom, right-drag to pan. On a phone, two fingers turn and pinch to zoom; one finger scrolls the page.
Full recordFilings, disclosures and news, newest first
  1. FY2024WorsenedAnnual report

    「1. Decline in the school-age population and the number of children on childcare waiting lists (likelihood: High; impact: High)」

    The risk assessment expressly rates the likelihood of the declining birthrate and fewer children on childcare waiting lists as “High” and the impact as “High.”
  2. FY2023WorsenedAnnual report

    「In the childcare industry, the expansion of childcare capacity is progressing under the New Plan for Raising Children with Peace of Mind compiled by the government, and the number of children on waiting lists is trending downward.」

    The downward trend in the number of children on childcare waiting lists is expressly stated, making the risk of shrinking demand for childcare facilities a concrete aspect of the current business environment.
  3. FY2021RestatedAnnual report

    「If the declining birthrate progresses more rapidly than expected due to a decline in the birthrate or other factors, or if demand for childcare facilities declines as the number of children on waiting lists falls, this may affect the performance and other aspects of our group.」

    The Company continues to identify the risk of declining demand for cram schools and childcare services due to the declining birthrate and fewer children on childcare waiting lists.
  4. FY2019RestatedAnnual report

    「If the birthrate declines further and the declining birthrate progresses more rapidly than expected, or if demand for childcare facilities declines as the number of children on waiting lists falls, this may affect the performance and other aspects of our group.」

    The Company continues to identify the risk of declining demand for cram schools and childcare services due to the declining birthrate and fewer children on childcare waiting lists.
  5. FY2018RestatedAnnual report

    「If the birthrate declines further and the declining birthrate progresses more rapidly than expected, or if demand for childcare facilities declines as the number of children on waiting lists falls, this may affect the performance and other aspects of our group.」

    The Company continues to identify the risk of declining demand for cram schools and childcare services due to the declining birthrate and fewer children on childcare waiting lists.
  6. FY2017RestatedAnnual report

    「If the birthrate declines further and the declining birthrate progresses more rapidly than expected, or if demand for childcare facilities declines as the number of children on waiting lists falls, this may affect the performance and other aspects of our group.」

    The Company continues to identify the risk of declining demand for cram schools and childcare services due to the declining birthrate and fewer children on childcare waiting lists.
  7. FY2016First statedAnnual report

    「If the birthrate declines further and the declining birthrate progresses more rapidly than expected, or if demand for childcare facilities declines as the number of children on waiting lists falls, this may affect the performance and other aspects of our group.」

    The Company identifies declines in the number of children and the enrollment rate at cram schools, and in the number of children on childcare waiting lists, as risks affecting demand.
Moved together

"Intensifying Competition in the Cram School and Childcare Industries" moved the same way as this thread, in the same document, in 2 of its 7 moves.

22222★12345
  1. ★This thread
  2. 1Intensifying Competition in the Cram School and Childcare Industries2×
  3. 2Concentration of operations in the Kinki region, particularly Osaka Prefecture2×
  4. 3Franchisee Contract Breaches and Quality Control2×
  5. 4Recovery Risk for Security Deposits and Construction Cooperation Funds2×
  6. 5Uncertainty over Asian Economic Conditions, Financial Markets and Policy Developments2×

★ is this thread; numbers match the list above. The number on a line is how many documents both moved the same way in; lines between the other threads count the documents they moved together in too. Threads that move together often sit closer.

When this could move next
No upcoming earnings preview for Seigakusha yet.
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Demand contraction driven by the declining birthrate and fewer children on childcare waiting lists | SEIGAKUSHA CO.,LTD. (2179) | Komori